terrestrial Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 36 minutes ago, Menor said: It's weird because I would think they should increase, since people have more time to buy tickets. Because its free time now, means planing for when to go with whom in which film usually has to be done earlier, so the aimed for ppl, time,.... all is/are available. Clear the weekend for a little trip, go on a shopping spree, do sports, DIY,... you jump on short term / out of the ordinary projects way more focused. Plus often are surrounded by friends, families, doing things, why think about future endeavours at that time? During the week you have e.g. your 'forced on' (needed, but sometimes inconvenient at which time of the day how long) breaks, no family wants something,... booking time. Or rush hour... aehm, stop and go crawling home or wherever you'll spend the time. booking time sitting (alone) in the car. Using the times alone for preparation for the together times you are exhausted at home, had your meal, did your dishes,... evening films either already running, too late... or you squeeze even a screening in, but then usually another person has to have time and energy too, maybe doing some sport and groceries too - time to book short timed or shortly before falling into bed. There are probably a lot of scenarios.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 (edited) 12 hours ago, Menor said: Do you have any idea why presales decrease on weekends in China? This happens in the USA too but I attributed it to inexact data collection 11 hours ago, Menor said: It's weird because I would think they should increase, since people have more time to buy tickets. I assume its because a large number of people are buying tickets to see a movie for the current weekend. They buy just one movie at a time? On weekdays there are more planners, on weekends more doers. Just a guess. It looks like its picking up a little today. It should at 3 days out @Olive, shows are at 172k for OD. 200k looks like is happening. Do you have any intel that it mite be much higher? Edited April 21, 2019 by POTUS 2020 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 Endgame crosses ¥500m total PS 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 21, 2019 Author Share Posted April 21, 2019 AEG midnights showtimes crossed 30k ,60% higher than previous record. AEG OD PS pass FF8's final OD PS, with 50 hours to go. AEG total PS reached 500M ,first movie ever to achieve this. Maoyan's nonsense prediction MN 188.33M OD 546.15M (99% market share) 1 2 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, Olive said: Maoyan's nonsense prediction MN 188.33M OD 546.15M (99% market share) zero chance for both. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 8 minutes ago, Olive said: AEG midnights showtimes crossed 30k ,60% higher than previous record. AEG OD PS pass FF8's final OD PS, with 50 hours to go. AEG total PS reached 500M ,first movie ever to achieve this. Maoyan's nonsense prediction MN 188.33M OD 546.15M (99% market share) 1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said: zero chance for both. What about 170m MN and 480m OD? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 21, 2019 Author Share Posted April 21, 2019 6 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: What about 170m MN and 480m OD? still optimistic, OD multipler(from PS) will be under 2.0 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 19 minutes ago, Olive said: with 50 hours to go. Oh my god, how time flies. So close Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 ¥160m OD has been passed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 (edited) 30 minutes ago, Olive said: still optimistic, OD multipler(from PS) will be under 2.0 i think so too. dropped PSm to 1.86 to be safe OD PS should match or beat IW's PS total tomorrow PS pick up a bit from yesterday. should see a bigger bump tomorrow I will have a fun table for all to use to project OD by the hour EG IW PS MN %gain OD gain % gain Shows MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows Th Fri 0.4 6.5 Sa 1.3 0.9 202.3% 11.0 Su 2.0 0.7 53.8% 16.0 Mo 3.3 1.3 62.5% 22.0 Tu 4.6 1.4 41.5% 27.9 We 5.6 8.5 3.9 84.8% 44.4 Th 7.8 14.0% 14.6 6.1 71.8% 54.6 Fr 53.5 37.2 37.2 90.0 9.0 14.7% 18.5 3.9 26.5% 59.2 Sa 66.0 23.4% 65.7 28.5 76.6% 120.0 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0 Su 80.0 21.2% 79.2 13.5 20.5% 130.0 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0 Mo 82.0 2.5% 92.0 12.8 16.2% 135.2 11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7 Tu 84.9 3.5% 102.5 10.5 11.4% 141.5 12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8 We 93.5 10.1% 113.0 10.5 10.2% 146.0 15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7 Th 104.4 11.7% 126.5 