Andreas Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said: Here is a chart for other movies which were big and for which I have data. Data is only till 8 days out. Not including the entire run for the movies since it makes JW2 line look flat and lost. Looks like it won't make as much as presumed after all.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted June 6, 2018 Share Posted June 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, Andreas said: Looks like it won't make as much as presumed after all.. The last few days have been.... not encouraging. Still has time to potentially pick up the pace or get a good PS multi. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 6, 2018 Author Share Posted June 6, 2018 TF5- OD 289.6M excluding MN 00 hours - 94.19M - 59,203 showtimes 24 hours - 55.15M - 69,459 48 hours - 40.70M - 77,083 72 hours - 29.20M - 81,413 96 hours - 21.55M - 85,487 5 days - 17.04M - 94,721 6 days - 13.23M - 111,124 7 days - 9.35M - 131,137 7 days - 6.31M - 154,912 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 7, 2018 Share Posted June 7, 2018 On 5/3/2018 at 9:48 PM, ZeeSoh said: Infinity War (7 days out) Midnight - 16.48 OD - 50.2 (+16.75%)(86887 screens) Sat - 31.4 Sun - 14.28 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Jurassic World 2 (8 days out) Midnight - 1.43m Yuan OD - 8.76m (+13.47%) (58433 shows) Sat - 4.70m Sun - 2.91m Jurassic World 2 (7 days out) Midnight - 1.56m Yuan OD - 10.17m (+16.09%) (61603 shows) Sat - 5.40m Sun - 3.25m Below is a chart for the entire PS run of several movies plus JW2s run so far. 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 8, 2018 Share Posted June 8, 2018 On 5/4/2018 at 9:44 PM, ZeeSoh said: Infinity War (6 days out) Midnight - 17.79 OD - 57.9 (+15.33%)(93100 screens) Sat - 36.73 Sun - 16.7 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Jurassic World 2 (7 days out) Midnight - 1.56m Yuan OD - 10.17m (+16.09%) (61603 shows) Sat - 5.40m Sun - 3.25m Jurassic World 2 (6 days out) Midnight - 1.78m Yuan OD - 12.26m (+20.5%) (67280 shows) Sat - 6.29m Sun - 3.64m A decent jump today thanks to the addition of nearly 6k showtimes. Its finally starting to show an uptick on the charts I had posted yesterday. Typically sat-sun are slow days for PS so we may not see big jumps over these 2 days. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 8, 2018 Share Posted June 8, 2018 FK presales for OD has run pretty close to TF5. It was actually ahead at Day 7, but then fell behind 6 days out. On 6/6/2018 at 1:00 PM, Proxima Olive said: TF5- OD 289.6M excluding MN 00 hours - 94.19M - 59,203 showtimes 24 hours - 55.15M - 69,459 48 hours - 40.70M - 77,083 72 hours - 29.20M - 81,413 96 hours - 21.55M - 85,487 5 days - 17.04M - 94,721 6 days - 13.23M - 111,124 7 days - 9.35M - 131,137 7 days - 6.31M - 154,912 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 8, 2018 Author Share Posted June 8, 2018 oops, the showtimes are messed up 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 8, 2018 Share Posted June 8, 2018 9 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said: oops, the showtimes are messed up I only noticed now that you mentioned it lol. Its ok, it’s only backwards haha. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 9, 2018 Author Share Posted June 9, 2018 WOM for FK in Hong Kong seems very mediocre. 3.8/5 for it SOLO got 4.0/5 DP2 4.4/5 IW 4.4/5 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted June 9, 2018 Share Posted June 9, 2018 4 hours ago, Proxima Olive said: WOM for FK in Hong Kong seems very mediocre. 3.8/5 for it SOLO got 4.0/5 DP2 4.4/5 IW 4.4/5 I could imagine the second half beeing structured more like a horror film as to why some people didnt like it. I personally loved the 2nd half, but its not an action fest like JW's finale. