The Mad Titan Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 8 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: In this moment with 20 days to go what is your prediction for the OW in China? I'm no Chinese BO expert but Ultron made $155 million in 2015. Looking at that and factoring in other variables like market expansion, I'm going $180 million. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 Just now, The Mad Titan said: I'm no Chinese BO expert but Ultron made $155 million in 2015. Looking at that and factoring in other variables like market expansion, I'm going $180 million. Ultron have 5/6 days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 13 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said: I'm no Chinese BO expert but Ultron made $155 million in 2015. Looking at that and factoring in other variables like market expansion, I'm going $180 million. Ultron opend on a tuesday and had a 6 day OW. Very hard to compare Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Mad Titan Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 17 minutes ago, fmpro said: Ultron opend on a tuesday and had a 6 day OW. Very hard to compare Didn't know that :/ Well, we will see I guess. It's final run was $240 million. US blockbusters tend to do about half of there total during there 3 day opening right? If it does $300 million total then it could do $150 million OW? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 7 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said: Didn't know that :/ Well, we will see I guess. It's final run was $240 million. US blockbusters tend to do about half of there total during there 3 day opening right? If it does $300 million total then it could do $150 million OW? Dunno.. Marvel is not Furious franchise in China. I think depends of the quality of the film Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 17 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said: Didn't know that :/ Well, we will see I guess. It's final run was $240 million. US blockbusters tend to do about half of there total during there 3 day opening right? If it does $300 million total then it could do $150 million OW? Its all about releasedates and WOM. The releasedate is only okay. I could see 135-155 mill OW and everthing from 1,6-2,1 multiplier So the range is 225(if WOM is horrible) to 325(9+ rating at maoyan) IMO 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 1 minute ago, fmpro said: Its all about releasedates and WOM. The releasedate is only okay. I could see 135-155 mill OW and everthing from 1,6-2,1 multiplier So the range is 225(if WOM is horrible) to 325(9+ rating at maoyan) IMO Agree Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 1 hour ago, fabiopazzo2 said: In this moment with 20 days to go what is your prediction for the OW in China? Very hard to tell this far out as to how it will play out. @POTUS is far more knowledgeable about the Chinese BO so I’ll just wait for his word. But an opening around 150 would be my guess at this point Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 (edited) 12 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: Very hard to tell this far out as to how it will play out. @POTUS is far more knowledgeable about the Chinese BO so I’ll just wait for his word. But an opening around 150 would be my guess at this point IW PS at 2.02m +50% Mon 1am. 150m is my guess right now. I can give a guestimate from PS in a few days. We need to see if it runs at 15, 20, or 25% daily after it settles in Even then the PS multi has been all over the place with a low of 2.3 for FF8 and as high as 7. I'll go with 3.3 probably Edited April 23, 2018 by POTUS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 AIW almost increased 20% today allready 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 2 hours ago, fmpro said: AIW almost increased 20% today allready Upto 30% at 4 pm. Should have another 50% increase at the very least Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Upto 30% at 4 pm. Should have another 50% increase at the very least Atleast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 Up to 22k shows now in 3 days. FF8 listed 20k in 8 hours its first day, hence the ascent to 4m so quickly. It should settle in at a steady rate (20%~?) daily by wed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 3m at 9pm for a 50% increase so far. Great increase for today and I suspect it will rise well the next few days after the reviews hit and numbers start coming from other countries and dom opening weekend but especially if more screens are added steadily. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 23, 2018 Author Share Posted April 23, 2018 Wanda still haven't added their schedules Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 (edited) US and them presale is nearly 50M. still 5 days out. Even it's frontloads.$300M is coming. Edited April 23, 2018 by bangbingchan 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 2 hours ago, bangbingchan said: US and them presale is nearly 50M. still 5 days out. Even it's frontloads.$300M is coming. I dont know. Not if dailies crash out of the gate. PS heading to 125m but may not do more than 2x. 250m/$40m OD and could do less than 5x that. $200m unless it holds better than the usual YA IW PS at 3.25 1am Tues. up 62% AoU had 81k shows on a 185k OD Tuesday IW will probably have double the shows on an OD Friday. FF8 had 165k shows 370m/$60m OD/ 1140m/181m OW will be possible if the fanbase has expanded a little but could have just a 1.6 OW multi and a $290m total The front load has been getting larger with fan base tent poles. This could set a new bar. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 23, 2018 Share Posted April 23, 2018 1 hour ago, POTUS said: I dont know. Not if dailies crash out of the gate. PS heading to 125m but may not do more than 2x. 250m/$40m OD and could do less than 5x that. $200m unless it holds better than the usual YA IW PS at 3.25 1am Tues. up 62% AoU had 81k shows on a 185k OD Tuesday IW will probably have double the shows on an OD Friday. FF8 had 165k shows 370m/$60m OD/ 1140m/181m OW will be possible if the fanbase has expanded a little but could have just a 1.6 OW multi and a $290m total The front load has been getting larger with fan base tent poles. This could set a new bar. A 9,2 on Maoyan could fix that multi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangbingchan Posted April 24, 2018 Share Posted April 24, 2018 (edited) 13 hours ago, POTUS said: I dont know. Not if dailies crash out of the gate. PS heading to 125m but may not do more than 2x. 250m/$40m OD and could do less than 5x that. $200m unless it holds better than the usual YA US and Them is not just a YA film.it's focus on story of migrant worker in big city.it's a nostalgic film.This may have potential to explode in big city and small village.Screen and preview WoM is excellent So far.Guess GA score Douban 7+ Maoyan 9+ It is So Young(2013) +Ex3 this year. Presale and Buzz is So strong So Young is top3 in 2013.Ex3 is top4 in 2017. Edited April 24, 2018 by bangbingchan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 24, 2018 Share Posted April 24, 2018 IW up by about 22% at 4pm. Had done about 30% yesterday at same point so the overall rise today will be about 45-50% unless boosted by the positive social media reviews. No huge amount of screen added today so far either 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...