Olive Posted April 29, 2018 Author Share Posted April 29, 2018 1 minute ago, POTUS said: IW PS going to be up 15% with just 2200 shows added. Just needs to be up 13% daily to 3 days out then 20, 30, 55% to get to 165m. The next 3 days will tell us whether it'll be 150m, 165m or 200m? I saw one theater had 6 shows listed from 930 to 2355. Some here said that FF8 had 7am shows. Maybe they added them last minute. @Proxima Olive are they up to 60k screens now? If it gets 30k screens at 6 shows per, it could have 180k shows. 10% more shows plus an 8% XR increase over FF8 gives $225m a good chance 55-56k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 14 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: Shiiiiit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 Legs can be as wonky as they come, but with the hype from all over the world, gonna be hard to see China not getting all caught up in it for OW. Really hoping for $200M now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 (edited) AIW 25,35 mill by sunday midnight 13,5% daily increase Edited April 29, 2018 by fmpro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 (edited) 14 hours ago, fmpro said: AIW 25,35 mill by sunday midnight 13,5% daily increase it was 22.3 at 1am last night 25.56 now +14.6% 66k shows MN 11m+9% That 1.1% can add up to millions down the road Edited April 30, 2018 by POTUS 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted April 29, 2018 Share Posted April 29, 2018 What kind of competition will Infinity War face in China? Maoyan says Deadpool 2 release is May 18, but I see no confirmation of that. Solo is on May 25, but that should not pose any threat at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 (edited) IW should come close to a 15% increase again today I projected out at 15% and combined patterns from the other 3 at th end to see what could possibly happen. I dont think its far fetched. Even though IW PS started up to a week earlier than the other 3, they are settling in at their low rate of increase at about the same time at 10/11 days out FF8 XR was $1=Y6.9 The current rate is 6.32 IW could have a smaller OW multi but I threw in FF8's for the hell of it I dont recall an SH movie getting a 9 rating on Maoyan. Antman and DR Strange had good holds/runs with an 8.9. AoU, CA3 and WW had 8.6. Spidey 8.1, BP 8 A 9 could make IW pop PS totals are at 1am. The final day could be 2-3am when they stop rolling in. JttW2 WC FF8 IW PS 1am OD %gain MN %gain PS % gain MN %gain OD gain % gain MN %gain OD gain %gain Sa 12.7 9.2 8.8 2.5 9.0 14.0% 18.5 3.1 26.5% Su 16.9 32.7% 11.0 19.6% 12.0 37.1% 5.4 2.9 116.0% 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% Mo 19.4 14.9% 13.0 18.2% 14.8 23.3% 8.3 2.9 53.7% 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% Tu 22.1 14.2% 14.9 14.6% 17.0 14.9% 11.4 3.1 37.3% 12.0 9.1% 29.3 3.7 14.6% We 25.5 15.3% 16.0 7.4% 20.0 17.6% 5.0 14.5 3.1 27.2% 13.2 10.0% 33.4 4.1 14.0% Th 29.1 14.1% 18.1 13.1% 23.0 15.0% 6.4 28.0% 19.5 5.0 34.5% 14.4 9.1% 38.3 4.9 14.7% Fr 33.3 14.4% 19.6 8.3% 27.0 17.4% 8.0 25.0% 24.6 5.1 26.2% 15.8 9.7% 44.0 5.7 14.9% Sa 38.4 15.3% 21.8 11.2% 31.5 16.7% 9.8 22.5% 33.0 8.4 34.1% 17.4 10.1% 50.5 6.5 14.8% Su 44.0 14.6% 22.5 3.2% 35.9 14.0% 11.3 15.3% 39.6 6.6 20.0% 19.2 10.3% 57.9 7.4 14.7% Mo 51.0 15.9% 23.4 4.0% 40.8 13.6% 13.6 20.4% 48.0 8.4 21.2% 21.1 9.9% 66.4 8.5 14.7% Tu 57.0 11.8% 25.7 9.8% 44.8 9.8% 17.4 27.9% 63.0 15.0 31.3% 23.2 10.0% 76.1 9.7 14.6% We 72.0 26.3% 27.1 5.4% 50.7 13.2% 22.0 26.4% 84.0 21.0 33.3% 25.5 9.9% 92.0 15.9 20.9% Th 88.8 23.3% 30.0 10.7% 64.8 27.8% 27.0 22.7% 106.0 22.0 26.2% 28.0 9.8% 110.0 18.0 19.6% Fr(OD) 140.0 57.7% 50.1 67.0% 96.0 48.1% 62.0 129.6% 165.0 59.0 55.7% 64.0 128.6% 170.0 60.0 54.5% OD 356.0 154.3% 251.5 162.0% 62.0 417.0 152.7% 64.0 429.0 152.4% Multi 2.54 2.62 2.52 2.52 OD OW Total OD $ OW $ Total $ JttW2 356 777 1656 52 113 240 WC 251 819 1472 36 125 225 FF8 417 1352 2671 60 196 387 IW 429 1390 2711 68 220 429 Edited April 30, 2018 by POTUS 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 8 minutes ago, POTUS said: IW should come close to a 15% increase again today I projected out at 15% and combined patterns from the other 3 at th end to see what could possibly happen. I dont think its far fetched. Even though IW PS started up to a week earlier than the other 3, they are settling in at their low rate of increase at about the same time at 10/11 days out FF8 XR was $1=Y6.9 The current rate