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 9, 2018 Share Posted June 9, 2018 On 5/5/2018 at 9:42 PM, ZeeSoh said: Infinity War (5 days out) Midnight - 19.14 OD - 65.4 (+13%)(96956 screens) Sat - 43.19 Sun - 19.09 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Jurassic World 2 (6 days out) Midnight - 1.78m Yuan OD - 12.26m (+20.5%) (67280 shows) Sat - 6.29m Sun - 3.64m Jurassic World 2 (5 days out) Midnight - 1.96m Yuan OD - 14.43m (+17.7%) (70,387 shows) Sat - 7.56m Sun - 4.18m Although the chart doesnt make it apparent but it has had a good increase these past two days 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 9, 2018 Share Posted June 9, 2018 This chart suggests $100-150m OW. It could ramp up steeper in the last 3 days. I still think its at the upper end JW2 IW PS 1am MN %gain OD gain % gain Shows MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows Fri 0.09 0.39 4.8 Sa 0.14 55.6% 1.01 0.62 159.0% 10.6 0.4 6.5 Su 0.16 14.3% 1.18 0.17 16.8% 15.3 1.3 0.9 202.3% 11.0 Mo 0.26 62.5% 1.32 0.14 11.9% 18.0 2.0 0.7 53.8% 16.0 Tu 0.31 19.2% 1.57 0.25 18.9% 22.0 3.3 1.3 62.5% 22.0 We 0.46 48.4% 1.92 0.35 22.3% 25.6 4.6 1.4 41.5% 27.9 Th 0.56 22.6% 2.38 0.46 24.0% 33.4 5.6 8.5 3.9 84.8% 44.4 Fr 0.76 33.9% 3.60 1.22 51.1% 40.2 7.8 14.0% 14.6 6.1 71.8% 54.6 Sa 0.87 15.2% 4.46 0.87 24.1% 44.3 9.0 14.7% 18.5 3.9 26.5% 59.2 Su 0.99 13.8% 5.22 0.76 17.0% 47.0 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0 Mo 1.09 10.1% 6.03 0.81 15.5% 49.3 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0 Tu 1.22 11.9% 6.86 0.83 13.8% 53.0 11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7 We 1.3 9.0% 7.8 0.9 13.0% 55.6 12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8 Th 1.4 8.3% 8.8 1.1 13.8% 58.4 15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7 Fr 1.6 10.4% 10.3 1.5 16.7% 61.7 16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9 Sa 1.8 12.6% 12.3 2.0 19.5% 66.5 17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1 Su 2.0 10.1% 14.5 2.2 17.9% 70.5 19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0 Mo 17.4 2.9 20.0% 20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5 Tu 22.6 5.2 30.0% 22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8 We 29.4 6.8 30.0% 25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6 Th 39.7 10.3 35.0% 30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6 Fr(OD) 63.5 23.8 60.0% 160.0 59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0 OD BO 16.0 158.8 200.0% 165.0 59.5 387.0 112.6% 182.0 Multi 2.50 2.12 PS m OD OD m OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ Total $ XR JW2 2.50 159 3.80 603 1.85 1116 25 94 174 6.43 JW2 4.00 254 3.80 965 1.85 1786 40 150 278 6.43 IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1.81 2300 61 201 362 6.35 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 10, 2018 Share Posted June 10, 2018 On 5/6/2018 at 9:42 PM, ZeeSoh said: Infinity War (4 days out) Midnight - 20.82 OD - 75.04 (+14.75%)(100,522 screens) Sat - 50.61 Sun - 22.01 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Jurassic World 2 (5 days out) Midnight - 1.96m Yuan OD - 14.43m (+17.7%) (70,387 shows) Sat - 7.56m Sun - 4.18m Jurassic World 2 (4 days out) Midnight - 2.19m Yuan OD - 17.13m (+18.7%) (74,081 shows) Sat - 9.00m Sun - 4.82m Another good increase today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 10, 2018 Share Posted June 10, 2018 It’s lagging more behind TF5 now for OD presales, but it also has less number of showtimes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 11, 2018 Share Posted June 11, 2018 On 6/9/2018 at 6:12 AM, Olive said: WOM for FK in Hong Kong seems very mediocre. 3.8/5 for it SOLO got 4.0/5 DP2 4.4/5 IW 4.4/5 On 6/9/2018 at 10:51 AM, Brainbug said: I could imagine the second half beeing structured more like a horror film as to why some people didnt like it. I personally loved the 2nd half, but its not an action fest like JW's finale. I guess tentpoles have to be filled with action or they are doomed these days. I wonder what jaws would make today. There was supposed to be a lot more action but the mechanical shark wouldnt work properly. Instead the music and a person simply getting jerked under water or barrels pulled under or a dock being dragged toward a person swimming to safety did the trick. I doubt it would be even half of the adjusted WW total of 2B and that's w/o China and the Soviet Union. An 8 rating could cause JW2 to drop from JW's $230m 60% of shows are usually listed by Monday nite. The total is pacing for 84k tonight. That would be 134k total on OD. About 45% of all shows. Sounds low to me. Maybe they have only listed 50% so far and we'll see a steeper ramp