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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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IW 0000 OD

MN  58.2m     should climb higher

OD  177m      not the final total until it stops tallying, 3am maybe.  Did 5m in the last hour 

Sa   122m      Thats a huge second day record

Su     51m

 

Shows   

MN  18k          not final, will update

OD  178k        FF8 had 150k at 0000,  163k at end of OD

 

 

I'll put the PS chart in here later

Busiest this PS thread has ever been, and now we're done

Its been fun

:hiphiphoray:

Edited by POTUS
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23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Infinity War (1 days out)

 

Midnight - 30.36

OD - 128.44 (+20%)(154,484 screens)

Sat - 94 (+22.7%)

Sun - 40.72 (+21.4%)

 

About same increase as yesterday. I had expected around 25% today so it came under expectations for the first time. Still it already is a very strong result and guarantees that the OD PS are over F8. Around 21k screens were added today. 

 

As for tomorrow I doubt it can get over a 50% increase although I will be very happy if it did. If it can only rise to about 180-190k screens tomorrow then I think it will only manage a 40% rise tomorrow. However if it can get to 200k or close then it could do 50%. Will have to wait and see what happens. 

 

Right now I am at 220m usd OW but if it can manage 50% tomorrow then that number will rise

 

 

Infinity War (0 days out)

 

Midnight - 59.2 (17992 screens)

OD - 177.16 (+38%)(177,881 screens)

Sat - 122 (+29.8%) (154,176 screens)

Sun - 51.5 (+26.5%) (128,352 screens)

 

So there it is, the last daily update. It was fun tracking and discussing this behemoth. This is why it is so exciting to be here. 

 

Amazing and astonishing run from IW and I hope @Gavin Feng will give us that updated chart one last time. 

 

Now the presales figures will actually keep on rising overnight for OD and obviously the sat-sun numbers will keep rising till the shows open on their respective days. 

 

As for the final OD PS number I will try and get a final update tomorrow morning before the shows opens. 

 

Jurassic Park 2 will be the next big movie to track so looking forward to that. 

 

Now onto the main thread where the main weekend action will take place!

Edited by ZeeSoh
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1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:

A you are being of no help and B you are derailing the thread. People come here to check up on and discuss numbers not see the same, done a million times, beaten to the ground, unfunny joke that always ends up derailing the thread. Others know this, maybe YOU should work on that

Sorry butter cup but a lot of people like to read jokes as well. His post was much appreciated and it didn’t derail the thread.  

Edited by GraceRandolph
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30 minutes ago, POTUS said:

 

Busiest this PS thread has ever been, and now we're done

Its been fun

:hiphiphoray:

About 32 pages have been dedicated to IW out 128. Thats 25% or about 1/4th of the entire 2+ years thread spent in talking about this movie 😛

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PS stalling at 182m

Projected below the low end following FF8s run at 2.5xPS and a 17% bump on Sat=$234mOW

and 2.7xPS, 30% Sat bump= $263m

I still think it falls into the higher end

______________________________________

Updated to Actuals       

 

  JttW2     WC         FF8           IW          
PS 1am OD %gain   MN %gain PS % gain   MN %gain OD gain % gain   MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows
Sa 12.7     9.2   8.8         2.5       9.0 14.0% 18.5 3.1 26.5% 59.2
Su 16.9 32.7%   11.0 19.6% 12.0 37.1%       5.4 2.9 116.0%   10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0
Mo 19.4 14.9%   13.0 18.2% 14.8 23.3%       8.3 2.9 53.7%   11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0
Tu 22.1 14.2%   14.9 14.6% 17.0 14.9%       11.4 3.1 37.3%   11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7
We 25.5 15.3%   16.0 7.4% 20.0 17.6%   5.0   14.5 3.1 27.2%   12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8
Th 29.1 14.1%   18.1 13.1% 23.0 15.0%   6.4 28.0% 19.5 5.0 34.5%   15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7
Fr 33.3 14.4%   19.6 8.3% 27.0 17.4%   8.0 25.0% 24.6 5.1 26.2%   16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9
Sa 38.4 15.3%   21.8 11.2% 31.5 16.7%   9.8 22.5% 33.0 8.4 34.1%   17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1
Su 44.0 14.6%   22.5 3.2% 35.9 14.0%   11.3 15.3% 39.6 6.6 20.0%   19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0
Mo 51.0 15.9%   23.4 4.0% 40.8 13.6%   13.6 20.4% 48.0 8.4 21.2%   20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5
Tu 57.0 11.8%   25.7 9.8% 44.8 9.8%   17.4 27.9% 63.0 15.0 31.3%   22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8
We 72.0 26.3%   27.1 5.4% 50.7 13.2%   22.0 26.4% 84.0 21.0 33.3%   25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6
Th 88.8 23.3%   30.0 10.7% 64.8 27.8%   27.0 22.7% 106.0 22.0 26.2%   30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6
Fr(OD) 140.0 57.7%   50.1 67.0% 96.0 48.1%   62.0 129.6% 165.0 59.0 55.7%   59.5 99.3% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0
OD BO 354.0 152.9%       251.5 162.0%   62.0   417.0   152.7%   59.5   387.0   112.6% 182.0
Multi   2.54         2.62           2.52           2.52  
                                         
