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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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Warcraft presales

Midnights

OD

 Gewara

 

M Yuan

~ $

M Yuan

~ $

Sold Tickets

14days+3.5 hours

7,84

          1 195 600,0   

4,71

        718 275,0   

 

14days+1.0 hours

8,21

          1 252 025,0   

4,99

        760 975,0   

                    68 757   

14days+0.0 hours

8,35

          1 273 375,0   

5,1

        777 750,0   

                    69 695   

13days+7.0 hours

10,19

          1 553 975,0   

7,6

    1 159 000,0   

                    91 081   

13days+0.0 hours

11,04

          1 683 600,0   

8,75

    1 334 375,0   

                  103 488   

12days+10.0 hours

11,89

          1 813 225,0   

10,15

    1 547 875,0   

                  115 488   

12days+0.0 hours

13,01

          1 984 025,0   

12,01

    1 831 525,0   

                  132 364   

11days+10.0 hours

13,77

          2 099 925,0   

13,32

    2 031 300,0   

                  146 496   

11days+5.0 hours

14,4

          2 196 000,0   

14,28

    2 177 700,0   

                  154 958   

11days+0.0 hours

14,93

          2 276 825,0   

14,88

    2 269 200,0   

                  162 487   

10days+10.0 hours

15,54

          2 369 850,0   

15,8

    2 409 500,0   

                  175 761   

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On Friday, May 27, 2016 at 4:54 PM, Mrstickball said:

 

Do you have a daily list for X-Men?

 

                         CA3.                    XMA                 WC                  

Days out    MN        OD               OD              MN     OD

0000 13                                                                       15m

0000 12                                                                       16

0000  11                                                                      17

0000  10                                                                      18

0000.   9     0.1m   0.3m              0.0m         18        20

0000    8     0.8       2.4                 2.3             19        23+15%

0000    7     1.2       3.6 +50%      3.2 +39%   20       27 +18%

0000    6     1.8       6.2 +72%      4.2 +31%   21.9    31.5 +17%

0000    5     2.1       8.1 +31%      4.9 +16%   23.5    35.9 +14%

0000    4     2.8.    11.9 +47%      6.2 +27%   24.8   40.8 +14%

0000    3     3.5     16.3 +37%      9.0 +45%   25.8   44.8 +10%

0000    2     4.8     25.4 +56%    11.1 +23%   27.0   50.9 +14%

0000    1     6.4     37.9 +50%    17.8 +60%   30.5   64.2 +26%

0000  OD  18.1     65.8 +75%    31.6 +78%   55.0   95.0 +49%

                                                    

CA3 OD Fri 5/6

OD Total  181m           x PS          2.75x  
OW Total 625m           Total       1245m

OD  Multi 6.88              OW Multi  1.99x

2.75 PS multi is in line with the norm for tentpoles

 

XMA OD Fri 6/3

OD Total   110m           x PS          3.48x
OW Total  384m           Total         803m

OD  Multi   7.3x             OW Multi  2.09x

3.48 PS multi is high due to weak PS, VG WOM and strong walk ups

 

WC OD Wed 6/8

OD Total    251m          x PS          2.64x
OW Total   819m          Total       1472m

OD  Multi   5.86x          OW Multi  1.79x

 

Edited by POTUS
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Warcraft presales

Midnights

OD

 Gewara

Days to issue

M Yuan

Day +
[M Yuan]

~ $

Day + [$]

M Yuan

Day +
[M Yuan]

~ $

Day + [$]

Sold Tickets

Day +

14

     8,44   

 

   1 287 100,0   

 

     5,13   

 

      782 325,0   

 

     69 696   

 

13

   11,03   

     2,59   

   1 682 075,0   

    394 975,0   

     8,75   

     3,62   

   1 334 375,0   

   552 050,0   

   103 488   

     33 792   

12

   13,01   

     1,98   

   1 984 025,0   

    301 950,0   

   12,01   

     3,26   

   1 831 525,0   

   497 150,0   

   132 364   

     28 876   

11

   14,93   

     1,92   

   2 276 825,0   

    292 800,0   

   14,88   

     2,87   

   2 269 200,0   

   437 675,0   

   162 487   

     30 123   

10

   16,07   

     1,14   

   2 450 675,0   

    173 850,0   

   17,02   

     2,14   

   2 595 550,0   

   326 350,0   

   186 670   

     24 183   

Edited by abra
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I'm thinking even more so that it was a Gameboy rush. PS continue grow at a slow pace. The tell tale sign is that OD is barely ahead of MN. I've never seen that before. OD should be 5 to 1 or even 10 to 1. Like elsewhere in the world, GA may not participate.