in PS at the end of the week. FF8, TF5 and IW's show percentages were all high 60s on Friday and low 70s on Sat JW2 is 21m shorter than IW and thereby can squeeze in 1 more show per screen per day. Fridays now have from 265k shows when the main feature has a long run time like IW to 300k when run times are shorter. Childrens Day on Friday had 317k. The most shows in a day was on CNY at 359k. I expect close to 300k shows on Friday and 330k on Sat Sun Mon. JW2 should have at least 50% of them. I was thinking 55-60% originally and that could still happen. The local film's PS are looking small and I doubt they will take more than 15% of shows PS will increase close to 23% today. It needs to get over 30% tomorrow. I put a 60% increase on the last day, hopefully it will be more than that, buthe WoM in neighboring countries doesn't sound good though. JW2 IW PS 1am MN %gain OD gain % gain Shows MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows Fri 0.09 0.39 4.8 Sa 0.14 55.6% 1.01 0.62 159.0% 10.6 0.4 6.5 Su 0.16 14.3% 1.18 0.17 16.8% 15.3 1.3 0.9 202.3% 11.0 Mo 0.26 62.5% 1.32 0.14 11.9% 18.0 2.0 0.7 53.8% 16.0 Tu 0.31 19.2% 1.57 0.25 18.9% 22.0 3.3 1.3 62.5% 22.0 We 0.46 48.4% 1.92 0.35 22.3% 25.6 4.6 1.4 41.5% 27.9 Th 0.56 22.6% 2.38 0.46 24.0% 33.4 5.6 8.5 3.9 84.8% 44.4 Fr 0.76 33.9% 3.60 1.22 51.1% 40.2 7.8 14.0% 14.6 6.1 71.8% 54.6 Sa 0.87 15.2% 4.46 0.87 24.1% 44.3 9.0 14.7% 18.5 3.9 26.5% 59.2 Su 0.99 13.8% 5.22 0.76 17.0% 47.0 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0 Mo 1.09 10.1% 6.03 0.81 15.5% 49.3 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0 Tu 1.22 11.9% 6.86 0.83 13.8% 53.0 11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7 We 1.3 9.0% 7.8 0.9 13.0% 55.6 12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8 Th 1.4 8.3% 8.8 1.1 13.8% 58.4 15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7 Fr 1.6 10.4% 10.3 1.5 16.7% 61.7 16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9 Sa 1.8 12.6% 12.3 2.0 19.5% 66.5 17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1 Su 2.0 10.1% 14.5 2.2 17.9% 70.5 19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0 Mo 2.2 11.2% 17.2 2.7 18.4% 74.1 20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5 Tu 2.5 14.2% 21.2 4.0 23.5% 84.0 22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8 We 27.6 6.4 30.0% 25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6 Th 37.2 9.6 35.0% 30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6 Fr(OD) 59.5 22.3 60.0% 59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0 OD BO 15.0 148.8 200.0% 134.4 59.5 387.0 112.6% 182.0 Multi 2.50 2.12 PS m OD OD m OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ Total $ XR JW2 2.50 149 3.80 566 1.85 1046 23 88 163 6.43 JW2 4.00 238 3.80 905 1.85 1674 37 141 260 6.43 IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1.81 2300 61 201 362 6.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 11, 2018 Share Posted June 11, 2018 (edited) edit ignore Edited June 11, 2018 by Gavin Feng Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted June 11, 2018 Author Share Posted June 11, 2018 (3 days +5.5 hours) Jurassic World 2 Midnight - 2.37m Yuan (6,754 shows) OD - 19.66m (80,386 shows) POTC5 Midnight - 3.94m Yuan (6,225 shows) OD - 15.95m (59,744 shows) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted June 11, 2018 Share Posted June 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Olive said: (3 days +5.5 hours) Jurassic World 2 Midnight - 2.37m Yuan (6,754 shows) OD - 19.66m (80,386 shows) POTC5 Midnight - 3.94m Yuan (6,225 shows) OD - 15.95m (59,744 shows) POTC5 opened to about $68m... so not looking too good? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 11, 2018 Share Posted June 11, 2018 (edited) On 6/10/2018 at 9:38 PM, ZeeSoh said: Jurassic World 2 (4 days out) Midnight - 2.19m Yuan OD - 17.13m (+18.7%) (74,081 shows) Sat - 9.00m Sun - 4.82m Jurassic World 2 (3 days out) Midnight - 2.53m Yuan OD - 21.47m (+25.33%) (83,144 shows) Sat - 11.08m Sun - 5.60m Edited June 11, 2018 by ZeeSoh 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted June 12, 2018 Share Posted June 12, 2018 Incredibles II presales have started for June 22nd (OD) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
