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Olive

Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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Posted (edited)

I need to point out that Maoyan numbers are based on the tickets sold on maoyan APP(around 60% market share), thus they can be off by a lot.Maoyan will keep adjusting (sometimes not change for  hours, won't decrease though). Usually  Maoyan is more reliable source than TPP.

Edited by Olive
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Posted (edited)

 

8 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Here's the best I can do. Expecting a normal Infinity War reception, this is what I think gonna happen.

In-Shot-20190414-191424532.jpg

 

I wanna know how @Olive @POTUS 2020 and @fmpro feel about this.

close to what I'm thinking, if it gets at least 200k shows on OD

OD a little lower than you, Sat matching OD

150

425

266

310

425

215

1791/$266m

IW first 5 days was Y1463/$230m

1 hour ago, bgs said:

I still think Hollywood movies are still not able to penetrate 3rd and 4th tier cities, Only film that can cross $500m is Avatar 2, it will have insane visuals ,aquaman will look like baby in front of this movie , lord Cameron

You and @IronJimbo should go out and get a drink together

Edited by POTUS 2020
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1 hour ago, bgs said:

I still think Hollywood movies are still not able to penetrate 3rd and 4th tier cities, Only film that can cross $500m is Avatar 2, it will have insane visuals ,aquaman will look like baby in front of this movie , lord Cameron

hey well said dude

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8 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Here's the best I can do. Expecting a normal Infinity War reception, this is what I think gonna happen.

In-Shot-20190414-191424532.jpg

 

I wanna know how @Olive @POTUS 2020 and @fmpro feel about this.

Really tough this far out. MN looks okay atp. OD could also reach 425-450 like you say. But i would not be surprised if thursday drops 40+%. The rush factor is out of this world.

 

If WOM and maoyan score is same or better than IW i could easy see 1,8B - 5day. But so far your prediction looks solid

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If EG gets into the 9.1 - 9.3 range on Maoyan, with the holidays after OW, it's not crazy to think it could be pushing $425m by May 5.

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2 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Wrong thread, sorry 🤣😅

Spoiler

-8 !

 

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High Maoyan rating don't apply to record-breaking movie, FF8 had 9.4-9.5 rating ,yet had average legs. 

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1 minute ago, Olive said:

High Maoyan rating don't apply to record-breaking movie, FF8 had 9.4-9.5 rating ,yet had average legs. 

agreed still its not like many hlw movie have better legs than this especially with that ow

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2 minutes ago, Olive said:

High Maoyan rating don't apply to record-breaking movie, FF8 had 9.4-9.5 rating ,yet had average legs. 

True, how much help will it get from the May day holidays in its second wk? 

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2 minutes ago, Olive said:

High Maoyan rating don't apply to record-breaking movie, FF8 had 9.4-9.5 rating ,yet had average legs. 

 

But if EG has the same legs as FF8, we're looking at $500m or more :) 

Of course, I know that's unlikely, but a high rating at least keeps it on course whereas a low rating can definitely kill the legs. 

 

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7 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Avengers: Endgame T-9 days

Midnight: ¥68.3mn (26k shows) (+6%)
Wednesday: ¥79mn (123k shows) (+20%)
Thursday: ¥16.8mn (79k shows) (+24%)
Friday: ¥20mn (71k shows) (+33%)
Saturday: ¥23.4mn (63k shows) (+36%)
Sunday: ¥6.5mn (51k shows) (+27%)


Total: ¥214mn or $32mn (+18%)

Comp

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk

 

5 hours ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Midnights just made a huge jump to ¥78.9m.

 

Total pre-sales now ¥232m.

 

5 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

 

I think about 4k shows where just added?

 

 

4 hours ago, feasby007 said:

Agreed, pretty sure it was 25k earlier today like 10 hours ago when I looked. For some reason sales jumped but not shows.

 

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2 hours ago, Olive said:

High Maoyan rating don't apply to record-breaking movie, FF8 had 9.4-9.5 rating ,yet had average legs. 

Yeah but far here from China, that and Taopiaopiao are the best idea to us about WoM. Ofcourse you would know the ground realty 

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8 hours ago, ThomasNicole said:

It won’t and nobody is expecting that in the first place.

Yeah. Who even expected $3B from EG? Oh, I know one. Grace Randolph. Lol. And watch her try to paint EG as a failure if it didn't cross $3B.

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8 hours ago, JimiQ said:

Well, not expecting but really hoping for it since the so-called jim gang is sooo anoying :D

I want Avatar 2 to do really really well next year BUT the Jim Gang are predicting $2B to be the floor for Avatar 2 and as high as $6B for the ceiling. 😲

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7 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said:

You and @IronJimbo should go out and get a drink together

They should get a room. Lol

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30 minutes ago, UserHN said:

I want Avatar 2 to do really really well next year BUT the Jim Gang are predicting $2B to be the floor for Avatar 2 and as high as $6B for the ceiling. 😲

They aren’t talking seriously (they can’t be).

 

I mean, I do think $ 2B is the floor, i’m expecting $ 2.5B and I think it have a tiny shot at $ 3B depending on China. More than that is just make fun. 

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