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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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Avengers: Endgame T-1day

Midnight: ¥128.3mn (32k shows) (+9%)
Wednesday: ¥185mn (196k shows) (+15%)
Thursday: ¥56mn (152k shows) (+22%)
Friday: ¥74mn (133k shows) (+20%)
Saturday: ¥93mn (124k shows) (+21%)
Sunday: ¥23mn (101k shows) (+16%)


Total: ¥559.3mn or $83mn (+15%)

Comp

http://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale

 

Good jump in OD but lets not forget it added 23k shows today which is way more than previous days. As we expect final shows to be just 220-230k, let's not jump ahead ourselves and expect normal bump on final day. However, I now expect it to do ¥235mn atleast and that's good 30% over IW but not to forget big jump in ATP and show count.

 

What does this suggest, that perhaps Saturday can actually be bigger than OD. Something like South Korea have with their Wednesday opening of films.

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On 4/20/2019 at 10:58 PM, POTUS 2020 said:

 

PSs slow down on Sat and Sunday. No big thing. Will push back up on Mon and pop on tuesday

MH2 PS went from 160m to just 174m+9% at 3 days out and finished at 295m.  IW slowed as well

I'm keeping my PS projection at 254m based on MH2s 85% increase from 4 days out. IW increased nearly 150%

                 

                                  EG                                                              IW               

Th 104.4 11.7% 126.5 13.5 11.9% 153.4   16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9
Fr 109.2 4.6% 138.5 12.0 9.5% 160.0   17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1
Sa 113.0 3.5% 148.0 9.5 6.9% 167.0   19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0
Su 120.0 6.2% 160.0 12.0 8.1% 172.0   20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5
Mo 130.0 8.3% 182.0 22.0 13.8% 178.0   22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8
Tu 165.0 26.9% 254.0 72.0 39.6% 195.0   25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6
We               30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6
Th               59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0

:ca:T-1:ca:

Looks like the first 2 metrics will hold.  2 down 4 to go to get to $300m with PS tracking as good or better than MH2 and 200m+ shows happening.

The other 4:

1. We need MN to go up just 28% tomorrow(+57% possible like WC, 200m!)   

2. a 9+ rating, 

3. at least a 1.86 PSm(like MH2) and

4. to follow a similar but softer daily pattern to AoU or the fit hits the shan.

  EG             IW          
PS MN %gain OD gain % gain Shows   MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows
Th                          
Fri                   0.4     6.5
Sa                   1.3 0.9 202.3% 11.0
Su                   2.0 0.7 53.8% 16.0
Mo                   3.3 1.3 62.5% 22.0
Tu                   4.6 1.4 41.5% 27.9
We               5.6   8.5 3.9 84.8% 44.4
Th               7.8 14.0% 14.6 6.1 71.8% 54.6
Fr 53.5   37.2 37.2   90.0   9.0 14.7% 18.5 3.9 26.5% 59.2
Sa 66.0 23.4% 65.7 28.5 76.6% 120.0   10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0
Su 80.0 21.2% 79.2 13.5 20.5% 130.0   11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0
Mo 82.0 2.5% 92.0 12.8 16.2% 135.2   11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7
Tu 84.9 3.5% 102.5 10.5 11.4% 141.5   12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8
We 93.5 10.1% 113.0 10.5 10.2% 146.0   15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7
Th 104.4 11.7% 126.5 13.5 11.9% 153.4   16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9
Fr 109.2 4.6% 138.5 12.0 9.5% 160.0   17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1
Sa 113.0 3.5% 148.0 9.5 6.9% 167.0   19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0
Su 117.5 4.0% 160.5 12.5 8.4% 173.0   20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5
Mo 128.2 9.1% 185.0 24.5 15.3% 195.5   22.8 9.1% 88.9 13.6 18.1% 112.8
Tu 165.0 28.7% 254.0 69.0 37.3% 215.0   25.8 13.2% 107.4 18.5 20.8% 133.6
We               30.6 18.6% 129.0 21.6 20.1% 154.6
Th               59.5 94.4% 182.0 53.0 41.1% 178.0
OD BO 165.0   473.0   86.2% 220.0   59.5   387.0   112.6% 182.0
Multi         1.86             2.13  
        3day 5day       3 day 5day      
  PS m OD OD m OW OW OW m Total OD $ OW $ OW$ Total $ XR  
EG 1.86 473 2.64 1250 2027 2.68 3355 70 186 302 500 6.71  
IW 2.12 387 3.28 1271 1463 1.88 2390 61 201 231 376 6.36  

 

 

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10 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

They still only show 3D? I know a lot of people that refuse to see 3D.  Aren't they losing 10% or more of the market by now showing 2d?

Why dont they allow it?

If they are smart, they should release in 2D just before the holiday, further helping to boost it's figures and possibly help it's legs a little. Just my opinion...

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55 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Total PS +4.446 (¥578.72m)

OD PS +1.042 (183.35m)

 

One more hour until midnight on Monday. Will reach ¥580m total and ¥184m OD before the final day of presales begins.

 

Total PS +4.954 (¥583.67m)

OF PS +1.659 (¥185.01m)

 

Monday finishes strong. Final day of presale is upon us! Hoping for a 40% bounce in OD PS.

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