13.5 11.9% 153.4 16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9 Fr 109.2 4.6% 138.5 12.0 9.5% 160.0 17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1 Sa 113.0 3.5% 148.0 9.5 6.9% 167.0 19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0 Su 117.5 4.0% 160.5 12.5 8.4% 172.5 20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5 Mo 128.0 8.9% 182.0 21.5 13.4% 180.0 22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8 Tu 165.0 28.9% 254.0 72.0 39.6% 195.0 25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6 We 30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6 Th 59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0 OD BO 165.0 473.0 86.2% 200.0 59.5 387.0 112.6% 182.0 Multi 1.86 2.13 3day 5day 3 day 5day PS m OD OD m OW OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ OW$ Total $ XR EG 1.86 473 2.64 1248 2013 2.64 3300 70 186 300 492 6.71 IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1463 1.88 2390 61 201 231 376 6.36 Edited April 21, 2019 by POTUS 2020 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 (edited) 49 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: zero chance for both. Indeed why are they predicting the near impossible? Seems to me anything near 3 billion end total would be incredible. Anything above is just a big bonus. Edited April 21, 2019 by cdsacken Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 (edited) 38 minutes ago, cdsacken said: Indeed why are they predicting the near impossible? Seems to me anything near 3 billion end total would be incredible. Anything above is just a big bonus. they are probably using last day MN increase and PSm from IW which needs to be lower Edited April 21, 2019 by POTUS 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 12 minutes ago, cdsacken said: Indeed why are they predicting the near impossible? Seems to me anything near 3 billion end total would be incredible. Anything above is just a big bonus. I don't think they use manual prediction. Simply an alogrithm that do prediction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 Just now, Charlie Jatinder said: I don't think they use manual prediction. Simply an alogrithm that do prediction. Ah ok well that's makes more sense then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 Avengers: Endgame T-2 daysMidnight: ¥117.6mn (30k shows) (+4%)Wednesday: ¥160.7mn (173k shows) (+9%)Thursday: ¥45.8mn (129k shows) (+14%)Friday: ¥61.7mn (118k shows) (+13%)Saturday: ¥78.8mn (109k shows) (+13%)Sunday: ¥19.8mn (91k shows) (+12%)Total: ¥484.4mn or $72mn (+9%)Comphttp://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale Another average day for OD gains with number of shows being already at saturated level hindering that big growth. An important day tomorrow, must match IW T-1 days number i.e. ¥21mn, else I see the pre-sales at ¥220mn and an OD around ¥400mn. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 Endgame - 1.784m Maoyan WTS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 As long as OD come under 450, I now believe Saturday could top OD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 When do Detective Pikachu presales start? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 21, 2019 Author Share Posted April 21, 2019 8 minutes ago, James said: When do Detective Pikachu presales start? already 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 (edited) On 4/20/2019 at 11:13 AM, Charlie Jatinder said: My Prediction/Projection for Avengers: Endgame Age of Ultron Infinity War Endgame Monday ¥30 Tuesday ¥186 ¥160 Wednesday ¥125 -32.73% ¥460 Thursday ¥92 -26.69% ¥60 ¥276 -40.00% Friday ¥126 37.57% ¥387 ¥331 20.00% Saturday ¥238 89.05% ¥494 27.43% ¥414 25.00% Sunday ¥170 -28.71% ¥332 -32.75% ¥207 -50.00% Monday ¥45 -73.38% ¥109 -67.08% ¥93 -55.00% Tuesday ¥40 -12.00% ¥81 -25.83% ¥88 -5.00% Wednesday ¥49 23.76% ¥65 -19.79% ¥146 65.00% Thursday ¥29 -41.61% ¥52 -19.57% ¥102 -30.00% Friday ¥40 40.29% ¥72 37.50% ¥107 5.00% Saturday ¥77 90.57% ¥142 97.99% ¥145 35.00% Sunday ¥57 -26.24% ¥133 -6.88% ¥87 -40.00% Monday ¥16 -72.52% ¥32 -76.10% ¥26 -70.00% Tuesday ¥16 4.62% ¥25 -20.36% ¥22 -15.00% Wednesday ¥11 -30.90% ¥21 -15.80% ¥19 -15.00% Thursday ¥8 -26.80% ¥19 -12.28% ¥16 -15.00% 2 Weeks ¥1,355 ¥2,023 ¥2,700 Rest ¥109 ¥367 ¥225 Total ¥1,464 ¥2,390 ¥2,925 Did you redo this yet? Monday drop will be softer because its like a friday before the holiday. Not sure how many shows it lose to all the new releases. Tuesday may only bump 100% Then standard 15% drops for wed and thur. Then friday will be like a sunday with 30% drop The numbers are going to be all over the place but I think they'll be at least in the high 100s maybe over 200 for theholiday Edited April 21, 2019 by POTUS 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...