pepsa Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, POTUS said: these longer PS runs have dropped the multi many times the meg was below 3 but it was a co-production. I think it will be above The PS run for AM2 wasn't that long right, didn't it start with MI6 that will open next week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 6 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: I was replying to that other poster who was talking about 80m. But yeah overall I do think that the internal multiplier will be below normal since the PS is way higher than what I expected. Still 70’s looking good unless the multi is as bad as BP I do think that the acceleration at the end is very good sign for AM2, it's behaving more like GOTG2 and Thor3 than it's close to BP ps's in the last few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) I would be much more pessimistic about AM2 PS multi if it had had a full 3 week presales run, but luckily that’s not the case. The midnight estimate and last day of presales are encouraging, but they do make me think the PS multi won’t be much better than 3 (barring unexpected reception). Still, a 70m+ USD OW would get us tantalizing close to 1B yuan with good holds. Edited August 23, 2018 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said: I would be much more pessimistic about AM2 PS multi if it had had a full 3 week presales run, but luckily that’s not the case. The midnight estimate and last day of presales are encouraging, but they do make me think the PS multi won’t be much better than 3 (barring unexpected reception). Still, a 70m+ USD OW would get us tantalizing close to 1B yuan with good holds. MI6 will be the problem next week. Tbh 46m PS is great when you think that 3 days ago we expected mid 30's. Edited August 23, 2018 by pepsa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 (edited) On 8/23/2018 at 12:31 AM, ZeeSoh said: Ant Man 2 (1 days out) Midnight - 3.49m OD - 23.68m (+53.56%) (106251 shows Sat - 9.03m Sun - 4.35m Ant Man 2 (Final) OD - 46.55m (+96.6%) (141372 shows) Sat - 14.9m Sun - 6.63m Final presales, final day rise and screen/show count comparison:- Black Panther - 45.5 (+69.9%) (73969 screens (1 day from release)) Spiderman HC - 36 (+80%) GotG2 - 28.45 (+89.7%) Justice League - 26 (+97.8%) (111428 screens) Thor Ragnarok - 24.2 (+99.7%) Ant Man 2 finishes its run with the highest PS of any solo super hero movie. Impressive jump from Ant Man 2 on the final day. It's almost as much as TR and JL jumped on their final days. Its more impressive than those considering the longer pre sales run of AM2 and the fact that AM2 had already made a lot of money before its final day. It's screen count is also very impressive. I only have the final count for JL and AM2 has 27% more screens allotted than JL did. Even BP had fewer screens. Now we wait to see how the internal multi is. But here is what AM2 will make on its OW if it has the same weekend multi as these movies Thor Ragnarok - 14.96x - 101.38m USD Justice League - 13.269x - 89.89m USD Spiderman - 12.83x - 86.98m USD (had a holiday on Sunday I think) GotG2 - 12.02x - 81.45m USD CA3 - 9.51x - 64.4m USD Black Panther - 9.274x - 62.8m USD Those are some very nice numbers there. But we don't know how such factors as longer PS run, much higher screen count, Fall vs summer vs winter, etc will affect the multi. Also more and more people are booking in advance than before. So although signs point to an 80's opening, I wouldn't bet on it just yet. It is more likely to have a multi closer to CA3 and BP than Guardians or SMH. And a multi like Thor is just out of question. A lot will depend on the rating and WOM which we dont know yet. Still an opening in the high 60's or 70's would be a huge win for Ant Man considering the last one opened to about 40m (with current ER). Edited August 24, 2018 by ZeeSoh 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 Any indications on WOM? That Presales surge to beat out BP is insane Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said: Any indications on WOM? That Presales surge to beat out BP is insane Maoyan ratings have yet to come out, it will be a few hours before we see that I think. It's holding steady on Douban at 7.5 which is right in the middle of the pack in terms of recent SH movies (only Logan, Infinity War, Guardians 2 and AM1 were higher). Our local posters have also indicated that reactions from press screenings were also good. So fingers crossed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 24, 2018 Share Posted August 24, 2018 Wow, so even a 3x would be 140m Friday. 