  OD OW   Total OD $ OW $ Total $                          
JttW2 356 777   1656 52 113 240                          
WC 251 819   1472 36 125 225                          
FF8 417 1352   2671 60 196 387                          
IW 387 1271   2220 61 200 350                          

    

Edited by POTUS
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11 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

About 32 pages have been dedicated to IW out 128. Thats 25% or about 1/4th of the entire 2+ years thread spent in talking about this movie 😛

Sorry but I'm really confused at some of the posts in this thread. At the end of the day, what's your projection for IW's OW in China? Above the $220M number you suggested earlier?

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14 hours ago, Rebeccas said:

Um guys, didn't we do this 2 weeks ago in the Domestic thread when Thursday previews came in..

Totally different situation.Marvel is more frontloads than other films in China.So if MN number fall short of FF8,AiW cant surpass FF8 in daytime.FF8 has much stronger walk-ups.

Edited by bangbingchan
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3 hours ago, JB33 said:

Sorry but I'm really confused at some of the posts in this thread. At the end of the day, what's your projection for IW's OW in China? Above the $220M number you suggested earlier?

At the end of Tuesday night I said IW will do 204, end of Wednesday I said 220. Looks like the former might be more accurate looking at the Friday numbers. 

 

Right now I will go with the lower 204m number that I said 2 days back

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On 4/27/2018 at 3:40 PM, POTUS said:

Slowing down to +25% today

could be 15% tomorrow then run as highlighted above which now takes it above 160m+

Thats my call.

$190m-210m OW. Assuming show count is 160-170k

 

Edit. Forgot about XR. I think it will close to FF8 in yuan for OW but it has a better XR at $1=Y6.34

FF8 would have opened to $213m with todays XR

I got to go with $205-225m

Dammit I was right on my first call 14 days out

14 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

At the end of Tuesday night I said IW will do 204, end of Wednesday I said 220. Looks like the former might be more accurate looking at the Friday numbers. 

 

Right now I will go with the lower 204m number that I said 2 days back

 

Nice call on your part

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2 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said:

Ranger Solo PS just begin with 32 yuan which means 1 ticket.

 

What!!! it's going to be huge. Easly 400m yuan opening inc !! :ohmyzod:

Spoiler

:gold:

 

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18 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said:

Ranger Solo PS just begin with 32 yuan which means 1 ticket.

SW movies are fine w/o China. They don't need it. Even if Solo does only $20M in China, it won't matter much. No one needs to worry. There is no need for anyone to mock it either.

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3 minutes ago, UserHN said:

SW movies are fine w/o China. They don't need it. Even if Solo does only $20M in China, it won't matter much. No one needs to worry. There is no need for anyone to mock it either.

To be fair I like SW a lot, the ractions say it was different to other movies so I hope it rebounds and does $50m

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10 minutes ago, UserHN said:

SW movies are fine w/o China. They don't need it. Even if Solo does only $20M in China, it won't matter much. No one needs to worry. There is no need for anyone to mock it either.

Why shouldn’t we mock Star Wars ? Of course if it does 20 million in China it will matter and limit its worldwide gross.

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