UserHN Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 7 minutes ago, YLF said: Theres no way infinity war gets lower than a 9 on maoyan. Its doing well in all the Asian markets and has high ratings scores. It had like an 8.5 on douban. I have no idea how the Chinese moviegoers will react to the movie's ending. @POTUS @ZeeSoh @Proxima Olive are there any movies with sad endings that the Chinese rated high on Maoyan? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 27 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: I know I am being very conservative with my saturday numbers but on the other hand I think OD PS may come in even smaller than 180. Its 4:30 and PS is only up 13.6%. Usually I have seen over the past 2 days that midpoint for PS is 5pm. So lets say it gets to 14.5% in the next half hour which will take it to 29% till midnight. Lets give an extra 6% till tomorrow morning for a total increase of 35% and a final PS of 173 With this PS the number then becomes MN - 65 OD- 430 Sat - 540 (25% jump) Sun - 380 ============= Total - 1415 Yuan or $222m USD But I hope you are right about the walk up and a higher OD multi part Midnights also needs to pop to get to 65 mill. Only doing 1 mill/hour atm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Up about 15% at 5pm which has been the midpoint for the past 2 days so far. If true then PS will rise by 30% till midnight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 27 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: I know I am being very conservative with my saturday numbers but on the other hand I think OD PS may come in even smaller than 180. Its 4:30 and PS is only up 13.6%. Usually I have seen over the past 2 days that midpoint for PS is 5pm. So lets say it gets to 14.5% in the next half hour which will take it to 29% till midnight. Lets give an extra 6% till tomorrow morning for a total increase of 35% and a final PS of 173 With this PS the number then becomes MN - 65 OD- 430 Sat - 540 (25% jump) Sun - 380 ============= Total - 1415 Yuan or $222m USD But I hope you are right about the walk up and a higher OD multi part Aside from CNY I've never seen a movie bump just 30% on the last day of PS. WC at 48% was the lowest. It should pick up speed. Last half hour was was 1.6m. Hopefully it gets well over 4m p/h soon 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 (edited) I think OD presales are on catchup, I just saw it going at 10M per hour!! Definitely something wrong with Maoyan though as it keeps freezing for a while and then playing catchup. Maybe IW broke it Edit: and just a couple minutes later it's frozen again at 149.1285m Edited May 10, 2018 by feasby007 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Perhaps it is just a saturation problem which leads to potential spillover next couple of days. Does the average theater in China do seat selection. Saturday is continuing to steam ahead maybe because people are deferring from Friday for better seats. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 1 minute ago, eXtacy said: Perhaps it is just a saturation problem which leads to potential spillover next couple of days. Does the average theater in China do seat selection. Saturday is continuing to steam ahead maybe because people are deferring from Friday for better seats. this is saturation graph for Friday: http://piaofang.maoyan.com/movie/248170/fullrate 58% of showings still have less than 10% of seats sold. it could be that in the bigger cities the best showings and seats are sold out perhaps. which would correlate with Olive saying that smaller towns won't see this as much as FF8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 (edited) For comparison, here's the OD saturation on Maoyan for MH2 and FF8. Ignore the bad translation of the numbers on the left. FF8: MH2: I think it's easy to see here that MH2 had much larger screens, as MH2 had a much larger OD. Edited May 10, 2018 by feasby007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 (edited) I just casually read a couple of box office message boards at Chinese Baidu (in Chinese). Quite a numbers of posters there prefer CBO over Maoyan, claiming that Maoyan often go into 恶意抽风 "malicious convulsion/seizures", while others still think Maoyan is better, chiding CBO for jacking up the numbers at times. Edited May 10, 2018 by justvision Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bonenash Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 20 minutes ago, feasby007 said: I think OD presales are on catchup, I just saw it going at 10M per hour!! Definitely something wrong with Maoyan though as it keeps freezing for a while and then playing catchup. Maybe IW broke it Edit: and just a couple minutes later it's frozen again at 149.1285m THANOW hammered Moyan lol throw a moon on the site :/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bonenash said: THANOW hammered Moyan lol throw a moon on the site :/ Thanos? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 Guys, please watch the spoilers. They arent allowed in here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 (edited) Up 20.8% at 7 pm or about 5.5% in the last 2 hours. Still not seeing more than 35% jump for today About 20k screens have been added today so far and PS has risen 20% too. Seems like my guess was right. Edited May 10, 2018 by ZeeSoh 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 7pm midnights 42. 5 hours to go OD 154,6. 5(+3) hours to go 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 10, 2018 Author Share Posted May 10, 2018 Based on the performance in cinemas around me, it probably won't beat FF8's midnight record. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 (edited) OD run rate climbing to 4.5m p/hr. Itll clear 180m, jury still out on 190m, needs to increase to 6m p/hr MN at 2.2m p/hr and climbing. not sure if it'll reach 60m Sat PS still running strong. CA3 bumped 37% from 180m to 248m. Large numbers for 2 years ago. Maybe 37% can happen here. CA3's OD to OW ratio was 3.46. IW would need a 474m OD. That would need a 2.56 PS multi on 185m. up to 2.75 could happen. I doubt its below 2.5 as PTA is not more saturated than FF8 $258m still in play. $230m base just about locked Edited May 10, 2018 by POTUS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 18 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said: Based on the performance in cinemas around me, it probably won't beat FF8's midnight record. But can it beat FF8 in OD? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 7,30 pm MN 43,3 OD 156,9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 (edited) On 5/8/2018 at 12:15 PM, Gavin Feng said: OW Pre-Sale Record Monster Hunt 2 - ¥367M The Fate of the Furious - ¥325M Detective Chinatown - ¥238M Avengers: Infinity War - ¥214M (58 hours before opening) Transformers 5 - ¥201M With about 370 so far, IW has broken the OW pre-sale record! 400 will happen. Edited May 10, 2018 by ZeeSoh 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted May 10, 2018 Share Posted May 10, 2018 I’m bad at time zones how long until this opens? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