I'm thinking OD will be big but it will be frontloaded like Pamela anderson.

The hype has caught us many times. I'm going under $200m

Edited by No Prisoners
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23 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

The hype has caught us many times.

 

Not me.

 

 

Like I told to Peludo the other day, people are still making their China predictions with F7 in mind and assuming that the market is growing 50% annually so any movie with a little bit of hype should easily clear $300m or something. I can't for the life of me understand why people would lock 2B+ yuan for a movie weeks in advance based on presales especially considering that said movie has the biggest nerd fanbase ever in the country, which would obviously rush to watch it at midnight and on OD. Now when Warcraft does $175 to $225 million, most will view it as a disappointment.

 

And Olive is now saying that Apocalypse will drop from DOFP, that was obvious weeks ago imo. Let's see how many movies have been overpredicted this year.

 

TFA

KFP3

BvS

CW

X-Men

Warcraft (well, the jury's still out on 2B+ yuan I assume, but the "Mermaid is within reach" and $500m+ predictions are definitely not on the table anymore).

 

Despite all of this, I'm still 80% certain that people will still overpredict Independence Day like nothing ever happened. Movies that come out of nowhere like Zoo and Mermaid will be the ones to break records imo.

 

 

Edited by Agafin
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Warcraft presales

Midnights

OD

 Gewara

Days to issue

M Yuan

Day +
[M Yuan]

~ $

Day + [$]

M Yuan

Day +
[M Yuan]

~ $

Day + [$]

Sold Tickets

Day +

14

          8,44   

 

   1 287 100,0   

 

     5,13   

 

      782 325,0    

 

     69 696   

 

13

        11,03   

     2,59   

   1 682 075,0   

    394 975,0   

     8,75   

     3,62   

   1 334 375,0   

   552 050,0   

   103 488   

     33 792   

12

        13,01   

     1,98   

   1 984 025,0   

    301 950,0   

   12,01   

     3,26   

   1 831 525,0   

   497 150,0   

   132 364   

     28 876   

11

        14,93   

     1,92   

   2 276 825,0   

    292 800,0   

   14,88   

     2,87   

   2 269 200,0   

   437 675,0   

   162 487    

     30 123   

10

        16,07   

     1,14   

   2 450 675,0   

    173 850,0   

   17,02   

     2,14   

   2 595 550,0   

   326 350,0   

   186 670   

     24 183   

9

        18,12   

     2,05   

   2 763 300,0   

    312 625,0    

   20,06   

     3,04   

   3 059 150,0   

   463 600,0   

   212 223   

     25 553   

Edited by abra
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Warcraft presales

Midnights

OD

 Gewara

Days to issue

M Yuan

Day +
[M Yuan]

~ $

Day + [$]

M Yuan

Day +
[M Yuan]

~ $

Day + [$]

Sold Tickets

Day +

 

14

       8,44   

 

    1 287 100,0   

 

       5,13    

 

        782 325,0   

 

        69 696   

 

 

13

    11,03   

        2,59   

    1 682 075,0   

        394 975,0   

       8,75   

        3,62   

    1 334 375,0   

        552 050,0   

     103 488   

       33 792   

 

12

    13,01   

        1,98   

    1 984 025,0   

        301 950,0   

    12,01   

        3,26   

    1 831 525,0   

        497 150,0   

     132 364   

       28 876   

 

11

    14,93   

        1,92   

    2 276 825,0   

        292 800,0   

    14,88   

        2,87   

    2 269 200,0   

        437 675,0   

     162 487   

       30 123   

 

