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Wrath

BOT User Tracking 3/18-20 Allegiant, Miracles from Heaven *3-day*

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Posted

Please provide your 3/18-20 Opening Weekend *3-day* predicts for, 

 

Allegiant

Miracles from Heaven (Wed)

 

Deadline is now going to be sometime between midnight Wednesday and Thursday midmorning (US Eastern time), depending on when I get to it.









Posted (edited)

Continuing with the pithy-banter-less posts until I'm back on top of things.

 

13 predicts for Allegiant, 10 for Miracles from Heaven.

 

Allegiant

Mean: 30.7M

Median: 30.3M

StnDev: 4.31M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 14.03%

High: 37M

Low: 22M

 

BO.com 33M

Deadline 29.4M (I'll note that I don't entirely trust this one. I didn't get the number until afterwards, and Deadline almost never gives predictions down to the 100k-level, so I'm skeptical it wasn't added in later)

MovieWeb 37M

ShowBuzzDaily 

Variety 33M

 

 

Miracles from Heaven

Mean: 14.0M

Median: 11.95M

StnDev: 4.92M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 35.13%

High: 24M

Low: 9.5M

 

BO.com 12.8M

Deadline 12.5M   

MovieWeb 19M

ShowBuzzDaily 

Variety 12M

Edited by Wrath


Posted

Outstanding predicting week.

 

Allegiant

Prediction: 30.7M +/- 4.31M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 29M (off by 1.7M, so 0.4 stndev)

Very good predict, and the second best among predictors, behind on Deadline's very fishy prediction. Cannastop had the best predict at 30M VERY narrowly beating MCkillswitch and EthanHunt's 28M (~55k closer).

 

Miracles from Heaven

Prediction: 14.0M +/- 4.92M (1 standard deviation)

Actual: 14.8M (off by 0.8M, so 0.16 stndev)

Outstanding predict, by far the best. Our best predict was 15.5M from CJohn.

 

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