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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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38 minutes ago, Lothar said:

It's hard to know the exact comparison because we don't have pre sales number. @Gavin Feng @ZeeSoh Can you give us numbers of pre sales. ?

 

 

From what I see on Maoyan, it is as follows 7 days out from release:

Midnight: 248.3k

OD: 1.633M

Saturday: 524k

Sunday: 468k

 

Since I am too lazy to search the thread, here's the first comp I found from 2 weeks ago for FB

 

 

On 11/8/2018 at 8:33 AM, ZeeSoh said:

Fantastic Beasts 2 (7 days out)

Midnight - 229k

OD - 569k (+1,015,025%) (12419 shows)

Sat - 173k

Sun - 125k

 

On 11/9/2018 at 8:12 AM, ZeeSoh said:

 

Fantastic Beasts 2 (6 days out)

Midnight - 925k

OD - 1.66m (+192%) (21474 shows)

Sat - 738k

Sun - 412k

 

Too early to draw any conclusions at this point, its only been running for about 2 days now. But below are some OD presales for some recent movies that I have data for. 

 

Thor Ragnarok - 1.55m

Justice League - 1.5m

Fantastic Beasts 1 - 1.1m

 

For now these are the 3 movies that will be most relevant as they were all released around this same date plus they all started their PS runs around similar times as well. 

Right now midnight number looks quite strong (I heard there are special screenings on Thursday so perhaps that is what is driving the number higher) whereas the other numbers (Sat/Sun/Shows) are around the same as others albeit slightly lower. 

 

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On 11/9/2017 at 9:21 PM, ZeeSoh said:

 

Thor (7 days)

 

OD - 1.55m

 

 

Justice League (7 days)

 

Midnight- 550k

OD - 1.5m (23844 shows)

Sat - 1.01m

Sun - 636k

 

Good increase for JL today. OD running behind Thor but by just .05m. I dont have Thor's sat/sun number at same point in time. If JL has similar increases tomorrow then it could overtake Thor in PS. Lets see if that happens

 

14 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

From what I see on Maoyan, it is as follows 7 days out from release:

Midnight: 248.3k

OD: 1.633M

Saturday: 524k

Sunday: 468k

 

Since I am too lazy to search the thread, here's the first comp I found from 2 weeks ago for FB

 

 

 

 

Here are the best comparison. I think AQ is at fast pace in OD compared to Sat and Sun.

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Aquaman (7 days out)

 

Midnight - 250k

OD - 1.654m (27302 shows)

Sat - 530k

Sun - 475k

 

Aquaman starts out well enough with a decent amount of screens on its first day of presales. It is it's first day of presales so comparisons wont be accurate at this point. But below are some other movies OD presales 7 days out

 

Fantastic Beasts - 0.569m

Justice League - 1.5m

Thor Ragnarok - 1.55m

Ant Man 2 - 4.81m

Venom - 6.38m

 

These movies had higher shows at this point because they had been running for a few days compared to Aquaman which just started today. So we will see how it behaves over the next few days. Right now Justice League seems the best comparison as it started out 8 days before release, had similar show count 7 days out as well as similar OD PS 7 days out. 

 

I saw a comparison to Venom earlier. Well Venom opened its PS with much higher numbers than Aquaman, almost double in fact. Below are its numbers at the end of its first day. 

 

Venom (9 days out)

Midnight - 572k

OD - 2.99m (41575 shows)

Sat - 1.3m

Sun - 809k

 

Aquaman can still go on a Venom like PS run, but we will have to wait and watch. 

 

PS: I was not home hence couldn't get the numbers earlier :P

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12 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Aquaman (7 days out)

 

Midnight - 250k

OD - 1.654m (27302 shows)

Sat - 530k

Sun - 475k

 

Aquaman starts out well enough with a decent amount of screens on its first day of presales. It is it's first day of presales so comparisons wont be accurate at this point. But below are some other movies OD presales 7 days out

 

Fantastic Beasts - 0.569m

Justice League - 1.5m

Thor Ragnarok - 1.55m

Ant Man 2 - 4.81m

Venom - 6.38m

 

These movies had higher shows at this point because they had been running for a few days compared to Aquaman which just started today. So we will see how it behaves over the next few days. Right now Justice League seems the best comparison as it started out 8 days before release, had similar show count 7 days out as well as similar OD PS 7 days out. 

 

I saw a comparison to Venom earlier. Well Venom opened its PS with much higher numbers than Aquaman, almost double in fact. Below are its numbers at the end of its first day. 

 

Venom (9 days out)

Midnight - 572k

OD - 2.99m (41575 shows)

Sat - 1.3m

Sun - 809k

 

Aquaman can still go on a Venom like PS run, but we will have to wait and watch. 

 

PS: I was not home hence couldn't get the numbers earlier :P

Is there any reason Aquaman started late compared to other movies which started 8 or more days before in PS ?

 

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32 minutes ago, Lothar said:

Is there any reason Aquaman started late compared to other movies which started 8 or more days before in PS ?

 

Not sure but most probably because it must have gotten it release license recently. Anyways it doesn't really matter how many days of PS run a movie has towards its final presales. The Mummy last year for example had only 5 days of presales compared with 13 days for GoTG2, 11 days for Thor Ragnarok and 9 days for Justice League but still ended with a higher final PS. CA3 had only 10 days of PS run but still ended up higher than Jurassic World 2 which had a 22 day PS run. 

 

Aquaman has had good reception so far in China according to Gavin, and its the first blockbuster after Venom which would be nearly a month from Aquaman, so I expect a good run both PS wise and actual gross wise. It also doesnt have any significant hollywood competition for at least 2-3 weeks as I dont expect Grinch and Spiderverse to do that well in China.

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On 11/12/2017 at 8:55 AM, ZeeSoh said:

Thor Ragnarok (4 days + 12.5 hours)

 

Midnight - 692K
OD - 2.7m
Sat - 1.53m
Sun - 1.02m

 

Justice League (4 days + 12 hours)

 

Midnight- 1.08m

OD - 3.13m (34863 shows)

Sat - 2.08m

Sun - 1.37m

 

Thor had a very small increase in PS on Sunday due to it being the weekend. I suspect we will see the same with JL

 

5 minutes ago, Ash Skywalker said:

Presales almost doubled from yesterday. 
 

OD - 3.22M (35842 Shows)

You mean better than JL and Thor 3 when they were less than 5 days before opening. ?

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38 minutes ago, Lothar said:

 

You mean better than JL and Thor 3 when they were less than 5 days before opening. ?

 

24 minutes ago, Ash Skywalker said:

Yes.  And it will even cross JL, Thor 3's 4 days before presales today if this goes at this pace.

And it just did. 3.57M(6 Days before) as of now. 
4 days before

JL- 3.51
Thor3- 2.94

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21 minutes ago, Ash Skywalker said:

What's most surprising is that Aquaman is close to Venom's Saturday. 3.45 v 3.28 and it is more than venom on Sunday 1.74 v 1.96

Venom's 3.45 vs AQ's 3.58 right now for Saturday

V 1.74 vs AQ's 2.11 for Sunday.

In real time

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