Gavin Feng Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 7 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said: What about the second day? $16M lifetime. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 18, 2018 Share Posted May 18, 2018 watch it overperform and get to 17.8M! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojoguy Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 China hates Rangers more than Star Wars obviously. Disney really missed up with that title change. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 (edited) Finally listing Solo shows. At 7500. PS at 155k. I assume it'll get at least 20% share at 55k. After rolling out today and tomorrow PS should double or more every day with the late start. I wont be able to gauge anything until Tuesday. Edited May 19, 2018 by POTUS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 Solo finished first day of PS at 400k with 10.4k shows. 100% daily gains get it to 12m PS, 40m OD, 130m/ $20m OW 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 40 minutes ago, POTUS said: Solo finished first day of PS at 400k with 10.4k shows. 100% daily gains get it to 12m PS, 40m OD, 130m/ $20m OW what? $20M OW? So it's gonna make about as much as TLJ total? Why isn't it dropping? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 1 minute ago, Valonqar said: what? $20M OW? So it's gonna make about as much as TLJ total? Why isn't it dropping? Last Jedi did 28m OW, 20m would still be a near 30% drop. Star wars china OW trajectory 52->30->28->20 if 20 happen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kswiston Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 2 minutes ago, Barnack said: Last Jedi did 28m OW, 20m would still be a near 30% drop. Star wars china OW trajectory 52->30->28->20 if 20 happen. People here also had TLJ at like $70M at one point in the presales analysis cycle, so we'll see where things land. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 57 minutes ago, Valonqar said: what? $20M OW? So it's gonna make about as much as TLJ total? Why isn't it dropping? Thats just an extrapolation assuming it doubles PS everyday and then hit typical multipliers on OW. It is rare for PS to double everyday till the last day however its not impossible seeing that PS are starting this late. But we will get a better idea what the final PS will be by Monday or Tuesday. Also whether it hits typical multipliers will depend on ratings and WoM. Given how SW performs in China I doubt it will get good rating and hit typical multies. Also TLJ had a multi of just 1.5. Even if Solo does 20m OW and with TLJ multi it will only hit 30m total which would be a drop of nearly 38% from TLJ which would be substantial given how low TLJ was to begin with. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 19, 2018 Share Posted May 19, 2018 (edited) 33 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Thats just an extrapolation assuming it doubles PS everyday and then hit typical multipliers on OW. It is rare for PS to double everyday till the last day however its not impossible seeing that PS are starting this late. But we will get a better idea what the final PS will be by Monday or Tuesday. Also whether it hits typical multipliers will depend on ratings and WoM. Given how SW performs in China I doubt it will get good rating and hit typical multies. Also TLJ had a multi of just 1.5. Even if Solo does 20m OW and with TLJ multi it will only hit 30m total which would be a drop of nearly 38% from TLJ which would be substantial given how low TLJ was to begin with. Yes, just a possibility since PS started late. Movies usually double or more the first 3 days and I have seen a movie double the last two that started late. It seems like a reasonable prediction based in the 400k its first day. Not a projection, yet. Edited May 19, 2018 by POTUS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 Solo has the strangest PS run ever. Only 2k shows added instead of 5k+. PS at just 450k. Not doubling today as per usual for the second day of the rollout. Just at 12k shows. Usually 50% of shows are listed by sunday. It will have 55-60k shows. Thats that's 10k per day to be listed thru thursday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 20 minutes ago, POTUS said: Solo has the strangest PS run ever. Only 2k shows added instead of 5k+. PS at just 450k. Not doubling today as per usual for the second day of the rollout. Just at 12k shows. Usually 50% of shows are listed by sunday. It will have 55-60k shows. Thats that's 10k per day to be listed thru thursday. I feel like most theatres scheduled just one or two showings to see what presales would be like, realised that nobody wants to watch it and are now very reluctant to put new shows up. I genuinely feel it could have just 30k shows and a very low psm (like 2.5x) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 3 minutes ago, feasby007 said: I feel like most theatres scheduled just one or two showings to see what presales would be like, realised that nobody wants to watch it and are now very reluctant to put new shows up. I genuinely feel it could have just 30k shows and a very low psm (like 2.5x) They gave 57k shows to AQP with IW expecting a $50m weekend. They cant be expecting much worse than that with IW doing just 20-25m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 20, 2018 Author Share Posted May 20, 2018 Big part of Solo PS are just locked showtimes(锁场).Not real PS. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 19 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said: Big part of Solo PS are just locked showtimes(锁场).Not real PS. lol to think it couldn't get any worse for Solo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 I had some hope for Solo after it did relatively ok after 10k shows listed. But seeing it add only about 3k shows today and barely increasing in PS rather than doubling plus what Olive said, this is heading to be an epic trainwreck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 Thanks guys! Really appreciate your input! Bring on an epic trainwreck cause that's fun, so-so/could-have-been-worse runs are not. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 (edited) Solo increased about 60% on Sunday with 640k in PS. It added about 3.5k shows for a total of 13,857 screens. Thats very poor considering we were hoping for a doubling at least. The relatively low rise is due to the very low amount of screens it added today. Only 14k screens 4 days out seems very concerning. Even if it doubles everyday from here on out it will get to only 10m yuan in final PS and then only to 18.8m usd OW using typical multipliers which Solo may not have. From there if it follows TLJ multi it will get to 28 total which will be nearly 42% drop from TLJ. A 2x multi gets it to 37.6m usd. I think the multi off of OW will be as low as TLJ. Suffice to say things are going bad to worse for Ranger Solo. Edited May 20, 2018 by ZeeSoh 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YLF Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 2 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Solo increased about 60% on Sunday with 640k in PS. It added about 3.5k shows for a total of 13,857 screens. Thats very poor considering we were hoping for a doubling at least. The relatively low rise is due to the very low amount of screens it added today. Only 14k screens 4 days out seems very concerning. Even if it doubles everyday from here on out it will get to only 10m yuan in final PS and then only to 18.8m usd OW. From there if it follows TLJ multi it will get to 28 total which will be nearly 42% drop from TLJ. A 2x multi gets it to 37.6m usd. I doubt it will double PS every day and I think the multi off of OW will be as low as TLJ. Suffice to say things are going bad to worse for Ranger Solo. Yikes. Its not looking good almost anywhere pre-sale wise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted May 20, 2018 Share Posted May 20, 2018 49 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Solo increased about 60% on Sunday with 640k in PS. It added about 3.5k shows for a total of 13,857 screens. Thats very poor considering we were hoping for a doubling at least. The relatively low rise is due to the very low amount of screens it added today. Only 14k screens 4 days out seems very concerning. Even if it doubles everyday from here on out it will get to only 10m yuan in final PS and then only to 18.8m usd OW using typical multipliers which Solo may not have. From there if it follows TLJ multi it will get to 28 total which will be nearly 42% drop from TLJ. A 2x multi gets it to 37.6m usd. I think the multi off of OW will be as low as TLJ. Suffice to say things are going bad to worse for Ranger Solo. Hmm. Wonder if we’re going below 400 DOM+China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...