charlie Jatinder Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) I wonder if Midnight will go for ¥100mn by Friday/Saturday (Morning) and on 22nd midnight, ¥120mn Edited April 18, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) I don't know if they updated completely, but at ¥93mn, the occupancy is still 30% on 28k shows, which mean at 100% it will be around ¥300mn. There will still 7k shows more, going by higher limit of @Olive number, assuming they add just ¥50mn to capacity, the midnight capacity shall be around ¥350mn. A:EG was 51% on 19k in midnight, FF8 was 61% on 19k, A:AOU 54% on 8k and FF7 at 82% on 11k. I will be content with 45%, giving it ¥160mn. If somehow it manage 50%, that will be ¥175mn. Totally do-able. Edited April 18, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) 10 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: I don't know if they updated completely, but at ¥93mn, the occupancy is still 30% on 28k shows, which mean at 100% it will be around ¥300mn. There will still 7k shows more, going by higher limit of @Olive number, assuming they add just ¥50mn to capacity, the midnight capacity shall be around ¥350mn. A:EG was 51% on 19k in midnight, FF8 was 61% on 19k and FF7 at 82% on 11k. I will be content with 45%, giving it ¥160mn It will be at 100m tonight at the rate its going. just crossed 94m OD 114.7 Tot 325m Edited April 18, 2019 by POTUS 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: It will be at 100m tonight at the rate its going. just crossed 94m OD 114.7 I guess it shall slow down now, if ¥8mn it increased can be allowed for yesterday and today sales. But if don't then perhaps premiere affect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 27 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: I wonder if Midnight will go for ¥100mn by Friday/Saturday (Morning) and on 22nd midnight, ¥120mn why not 100m by tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 19 minutes ago, firedeep said: why not 100m by tonight being conservative. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) 26 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: being conservative. at 98.5m. 100m happening by 6pm unless the freeze sets in again. OD at 118m I'll average todays increase over 2 days on the chart since it was frozen most of yesterday Total PS 338m up 12% Edited April 18, 2019 by POTUS 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: at 98.5m. 100m happening by 6pm unless the freeze sets in again. OD at 118m I'll average todays increase over 2 days on the chart since it was frozen most of yesterday The usual pace day before yesterday was ¥0.8mn per hour. Assuming it is normal from now and a bit better rate since its T-5 days now and not T-7 and do ¥6-7mn from here for ¥124-125mn OD. That will be in same range as my projection chart, so I will assume the OD to be ¥114mn yesterday. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Finnick Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 @Charlie Jatinder I really don't understand all this PS for EG. It looks like its freezing in the last days. What about the 240M 5 day weekend!!! is this still happening? And with all the drama surrounding its first couple of PS days and at the and the total will barely exceed FF8 and IW!!. I am really confused? please explain more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Finnick said: @Charlie Jatinder I really don't understand all this PS for EG. It looks like its freezing in the last days. What about the 240M 5 day weekend!!! is this still happening? And with all the drama surrounding its first couple of PS days and at the and the total will barely exceed FF8 and IW!!. I am really confused? please explain more. 270 FTW. Its unfrozen now and numbers are par projection, could be better though. Regarding full run and actually 5 days also, that depend on WoM, and more often than not, Maoyan score has been very good signal for trending. If Maoyan score is 9+, it shall open around 270mn and crawl past FF8, local currency would be close. A better score, say 9.2 will make it certain to go for all time Hollywood record and crazy 9.5, will open gates for $500mn plus. So it depends on reception. Edited April 18, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Finnick Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: 270 FTW. You mean 270M for the 5 days!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, Finnick said: @Charlie Jatinder I really don't understand all this PS for EG. It looks like its freezing in the last days. What about the 240M 5 day weekend!!! is this still happening? And with all the drama surrounding its first couple of PS days and at the and the total will barely exceed FF8 and IW!!. I am really confused? please explain more. PS is flying again and will beat IW's PS by a large margin, but the PSm will drop as FF8 and IW did I think $250m minimum should happen which is 10% over IW's first 5 days Many variables to take into consideration. Pros Last installment increases hype to see 20% more screens built OD Wed gets the rushers out of the way freeing up seats for the weekend 10% higher Average ticket price OW multi will be higher due to holiday MN numbers indicate that they are going to stuff the seats, higher PTA for OD/OW than IW Cons 30m longer runtime decrease shows per screen per day. Possibly 10% net show increase not 20% XR is 5% weaker Sunday is a workday, Making Saturday a effectively a Sunday Some may wait for the holiday deflating the weekend a bit 10% higher PTA for the 5 days? 10% higher ticket prices? 10% more shows? -5% XR all things considered, 10% over IW's $225m seems like a safe bet, 20% over matches Charlie's $270m Froze again😂 Edited April 18, 2019 by POTUS 2020 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JimiQ Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 14 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: Froze again😂 MN moves occasionally a bit, but OD doesn't 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 Since its Frozen, Idk if I should do the report today again. Perhaps Taopiaopiao daily gain can be used. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 27 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Since its Frozen, Idk if I should do the report today again. Perhaps Taopiaopiao daily gain can be used. Maybe use it and take off about 3% from the total, since they seem to overestimate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 18, 2019 Author Share Posted April 18, 2019 First movie ever to cross 100M on midnights shows. 6 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 Total PS is at ¥350m now. OD just hit ¥120m also. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 Just now, VenomXXR said: Total PS is at ¥350m now. OD just hit ¥120m also. ¥359 (go a little further in the calendar) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: ¥359 (go a little further in the calendar) Alternatively look here: http://piaofang.maoyan.com/movie/248172 Bottom left of the grey boxes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 18, 2019 Share Posted April 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: ¥359 (go a little further in the calendar) Just now, feasby007 said: Alternatively look here: http://piaofang.maoyan.com/movie/248172 Bottom left of the grey boxes Ahhh ok I was just counting through Sunday. Thanks y’all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
