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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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On 2/15/2018 at 5:02 PM, feasby007 said:

Final presales:

 

Monster Hunt 2 - 294.1M

Detective Chinatown 2 - 174.2M

Monkey King 3 - 85.1M

Operation Red Sea - 56.7M

Boonie Bears 4 - 42.1M

 

Totals: 678.4M Presales and ~355,000 showings. This makes the day, in just presales remember the following:

  • 2nd best single day ever (behind 806m, in front 645m and 603m)
  • Most showing in a single day (needs checking fully, but has beaten every day I've checked by 30,000)
  • MH2 has the 4th best opening day for a single film, just in presales
  • MH2 has the 13th best single day for a single film, again just in presales

A presale multiplier of just 1.47x gets February 16th to 1B single day gross, first time ever!

 

EDIT: Also should note that Maoyan is forecasting the following totals:

Monster Hunt 2 - 4.297B ($677m)

Detective Chinatown 2 - 2.525B ($398m)

Monkey King 3 - 869m ($137m)

Operation Red Sea - 1.955B ($308m)

Boonie Bears 4 - 704m ($111m)

PS reached 678m last year, OD was 1277m/$201m.   1.88 PSm

I have PS roughly tracking at 800m final total for now.   1544m/$222m OD .  XR is 6.6% weaker

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DP2a  PS going to reach 2.55 tonight and on course for 15m. 

OD    50-55m

OW  165m/$25m OW

Tot   $40m   it only has 10 days

 

CNY Total PS still on track for 800m+   $225-250m single BO day incoming. 80% higher than Domestic.

CNY OD continues to increase faster than the annual BO.  Lots of seats out there. Annual PTA is dropping

 

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13 minutes ago, a2k said:

So $800 ww for DP2's not happening it seems with only a 10-day run. Even $30 ow may not ensure $56 odd it needs to get that milestone. DP2 should go over DP1's ww though.

I think it will do. A film like DP 2 won't have crazy pre sales as "catch it first" rush will be missing. I mean its out digitally for a long time now. If DP2 manage anything there,. dP 3 is doing 3X that bare minimum.

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5 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Deadpool 2 Friday pre sales at 9:30 CST on Thursday ¥7.5mn. By end of day shall be around ¥15mn. Opening IMO around ¥55-60mn ($8-8.75mn).

Weekend around ¥200mn ($29mn).

I disagree. PS wont reach 15 mill IMO. 12-14 mill area is more likely IMO

 

OD and Weekend seems a bit high also. But lets see

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9 hours ago, seduh said:

Can anyone give detail on presales of CNY openers?

Right now these are the presales for OD on Maoyan:

 

Crazy Alien: 54.6m Yuan

Pegasus: 52.9m

The new king of comedy: 41.6m

The Wandering Earth: 17.0m

The knight of shadows: 12.0m

Integrity: 10.9m

Peppa Pig: 8.0m

Boonie Bears: 6.1m

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2 hours ago, peludo said:

Right now these are the presales for OD on Maoyan:

 

Crazy Alien: 54.6m Yuan

Pegasus: 52.9m

The new king of comedy: 41.6m

The Wandering Earth: 17.0m

The knight of shadows: 12.0m

Integrity: 10.9m

Peppa Pig: 8.0m

Boonie Bears: 6.1m

Still feel if TWE gets great reviews it will make more than Top 2. Maybe not OD but after a few days and total

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19 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Still feel if TWE gets great reviews it will make more than Top 2. Maybe not OD but after a few days and total

Sure. Operation Red Sea, the winner of the CNY last year, opened 4th with 129m Yuan. Monster Hunt 2 did a 546m OD but finished 3rd among CNY openers, making 1.4b less than Operation Red Sea.

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12 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Deadpool 2 Friday pre sales at 9:30 CST on Thursday ¥7.5mn. By end of day shall be around ¥15mn. Opening IMO around ¥55-60mn ($8-8.75mn).

Weekend around ¥200mn ($29mn).

 

7 hours ago, fmpro said:

I disagree. PS wont reach 15 mill IMO. 12-14 mill area is more likely IMO

 

OD and Weekend seems a bit high also. But lets see

PS picking up speed. Should get to 15m but I agree the weekend is too high

The common PSm 3.5 lately, though BBee was 4.  The Fri multi should be less than 3.3x since its a school out Friday.

Sticking with my projection  below as high end.  $23-25m

On 1/20/2019 at 1:49 PM, POTUS said:

DP2a  PS going to reach 2.55 tonight and on course for 15m. 

OD    50-55m

OW  165m/$25m OW

Tot   $40m   it only has 10 days

 

CNY Total PS still on track for 800m+   $225-250m single BO day incoming. 80% higher than Domestic.

CNY OD continues to increase faster than the annual BO.  Lots of seats out there. Annual PTA is dropping

 

 

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5 minutes ago, POTUS said:

 

PS picking up speed. Should get to 15m but I agree the weekend is too high

The common PSm 3.5 lately, though BBee was 4.  The Fri multi should be less than 3.3x since its a school out Friday.

Sticking with my projection  below as high end.  $23-25m

 

It will have better multiple for two reasons.

1. The late pick up momentum will continue on opening day as well 

2. It's delayed release so initial rush in pre release will be missing.

 

 

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