Minnale101 Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 Detective pikachu Saturday and Sunday have increased little bit today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 (edited) On 5/7/2019 at 11:09 PM, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (2 days out) Midnight - 860k OD - 12.00 (+35.13%) (61573 shows) Sat - 3.80m Sun - 1.45m A comparatively low and weak jump today, which is surprising given its jumps the past few days. But this is not any cause for concern. While many movies continue ramping upwards throughout the last few days, there are some who actually drop on Tuesday from Monday like Shazam, Captain Marvel, Black Panther, JL, etc Good jump for Sat and Sun whose ratios compared to OD PS is finally looking normal. Detective Pikachu (1 day out) Midnight - 1.21m OD - 16.89m (+40.75%) (84503 shows) Sat - 6.29m Sun - 2.18m Another weak jump today. One of the weakest in fact amongst the movies I have tracked. Show count still lags behind everyone. I doubt it is going to recover. OD PS Midnight PS Sat PS Sun PS Show Count Final PS MI6 27.06m 3.2m 10.2m 4.41m 105231 48.69m Ant Man 2 23.68m 3.49m 9.03m 4.35m 106251 46.6m DP 16.89m 1.21m 6.29m 2.18m 84503 Alita 16.73m 2.18m 6.58m 2.93m 96496 33.5m Bumblebee 13.53m 1.74m 6.15m 3.30m 107029 26.9m Shazam 9.38m 2.07m 2.60m 1.70m 86787 24.6m Final DP PS with same daily increases DP’s OW with same PS to OW multi Mission Impossible 6 30.4m 333m Ant Man 2 33.2m 331 Alita 33.78m 439m Bumblebee 33.6m 507m Shazam 44m 369m Most movies jump a max double on the last day. Only Shazam was a sole exception jumping a whopping 162%. I doubt DP will jump that much. So gonna go with mid 30's as the final PS and gonna lower my OW prediction to 50-60m. These were my original prediction before I raised them seeing the big jumps on Sun/Mon, should have stuck with the original numbers But again it all depends ultimately on how the reception and WoM is. If it gets Shazam like WoM and internal multi it would do low 40's OW and if it has Aquaman like Wom and internal multi it will have an OW in the 90's. The 50-60's prediction is just the prediction based on normal multipliers. Edited May 8, 2019 by ZeeSoh 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brinatico Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (1 day out) Midnight - 1.21m OD - 16.89m (+40.75%) (84503 shows) Sat - 6.29m Sun - 2.18m Another weak jump today. On of the weakest in fact amongst the movies I have tracked. OD PS Midnight PS Sat PS Sun PS Show Count Final PS MI6 27.06m 3.2m 10.2m 4.41m 105231 48.69m Ant Man 2 23.68m 3.49m 9.03m 4.35m 106251 46.6m DP 16.89m 1.21m 6.29m 2.18m 84503 Alita 16.73m 2.18m 6.58m 2.93m 96496 33.5m Bumblebee 13.53m 1.74m 6.15m 3.30m 107029 26.9m Shazam 9.38m 2.07m 2.60m 1.70m 86787 24.6m Final DP PS with same daily increases DP’s OW with same PS to OW multi Mission Impossible 6 30.4m 333m Ant Man 2 33.2m 331 Alita 33.78m 439m Bumblebee 33.6m 507m Shazam 44m 369m Most movies jump a max double on the last day. Only Shazam was a sole exception jumping a whopping 162%. I doubt DP will jump that much. So gonna go with mid 30's as the final PS and gonna lower my OW prediction to 50-60m. These were my original prediction before I raised them seeing the big jumps on Sun/Mon, should have stuck with the original numbers But again it all depends ultimately on how the reception and WoM is. If it gets Shazam like WoM and internal multi it would do low 40's OW and if it has Aquaman like Wom and internal multi it will have an OW in the 90's. The 50-60's prediction is just the prediction based on normal multipliers. Why shazam! And no Alita. I think is better comps. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (1 day out) Midnight - 1.21m OD - 16.89m (+40.75%) (84503 shows) Sat - 6.29m Sun - 2.18m Another weak jump today. One of the weakest in fact amongst the movies I have tracked. Show count still lags behind everyone. I doubt it is going to recover. OD PS Midnight PS Sat PS Sun PS Show Count Final PS MI6 27.06m 3.2m 10.2m 4.41m 105231 48.69m Ant Man 2 23.68m 3.49m 9.03m 4.35m 106251 46.6m DP 16.89m 1.21m 6.29m 2.18m 84503 Alita 16.73m 2.18m 6.58m 2.93m 96496 33.5m Bumblebee 13.53m 1.74m 6.15m 3.30m 107029 26.9m Shazam 9.38m 2.07m 2.60m 1.70m 86787 24.6m Final DP PS with same daily increases DP’s OW with same PS to OW multi Mission Impossible 6 30.4m 333m Ant Man 2 33.2m 331 Alita 33.78m 439m Bumblebee 33.6m 507m Shazam 44m 369m Most movies jump a max double on the last day. Only Shazam was a sole exception jumping a whopping 162%. I doubt DP will jump that much. So gonna go with mid 30's as the final PS and gonna lower my OW prediction to 50-60m. These were my original prediction before I raised them seeing the big jumps on Sun/Mon, should have stuck with the original numbers But again it all depends ultimately on how the reception and WoM is. If it gets Shazam like WoM and internal multi it would do low 40's OW and if it has Aquaman like Wom and internal multi it will have an OW in the 90's. The 50-60's prediction is just the prediction based on normal multipliers. I saw Gavin tweet about movie so pre sales not being as strong after huge movie release movie can explode. If wom is positive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 Well, all 3 of us agree on 50-60m. Up to the rating now and the PSm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 On 5/8/2019 at 10:58 AM, Minnale101 said: I saw Gavin tweet about movie so pre sales not being as strong after huge movie release movie can explode. If wom is positive I think we have different meanings of explode. Slightly over perform is not explode imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, cdsacken said: I think we have different meanings of explode. Slightly over perform is not explode imo. We shall see soon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) Final presales : OD-29.74m low increase. Edited May 9, 2019 by efialtes76 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Minnale101 said: We shall see soon Early ratings-7.4 at Douban Edited May 9, 2019 by efialtes76 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 Just now, efialtes76 said: Early ratings-7.4 at Douban Infinity War - 8.1 Aquaman - 7.7 Thor Ragnarok - 7.4 Ant Man 2 - 7.3 Shazam - 7.3 (for now) Venom - 7.2 Bumblebee - 7.1 Wonder Woman - 7.1 Captain Marvel - 7.0 Batman v Superman - 6.7 Justice League - 6.5 so let’s see where it ends up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 1 minute ago, efialtes76 said: Early ratings-7.4 at Douban Is that bad? