Jump to content

Olive

Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

Recommended Posts





Before spelling doom on Dark Phoenix let us wait close to release. We have had multiple movies with weak PS early on doing good. the last mummy and Wonder Woman are the ones I remember. Also I remember us spelling doom on Apocalypse bcos Warcraft was opening after 5 days and we were predicting sub 500m finish(including potus2020). It did good overall.

 

That said its going to drop from Apocalypse. But is 500m yuan a stretch.

Link to comment
Share on other sites







On 5/24/2019 at 1:51 AM, ZeeSoh said:

Godzilla 2 (7 days out)

 

Midnight - 935k

OD - 4.36m (+14.73%)(55286 shows)

Sat - 2.10m

Sun - 1.57m

 

Dark Phoenix (13 days out)

 

Midnight - 119k

OD - 495k (19929 shows)

Fri - 205k

Sat - 181k

Sun - 132k

Godzilla 2 (3 days out)

 

Midnight - 1.53m

OD - 9.77m (+32.2%)(75921 shows)

Sat - 4.30m

Sun - 1.87m

 

I have been absent the past few days as I was recuperating from an illness but I am back now. Good jump today and the show count looks good too.

 

 

OD PS

Midnight

Sat PS

Sun PS

Show Count

Final PS

JW2

21.47m

2.53m

11.08m

5.60m

83144

60

MI6

15.11m

1.83m

5.02m

2.38m

63172

48.69

Aquaman

10.00m

1.53m

6.67m

4.58m

66597

35.04

Godzilla 2

9.77m

1.53m

4.30m

1.87m

75921

 

DP

8.88m

662k

2.30m

1.00m

45842

29.93

Alita

7.75m

1.12m

2.63m

1.40m

49108

33.5

Bumblebee

6.83m

899k

3.15m

2.04m

57895

26.9

 

 

Godzilla 2’s final PS with same daily increases

Godzilla 2’s OW with same PS to OW multi

Aquaman

34

615m

Bumblebee

38.5

580m

Alita

42.2

548m

Mission Impossible 6

31.5

343m

Jurassic World 2

27.3

334m

Detective Pikachu

33

304m

 

Sat PS seems decent but Sun PS is somewhat weak, but the show count is quite strong pointing to a relatively high final show count. Currently thinking it will be in the lower 70's opening

 

Dark Phoenix (8 days out)

 

Midnight - 495k

OD - 1.41m (34351 shows)

Fri - 572k

Sat - 354k

Sun - 243k

 

PS all around seems quite weak at this point, lower than most SH movies I have tracked except Shazam. If it was a normal 3 day opening I would say lower 50's opening, maybe even in the 40's. But its a 4 day opening and a holiday as well so the opening will be higher than that. Thinking somewhere in the 60's right now but it needs to accelerate to keep up. 

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites



25 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Godzilla 2 (3 days out)

 

Midnight - 1.53m

OD - 9.77m (+32.2%)(75921 shows)

Sat - 4.30m

Sun - 1.87m

 

I have been absent the past few days as I was recuperating from an illness but I am back now. Good jump today and the show count looks good too.

 

 

OD PS

Midnight

Sat PS

Sun PS

Show Count

Final PS

JW2

21.47m

2.53m

11.08m

5.60m

83144

60

MI6

15.11m

1.83m

5.02m

2.38m

63172

48.69

Aquaman

10.00m

1.53m

6.67m

4.58m

66597

35.04

Godzilla 2

9.77m

1.53m

4.30m

1.87m

75921

 

DP

8.88m

662k

2.30m

1.00m

45842

29.93

Alita

7.75m

1.12m

2.63m

1.40m

49108

33.5

Bumblebee

6.83m

899k

3.15m

2.04m

57895

26.9

 

 

Godzilla 2’s final PS with same daily increases

Godzilla 2’s OW with same PS to OW multi

Aquaman

34

615m

Bumblebee

38.5

580m

Alita

42.2

548m

Mission Impossible 6

31.5

343m

Jurassic World 2

27.3

334m

Detective Pikachu

33

304m

 

Sat PS seems decent but Sun PS is somewhat weak, but the show count is quite strong pointing to a relatively high final show count. Currently thinking it will be in the lower 70's opening

 

Dark Phoenix (8 days out)

 

Midnight - 495k

OD - 1.41m (34351 shows)

Fri - 572k

Sat - 354k

Sun - 243k

 

PS all around seems quite weak at this point, lower than most SH movies I have tracked except Shazam. If it was a normal 3 day opening I would say lower 50's opening, maybe even in the 40's. But its a 4 day opening and a holiday as well so the opening will be higher than that. Thinking somewhere in the 60's right now but it needs to accelerate to keep up. 

Hope you feeling better bruh 

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites











3 hours ago, Noiret Jak said:

So.. Godzilla 70’ M$ Opening ? 200 finish?

Even without competition those would be great legs but Godzilla 2 faces a lot of competition in its 2nd week. Not only would it be facing Dark Phoenix which is expected to do 50-60+ on its 4 days OW but will also face 2 local openers who are also expected to do decently. Even if these new movies are panned they will still take away a huge amount of screens. 

 

Aladdin doing better than expected will also have somewhat of an impact. 

 

But most importantly Godzilla 2’s ratings so far are not great enough to justify that sort of legs. Ratings are good but not near the level required to expect a breakout like Aquaman or Venom. 

 

If it opens to 70, then a total around 150-160 should be the aim. 

Edited by ZeeSoh
  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites







Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.