10

    16,07   

        1,14   

    2 450 675,0   

        173 850,0   

    17,02   

        2,14   

    2 595 550,0   

        326 350,0   

     186 670   

       24 183   

 

9

    18,12   

        2,05   

    2 763 300,0   

        312 625,0   

    20,06   

        3,04   

    3 059 150,0   

        463 600,0   

     212 223   

       25 553   

 

8

    22,51   

        4,39   

    3 432 775,0   

        669 475,0   

    27,79   

        7,73   

    4 237 975,0   

    1 178 825,0   

     251 482   

       39 259   

 

 

Today there is a clear jump :)

Edited by abra
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Warcraft presales

Midnights

OD

 Gewara

Days to issue

M Yuan

Day +
[M Yuan]

~ $

Day + [$]

M Yuan

Day +
[M Yuan]

~ $

Day + [$]

Sold Tickets

Day +

14

       8,44   

 

    1 287 100,0   

 

       5,13   

 

        782 325,0   

 

        69 696   

 

13

    11,03   

        2,59   

    1 682 075,0   

        394 975,0   

       8,75   

        3,62   

    1 334 375,0   

        552 050,0   

     103 488   

       33 792   

12

    13,01   

        1,98   

    1 984 025,0   

        301 950,0   

    12,01   

        3,26   

    1 831 525,0   

        497 150,0   

     132 364   

       28 876   

11

    14,93   

        1,92   

    2 276 825,0   

        292 800,0   

    14,88   

        2,87   

    2 269 200,0   

        437 675,0   

     162 487   

       30 123   

10

    16,07   

        1,14   

    2 450 675,0   

        173 850,0   

    17,02   

        2,14   

    2 595 550,0   

        326 350,0   

     186 670   

       24 183    

9

    18,12   

        2,05   

    2 763 300,0   

        312 625,0   

    20,06   

        3,04   

    3 059 150,0   

        463 600,0   

     212 223   

       25 553   

8

    22,51   

        4,39   

    3 432 775,0   

        669 475,0   

    27,79   

        7,73   

    4 237 975,0   

    1 178 825,0   

     251 482   

       39 259   

7

    19,63   

-      2,88   

    2 993 575,0   

-       439 200,0   

    25,17   

-      2,62   

    3 838 425,0   

-       399 550,0   

     290 613   

       39 131   

 

 

 

Today what results from Maoyan soared down. Unknown causes?
(Or a mistake, or yesterday's results were overestimated)

Edited by abra
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Cbo has 14m for XMA and 35m for WC. They are usually a bit higher. Not sure what is going with Maoyan. That jump from 20m to 27m seemed a bit big. Maybe its correct now.

 

XMA PS is now 40% CA3 on both Maoyan and CBO. That would be a 250m weekend. With WC coming on Wed it may not clear 400m/ $60m

 

Edited by No Prisoners
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4 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Cbo has 14m for XMA and 35m for WC. They are usually a bit higher. Not sure what is going with Maoyan. That jump from 20m to 27m seemed a bit big. Maybe its correct now.

 

XMA PS is now 40% CA3 on both Maoyan and CBO. That would be a 250m weekend. With WC coming on Wed it may not clear 400m/ $60m

 

 

Around 50% of DOFP. ouchhhhhh

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5 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Cbo has 14m for XMA and 35m for WC. They are usually a bit higher. Not sure what is going with Maoyan. That jump from 20m to 27m seemed a bit big. Maybe its correct now.

 

XMA PS is now 40% CA3 on both Maoyan and CBO. That would be a 250m weekend. With WC coming on Wed it may not clear 400m/ $60m

 

 

Cbo Warcraft

 

Warcraft presales

 

 

Midnights

 

 

OD

 

 

 Gewara

 

 

Days to issue

 

 

M Yuan

 

 

Day +
[M Yuan]

 

 

~ $

 

 

Day + [$]

 

 

M Yuan

 

 

Day +
[M Yuan]

 

 

~ $

 

 

Day + [$]

 

 

Sold Tickets

 

 

Day +

 

 

7

 

 

    23,40   

 

 

     

34,80

 

 

     

 290 613   

 

 

 39 131   

 

 


  

 

Edited by abra
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