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 All I know is. This movie isn’t gonna get a Shazam rating on maoyan Just reading the maoyan reviews they are praising the visual effects and no such critical about Americanized humor 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 41 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: Is that bad? It is not good. Maoyan ratings matter more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
infamous5445 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 Did Endgame ever drop below 8.5 on Douban? I remember it started at 9.3 or something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 52 minutes ago, Minnale101 said: Infinity War - 8.1 Aquaman - 7.7 Thor Ragnarok - 7.4 Ant Man 2 - 7.3 Shazam - 7.3 (for now) Venom - 7.2 Bumblebee - 7.1 Wonder Woman - 7.1 Captain Marvel - 7.0 Batman v Superman - 6.7 Justice League - 6.5 so let’s see where it ends up You cannot compare such early numbers with the final numbers as the early numbers fluctuate a lot. Which is why I did not post my own post which you are quoting Shazam for example started at 7.3 but ended at 6.6. DP could also see a similar fall (although it could also buck the trend and rise instead of falling). So if ur gonna compare early and final ratings then u should clarify this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 Just now, ZeeSoh said: You cannot compare such early numbers with the final numbers as the early numbers fluctuate a lot. Which is why I did not post my own post which you are quoting Shazam for example started at 7.3 but ended at 6.6. DP could also see a similar fall (although it could also buck the trend and rise instead of falling). So if ur gonna compare early and final ratings then u should clarify this. Thanks I just found that on reddit. I was confused after seeing shazam ahead of venom and bumblebee because of how it performed at box office 😂 but yeah it it makes sense. maoyan I’m looking forward to seeing that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 So I’m guessing douban is more filmsy user critics maoyan is more casual 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 On 5/8/2019 at 11:21 PM, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (1 day out) Midnight - 1.21m OD - 16.89m (+40.75%) (84503 shows) Sat - 6.29m Sun - 2.18m Detective Pikachu (Final) OD - 29.93m (+77.2%) (114847 shows) Sat - 12.09m Sun - 3.96m Relatively weak final day jump. Show count is weak as well, One of the lowest amongst movies I have tracked. OD PS Midnight Sat PS Sun PS Show Count MI6 48.69m 3.2m 16.88m 6.68m 137067 Ant Man 2 46.6m 9.5m 14.9m 6.63m 141372 Alita 33.5m 6.57m 12.24m 4.82m 133160 DP 29.93m 3.02m 12.09m 3.96m 114847 FB2 29.23m 5.42m 14.22m 5.26m 121037 Bumblebee 26.9m 5.48m - - 133160 Shazam 24.6m 2.07m 4.87m 2.57m 123373 Sat and Sun PS count is relatively low compared to other movies except Shazam. DP’s OW with same PS to OW multi Bumblebee 451m Alita 390m Mission Impossible 6 327m Ant Man 2 298m FB2 266m Shazam 249m Range according to above table is 36-66m USD for OW. It is not going to be as low as Shazam and FB2 as their ratings was very low. DP's rating so far seems to be better than those 2. I dont think it is going to be as low as Ant Man 2 either as that had very low multiplier as well. I think Alita is a good comparison which would lead to about mid 50's opening. Normal multiplier would indicate a low 50's opening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Detective Pikachu (Final) OD - 29.93m (+77.2%) (114847 shows) Sat - 12.09m Sun - 3.96m Relatively weak final day jump. Show count is weak as well, One of the lowest amongst movies I have tracked. OD PS Midnight Sat PS Sun PS Show Count MI6 48.69m 3.2m 16.88m 6.68m 137067 Ant Man 2 46.6m 9.5m 14.9m 6.63m 141372 Alita 33.5m 6.57m 12.24m 4.82m 133160 DP 29.93m 3.02m 12.09m 3.96m 114847 FB2 29.23m 5.42m 14.22m 5.26m 121037 Bumblebee 26.9m 5.48m - - 133160 Shazam 24.6m 2.07m 4.87m 2.57m 123373 Sat and Sun PS count is relatively low compared to other movies except Shazam. DP’s OW with same PS to OW multi Bumblebee 451m Alita 390m Mission Impossible 6 327m Ant Man 2 298m FB2 266m Shazam 249m Range according to above table is 36-66m USD for OW. It is not going to be as low as Shazam and FB2 as their ratings was very low. DP's rating so far seems to be better than those 2. I dont think it is going to be as low as Ant Man 2 either as that had very low multiplier as well. I think Alita is a good comparison which would lead to about mid 50's opening. Normal multiplier would indicate a low 50's opening. That’s good. If it can finish with 123 million like Alita. Then I would be satisfied hopefully legs can be better 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 @ZeeSoh when can I we expect your first report for Godzilla? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