500m+ weekend would be sweet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 25, 2018 Share Posted August 25, 2018 On 8/23/2018 at 8:48 PM, ZeeSoh said: Mission Impossible 6 (7 days out) Midnight - 1.02m OD - 7.36m (+13.23%) (42897 screens) Sat - 2.35m Sun - 1.40m Mission Impossible 6 (5 days out) Midnight - 1.36m OD - 10.3m (+17%) (48628 screens) Sat - 3.34m Sun - 1.67m Missed yesterday’s number as I was not home. But steady increase over the past few days. Should accelerate from Monday onwards. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 26, 2018 Share Posted August 26, 2018 (edited) 21 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Mission Impossible 6 (5 days out) Midnight - 1.36m OD - 10.3m (+17%) (48628 shows) Sat - 3.34m Sun - 1.67m Mission Impossible 6 (4 days out) Midnight - 1.53m OD - 12m (+16.5%) (51791 shows) Sat - 3.87m Sun - 1.88m This is where Ant Man 2 was 4 days out Midnight - 1.48m OD - 8.43m (+19.06%) (50320 shows) Sat - 3.01m Sun - 1.80m Very similar on midnights, Sat/Sun as well as show counts. But fairly ahead on OD presales. Ant Man 2 increased 33, 37, 55 and 96% over the last 4 days. If MI6 manages the same then it will be at 66m final presales which will be above JW2 Edited August 26, 2018 by ZeeSoh 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HalloFromGermany Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 Will Tom Cruise be in China to promote MI:6? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 1 hour ago, HalloFromGermany said: Will Tom Cruise be in China to promote MI:6? Can't find anything on it, so, most probably not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 1 hour ago, HalloFromGermany said: Will Tom Cruise be in China to promote MI:6? Yes. From Deadline: MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – FALLOUT As Paramount/Skydance’s Mission: Impossible – Fallout gets ready to parachute into China (with an assist from Alibaba Pictures and with Tom Cruise visiting the market this week), 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Premium George Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 2 hours ago, Premium George said: Can't find anything on it, so, most probably not. 2 hours ago, Brainbug said: Yes. From Deadline: MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – FALLOUT As Paramount/Skydance’s Mission: Impossible – Fallout gets ready to parachute into China (with an assist from Alibaba Pictures and with Tom Cruise visiting the market this week), Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 (edited) On 8/26/2018 at 9:40 PM, ZeeSoh said: Mission Impossible 6 (4 days out) Midnight - 1.53m OD - 12m (+16.5%) (51791 shows) Sat - 3.87m Sun - 1.88m Mission Impossible 6 (3 days out) Midnight - 1.83m OD - 15.11m (+25.9%) (63172 shows) Sat - 5.02m Sun - 2.38m Edited August 27, 2018 by ZeeSoh 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 I think MI6 will increase 30 30 60% for the next 3 days. 41m PS total. Maybe the same PSm as AM2 but should have a better Saturday bump $70m OW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 1 minute ago, POTUS said: I think MI6 will increase 30 30 60% for the next 3 days. 41m PS total. Maybe the same PSm as AM2 but should have a better Saturday bump $70m OW Is next Mon still summer? Or this week is the last week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Is next Mon still summer? Or this week is the last week? I think school is back in. Bigger drops on the first Sept Monday last year. @Olive would know better Edited August 27, 2018 by POTUS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted August 28, 2018 Share Posted August 28, 2018 (edited) 19 hours ago, Thanos Legion said: Is next Mon still summer? Or this week is the last week? nope. Monday will drop close to 70%. Lower Mon than AM2. Edited August 28, 2018 by firedeep Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 28, 2018 Share Posted August 28, 2018 (edited) 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Mission Impossible 6 (3 days out) Midnight - 1.83m OD - 15.11m (+25.9%) (63172 shows) Sat - 5.02m Sun - 2.38m Mission Impossible 6 (2 days out) Midnight - 2.44m OD - 19.65m (+30%) (79661 shows) Sat - 6.81m Sun - 3.15m Has the same number of shows as Ant Man 2. Edited August 28, 2018 by ZeeSoh 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
