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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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the holdovers have 318k shows posted for mon, 126k for tuesday which is normal for 1 day out.

2 days out would have 60k shows posted by now, just 6k(3.5%) are posted, only 800(2%) of primetime. Holdovers may only have 30k shows.

EG is going to have 85% of shows.  IW had 69%

Edited by POTUS 2020
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10 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

the holdovers have 318k shows posted for mon, 126k for tuesday which is normal for 1 day out.

2 days out would have 60k shows posted by now, just 6k(3.5%) are posted, only 800(2%) of primetime. Holdovers may only have 30k shows.

EG is going to have 85% of shows.  IW had 69%

 

That would be over 230k??

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17 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

Maoyan has been quite active the past few hours. 
Hoping this continues from now through Tuesday. 

Yeah both midnight and OD are motoring along so far.

 

MN 119.54M

OD 166.6M

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8 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

 

That would be over 230k??

maybe 210-220k.  

All movies may have just 250k shows instead of the usual 360-380k due to the runtime

They already added 6k shows this morning, at 179.5k

PS stopped at 162.4 last night.  At 167.4m now,  5m increase is pretty good this early.

MN up to 31.5k shows

 

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59 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

MN: 121.56M

OD: 172.5M  (184k)

 

5 DAY: 518M

All PS: 540M

This is now exactly an hour ago

So in one hour it added:

 

MN: 121.91M  (+0.35m)

OD: 174.68M (186k) (+2.18m)

 

5Day: 524M

 

If the next 7 hours keep the same run rate it woul mean:

+2.5m extra for MN in the next 7 hours (this seems a bit low)

+15.26m for OD in the next 7 hours (this seems high but maybe possible)

 

 

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Just now, pepsa said:

This is now exactly an hour ago

So in one hour it added:

 

MN: 121.91M  (+0.35m)

OD: 174.68M (186k) (+2.18m)

 

5Day: 524M

 

If the next 7 hours keep the same run rate it woul mean:

+2.5m extra for MN in the next 7 hours (this seems a bit low)

+15.26m for OD in the next 7 hours (this seems high but maybe possible)

 

 

Yeah though it was also stuck for a bit  . I don't know how long before I posted the numbers but 6 minutes later there are the same numbers

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8 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Hah when I saw .5 million I was confused 

Yeah sorry it was 0.5 on maoyan then jumped up to 1.13 and because I was also working on EG I though this must be millions, so i forgot to devide by 100 :hahaha:

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Just now, TalismanRing said:

Yeah though it was also stuck for a bit  . I don't know how long before I posted the numbers but 6 minutes later there are the same numbers

Yeah it has been stuck for over 20 min now.

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All the needless worry. Its getting over 250m in PS.

Not even CNY movies bump less than 33% on the last day and they are super frontloaded in PS.  EG PS may reach 190m tonight as PS run rate is picking up. And should bump 33-40% tomorrow. 253-276m.

 

MN is a wild card. All movies but one bump nearly 100% on the day of MN.  FF8 was +129%, EG was 94%. The outlier was the frontloaded WC bumping 67%.  Just a 50% bump tomorrow will get EG close to 200m, just saying it could happen, not sure where it will land, but at least 165m for sure 

On 4/20/2019 at 4:07 PM, Charlie Jatinder said:

Either Frozen again or today was the weakest day in pre-sales. So weak, ¥250mn is doubtful now.

 

On 4/20/2019 at 4:27 PM, john2000 said:

? 250 for when ? what day ?  also really ? bc of one day it changes everything ? ok then hope its not frozen we will find soon enough

 

On 4/20/2019 at 4:34 PM, john2000 said:

od that means tuesday right ? even then why this should be a suprise ? you cant expect this movie to sell so well foverever when already had done what iw did in 7 days

 

On 4/20/2019 at 4:35 PM, Menor said:

Wednesday. And I think Charlie had accounted for that in his projections chart, but today will still come in well below what he predicted which is not great.

 

On 4/20/2019 at 6:06 PM, VenomXXR said:

 

Definitely a surprise for me as well. 

 

On 4/20/2019 at 7:44 PM, druv10 said:

But whose expectations? At it's current pace, it's doing 200-225M in presales for OD. That is uncharted territory, so who decides how should endgame behave? To me just enjoy the ride and let the chips fall where they may.

 

On 4/20/2019 at 10:58 PM, POTUS 2020 said:

PSs slow down on Sat and Sunday. No big thing. Will push back up on Mon and pop on tuesday

MH2 PS went from 160m to just 174m+9% at 3 days out and finished at 295m.  IW slowed as well

I'm keeping my PS projection at 254m based on MH2s 85% increase from 4 days out. IW increased nearly 150%

                 

                                  EG                                                              IW               

Th 104.4 11.7% 126.5 13.5 11.9% 153.4   16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9
Fr 109.2 4.6% 138.5 12.0 9.5% 160.0   17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1
Sa 113.0 3.5% 148.0 9.5 6.9% 167.0   19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0
Su 120.0 6.2% 160.0 12.0 8.1% 172.0   20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5
Mo 130.0 8.3% 182.0 22.0 13.8% 178.0   22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8
Tu 165.0 26.9% 254.0 72.0 39.6% 195.0   25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6
We               30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6
Th               59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0

 

Edited by POTUS 2020
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