fabiopazzo2 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said: Opening In this world? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 On 11/1/2017 at 10:39 PM, keysersoze123 said: Interesting that weather plays a factor. I guess if it snows heavily it would be hard to go to multiplex. Anyway Thor 3 had good late acceleration. I think 4x PS should happen for sure. so its targeting 100m OD. [ 23 hours to go ]Thor Ragnarok Midnight:2.81 OD: 12.12 Sat: 5.82 Sun: 2.64 [1 day + 5.5 hours]Doctor Strange Midnight presales 1.27m OD presales 9.13M [1day + 5.5 hours]Fantastic Beasts Midnight presales 940k OD presales 10.65M Guardians 2 ( 1 days + 2 hours) midnights - 2.49m OD - 15.07m sat - 6.68m sun - 3.27m 23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Black Panther (2 days before release) Midnight - 2.77m OD - 19.20 (55026 shows) Sat - 8.59m Sun - 3.19m About 37% rise today for BP. OD 2 days out is already vlose to where DS and Thor 3 were at. Should cross JL tomorrow. Final PS maybe near SMH if it continues increasing like this Black Panther (1 days before release) Midnight - 3.72m OD - 26.78m (73969 shows) Sat - 12.93m Sun - 4.54m About 40% rise today for OD PS. I think a 70% increase is more likely for a final OD PS of 45-46. OD could be 160-190 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 GOTG2 had only 3.5x, while Thor3 close to 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 Midnights PS about 20% higher than SMH(9.9M yuan) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
commendable Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 57 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Black Panther (1 days before release) Midnight - 3.72m OD - 26.78m (73969 shows) Sat - 12.93m Sun - 4.54m About 40% rise today for OD PS. I think a 70% increase is more likely for a final OD PS of 45-46. OD could be 160-190 Am I misunderstand or did u say 169m opening day? You mean final gross right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, commendable said: Am I misunderstand or did u say 169m opening day? You mean final gross right? Unless numbers have a $ before them, everything is in Yuan. Roughly 6.5 yuan = $1, so 169m opening day is actually $23m opening day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 11 minutes ago, commendable said: Am I misunderstand or did u say 169m opening day? You mean final gross right? No, 160-190M opening day. That’s in Yuan though, not dollars. Would be an OD in the low-mid $20s. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
commendable Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Is opening day equal to Thursday +Friday like in us? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gotoheck Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Hey guys, I'm new here! Don't laugh at me but: How does the timezone thing work in China, when will we know the weekend numbers? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 33 minutes ago, commendable said: Am I misunderstand or did u say 169m opening day? You mean final gross right? All figures are in Yuan unless specified. If I or someone else reports a figure in dollars then it will have USD or the symbol next to it 19 minutes ago, commendable said: Is opening day equal to Thursday +Friday like in us? Generally no. Unlike in US markets, the Friday figures and Thursday figures are reported separately but both are counted towards the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 (edited) 2 hours ago, commendable said: So with average WoM, 90m opening, what's the final gross? most likely between 1.75-2.25x $155-225m. WoM dictates the swing uber WoM, 9.6 rating,can take a movie to the moon 1 hour ago, gotoheck said: Hey guys, I'm new here! Don't laugh at me but: How does the timezone thing work in China, when will we know the weekend numbers? welcome. China has real time BO revenue on http://piaofang.maoyan.com/?date=2018-03-09 we project the data through out OD/OW. We'll have the weekend estimate here within 5% by 2pm Friday Beijing/2am NY Edited March 7, 2018 by POTUS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the beast Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 41 minutes ago, POTUS said: most likely between 1.75-2.25x $155-225m. WoM dictates the swing uber WoM, 9.6 rating,can take a movie to the moon welcome. China has real time BO revenue on http://piaofang.maoyan.com/?date=2018-03-09 we project the data through out OD/OW. We'll have the weekend estimate here within 5% by 2pm Friday Beijing/2am NY What movie is being discussed? is it black Panther Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 27 minutes ago, the beast said: What movie is being discussed? is it black Panther Yes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeoC Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 How come China has a presales/real-time tracking platform while the rest of the world doesn't? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, LeoC said: How come China has a presales/real-time tracking platform while the rest of the world doesn't? One possible reason is that the market pre sales and is online much more than the rest of the world and is a newer one. I would imagine less platform pre-sales in the US you have the MT, Fandango, every theater chain, etc... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 (edited) 12 hours ago, POTUS said: most likely between 1.75-2.25x $155-225m. WoM dictates the swing uber WoM, 9.6 rating,can take a movie to the moon welcome. China has real time BO revenue on http://piaofang.maoyan.com/?date=2018-03-09 we project the data through out OD/OW. We'll have the weekend estimate here within 5% by 2pm Friday Beijing/2am NY 9.6 is almost impossible for CBM film WoM will be average at best case.Maybe is mixed on Maoyan. Edited March 8, 2018 by bangbingchan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 1 minute ago, bangbingchan said: 9.6 ratings impossible for CBM film WoM will be average at best case.Maybe is mixed on Maoyan. Douban score is currently 6.8 after close to 7,500 reviews. Maoyan score is usually quite a bit higher, so hopefully the score doesn't drop below 8.0. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 (edited) 51 minutes ago, KP1025 said: Douban score is currently 6.8 after close to 7,500 reviews. Maoyan score is usually quite a bit higher, so hopefully the score doesn't drop below 8.0. But even a 8.0 rating is low. Monster Hunt 2 has 8.1 and it has dropped quickly. If I am not wrong, to have good WoM it is needed, at very least, a high 8 rating in Maoyan. Edited March 8, 2018 by peludo 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 PS is upto 42.3 for opening day right now. I think when all is said and done the PS might end up at 44-45 which would be a 65-70% rise for today. I think an OD of maybe 165-170 is more likely given the relatively low early douban score and an OW of around 475-500 which would be 75-79 in USD. Thats still higher than any SH movie since Civil War if im not wrong. I doubt legs would be great though. 2x might be a struggle so a total of around 130-140 should be the target (should it open to 75-79 that is). Ofcourse it all depends on the ratings. If the audiences love it then it will drive the OW and the legs upwards 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted March 8, 2018 Share Posted March 8, 2018 6 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: PS is upto 42.3 for opening day right now. I think when all is said and done the PS might end up at 44-45 which would be a 65-70% rise for today. I think an OD of maybe 165-170 is more likely given the relatively low early douban score and an OW of around 475-500 which would be 75-79 in USD. Thats still higher than any SH movie since Civil War if im not wrong. I doubt legs would be great though. 2x might be a struggle so a total of around 130-140 should be the target (should it open to 75-79 that is). Ofcourse it all depends on the ratings. If the audiences love it then it will drive the OW and the legs upwards the third biggest MCU/CBM opening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
