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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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Posted (edited)

¥1mn per hour pace in last one hour. Shall go for ¥15-20mn day today for OD.

Edited by Charlie Jatinder

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Based on the presales pattern throughout the week, it looks like EG will have a huge OD day, then a large drop on Thu and then significant increases on Fri/Sat.

 

Previews: 125M

Wed: 450M

Thu: 250M

Fri: 325M

Sat: 400M

Sun: 200M

 

Total: 1750M

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6 minutes ago, Fake said:

Based on the presales pattern throughout the week, it looks like EG will have a huge OD day, then a large drop on Thu and then significant increases on Fri/Sat.

 

Previews: 125M

Wed: 450M

Thu: 250M

Fri: 325M

Sat: 400M

Sun: 200M

 

Total: 1750M

 

I don't think anyone would be disappointed with that scenario :) 

 

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19 minutes ago, Fake said:

Based on the presales pattern throughout the week, it looks like EG will have a huge OD day, then a large drop on Thu and then significant increases on Fri/Sat.

 

Previews: 125M

Wed: 450M

Thu: 250M

Fri: 325M

Sat: 400M

Sun: 200M

 

Total: 1750M

Someone finally talking sense.

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12 hours ago, Fake said:

Going to IMAX Noida on Saturday with my wife... Cuz i m gettinh married on Friday 26th April. It's the endgame of our love story. :)

 

I saw The Avengers with a friend 

I saw Age of Ultron with my girlfriend.

I saw Infinity War with my fiance.

I will see Endgame with my wife.

 

All r the same person.

 

congrats! Fake

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Midnight presales speed is very slow, but OD is picking up, premier is on 18, Let's see where the no's goes after that

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4 minutes ago, bgs said:

Midnight presales speed is very slow

Can’t buy seats when there are no good seats to buy XD

 

Need more showings added for midnight growth, will happen gradually over next 9 days.

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The wandering earth performed very well in China, collected $693m at the box office, usa china  trade war is pretty much solved, not getting any new news, I think endgame will get maoyan score above 9.2, also there is holidays in the second weekend, so can it touch magic fig of $600m 

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How about record opening day of all time. ¥546,857,700 for that.

 

Considering it will reach ¥300mn pre-sales, 1.8 PSm for that. Infinity War was 2.17x and that's lowest for Hollywood I have seen till date.

 

Monster Hunt 2 itself was 1.85x with ¥295mn pre-sales but that had poor Maoyan score and just 140k shows so scope of growth was less. Endgame will have 200k plus shows easily and let's assume Infinity War reception though initial hearsay says its better.

 

PS. For those who don't hover around China forum, if Endgame achieved that number, it will be $82mn in terms of dollars.

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5 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

We’re getting the patented CBO posters for presales now :ohmygod:  

2895-B5-E7-8586-486-B-AE8-A-F725-BB28-BE

¥200mn in 50 hours and change. Noice.

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7 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

My expected pre-sales for opening day Avengers: Endgame

 

11 Days Out    ¥37.24
10 Days Out    ¥65.70

9 Days Out    ¥84.00
8 Days Out    ¥97.00
7 Days Out    ¥107.00
6 Days Out    ¥118.00
5 Days Out    ¥129.00
4 Days Out    ¥144.00
3 Days Out    ¥164.00
2 Days Out    ¥195.00
1 Day Out    ¥230.00


Final            ¥300.00

I was thinking 10 -15% daily gains as well with less tgan normal shows left to post. The last day may only bump 20% if there arent many shows left and saturation is high. I say 275m

3 hours ago, Fake said:

Based on the presales pattern throughout the week, it looks like EG will have a huge OD day, then a large drop on Thu and then significant increases on Fri/Sat.

 

Previews: 125M

Wed: 450M

Thu: 250M

Fri: 325M

Sat: 400M

Sun: 200M

 

Total: 1750M

That looks good and similar to AoUs pattern. I think Saturday matches OD.

AoU Sat beat tues OD but that was a Sat before a regular Sunday

1 hour ago, bgs said:

Midnight presales speed is very slow, but OD is picking up, premier is on 18, Let's see where the no's goes after that

Very few shows added. That will crawl until the last day.

 

@Olive or @firedeep are they going to do a 330am showing after MN shows? Or just one show per screen. Hard to imagine more than 30k screens. I doubt the demand will be there in 3rd and 4th tier cities.

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37 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

I was thinking 10 -15% daily gains as well with less tgan normal shows left to post. The last day may only bump 20% if there arent many shows left and saturation is high. I say 275m

That looks good and similar to AoUs pattern. I think Saturday matches OD.

AoU Sat beat tues OD but that was a Sat before a regular Sunday

Very few shows added. That will crawl until the last day.

 

@Olive or @firedeep are they going to do a 330am showing after MN shows? Or just one show per screen. Hard to imagine more than 30k screens. I doubt the demand will be there in 3rd and 4th tier cities.

Most IMax theaters already listed 330 and early morning shows.

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30k midnight shows are happening

1 hour ago, POTUS 2020 said:

I was thinking 10 -15% daily gains as well with less tgan normal shows left to post. The last day may only bump 20% if there arent many shows left and saturation is high. I say 275m

That looks good and similar to AoUs pattern. I think Saturday matches OD.

AoU Sat beat tues OD but that was a Sat before a regular Sunday

Very few shows added. That will crawl until the last day.

 

@Olive or @firedeep are they going to do a 330am showing after MN shows? Or just one show per screen. Hard to imagine more than 30k screens. I doubt the demand will be there in 3rd and 4th tier cities.

4th and 5th tier cities are indeed selling much worse. otherwise, even 40k would be possible.

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36 minutes ago, Olive said:

Most IMax theaters already listed 330 and early morning shows.

Do they follow US where shows before 6am count as previews / midnights? 

 

I.e. are the 3:30am shows counted towards 23rd or 24th

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36 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Do they follow US where shows before 6am count as previews / midnights? 

 

I.e. are the 3:30am shows counted towards 23rd or 24th

23rd

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