is 6.32 IW could have a smaller OW multi but I threw in FF8's for the hell of it PS totals are at 1am. The final day could be 2-3am when they stop rolling in. JttW2 WC FF8 IW PS 1am OD %gain MN %gain PS % gain MN %gain OD gain % gain MN %gain OD gain %gain Sa 12.7 9.2 8.8 2.5 9.0 14.0% 18.5 3.1 26.5% Su 16.9 32.7% 11.0 19.6% 12.0 37.1% 5.4 2.9 116.0% 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% Mo 19.4 14.9% 13.0 18.2% 14.8 23.3% 8.3 2.9 53.7% 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% Tu 22.1 14.2% 14.9 14.6% 17.0 14.9% 11.4 3.1 37.3% 12.0 9.1% 29.3 3.7 14.6% We 25.5 15.3% 16.0 7.4% 20.0 17.6% 5.0 14.5 3.1 27.2% 13.2 10.0% 33.4 4.1 14.0% Th 29.1 14.1% 18.1 13.1% 23.0 15.0% 6.4 28.0% 19.5 5.0 34.5% 14.4 9.1% 38.3 4.9 14.7% Fr 33.3 14.4% 19.6 8.3% 27.0 17.4% 8.0 25.0% 24.6 5.1 26.2% 15.8 9.7% 44.0 5.7 14.9% Sa 38.4 15.3% 21.8 11.2% 31.5 16.7% 9.8 22.5% 33.0 8.4 34.1% 17.4 10.1% 50.5 6.5 14.8% Su 44.0 14.6% 22.5 3.2% 35.9 14.0% 11.3 15.3% 39.6 6.6 20.0% 19.2 10.3% 57.9 7.4 14.7% Mo 51.0 15.9% 23.4 4.0% 40.8 13.6% 13.6 20.4% 48.0 8.4 21.2% 21.1 9.9% 66.4 8.5 14.7% Tu 57.0 11.8% 25.7 9.8% 44.8 9.8% 17.4 27.9% 63.0 15.0 31.3% 23.2 10.0% 76.1 9.7 14.6% We 72.0 26.3% 27.1 5.4% 50.7 13.2% 22.0 26.4% 84.0 21.0 33.3% 25.5 9.9% 92.0 15.9 20.9% Th 88.8 23.3% 30.0 10.7% 64.8 27.8% 27.0 22.7% 106.0 22.0 26.2% 28.0 9.8% 110.0 18.0 19.6% Fr(OD) 140.0 57.7% 50.1 67.0% 96.0 48.1% 62.0 129.6% 165.0 59.0 55.7% 64.0 128.6% 170.0 60.0 54.5% OD 356.0 154.3% 251.5 162.0% 62.0 417.0 152.7% 64.0 429.0 152.4% Multi 2.54 2.62 2.52 2.52 OD OW Total OD $ OW $ Total $ JttW2 356 777 1656 52 113 240 WC 251 819 1472 36 125 225 FF8 417 1352 2671 60 196 387 IW 429 1390 2711 68 220 429 The shocking thing is that this feels like a genuinely modest prediction based on those increases I'm kinda concerned that we may see a new low for presales multi, especially OD, since I imagine this may have an even bigger up front demand than FF8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 So the hype in China is really really big if IW will open over 200M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 (edited) Edited April 30, 2018 by fabiopazzo2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 30, 2018 Author Share Posted April 30, 2018 (edited) IMAX tickets are selling like crazy fast, even Friday morning showtimes are 80%+ full around me. I will watch it in Dolby 3D at midnight(40% full now), and 2nd view on Sat morning IMAX show(75% full) Edited April 30, 2018 by Proxima Olive 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 30, 2018 Share Posted April 30, 2018 On 4/29/2018 at 11:31 PM, POTUS said: it was 22.3 at 1am last night 25.56 now +14.6% 66k shows MN 11m+9% That 1.1% can add up to millions down the road Infinity War (10 days out) Midnight - 11.87m OD - 29.05 (69700 screens) Sat - 18.38m Sun - 8.8 I couldnt get the 1 am update so got it as soon as I could. Increased about 13.7% today. It has already exceeded the total presale figure of Thor 3 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GraceRandolph Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 So 400M in China is basically dead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Mad Titan Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said: So 400M in China is basically dead? Uh? No? It’s very much alive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GraceRandolph Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, The Mad Titan said: Uh? No? It’s very much alive. Ok good. The road to 2B ww continues then . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 30 minutes ago, GraceRandolph said: Ok good. The road to 2B ww continues then . It's won't need 400m from china for it to hit 2B. 300m will do the job. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 1 minute ago, pepsa said: It's won't need 400m from china for it to hit 2B. 300m will do the job. We haven't seen the legs yet! Maybe it won't need China at all... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GraceRandolph Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, pepsa said: It's won't need 400m from china for it to hit 2B. 300m will do the job. I know. But 400 million basically guarantees it 100%. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 1, 2018 Share Posted May 1, 2018 Just now, GraceRandolph said: I know. But 400 million basically guarantees it 100%. You need that for avatar right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...