john2000 Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, Menor said: At 17.82 now is it good ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 16 minutes ago, Menor said: At 17.82 now FFH is very consistent now in having its daily PS concentrated a bit more in the later hours than CM. No clue why, but this is why I’ll be happier when I have more than one set of historical data. Solid day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: FFH is very consistent now in having its daily PS concentrated a bit more in the later hours than CM. No clue why, but this is why I’ll be happier when I have more than one set of historical data. Solid day. Nvm, misremembered Venom's number. Still, finally beat projections for a day. Edited June 24, 2019 by Menor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 OD comps on Monday Far from Home: ¥17.95mn on 82,250 shows Venom: ¥18.05mn on 83,033 shows Captain Marvel: ¥21.12mn on 73,200 shows 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 (edited) Spider-man: Far From Home 3 days Out Midnight: ¥5.07mn (7.7k shows) (+¥0.77mn) Friday: ¥17.95mn (82.25k shows) (+¥4.3mn) Saturday: ¥7.45mn (52k shows) (+¥1.85mn) Sunday: ¥3.85mn (44k shows) (+¥0.84mn) Total: ¥35.3mn or $5.12mn http://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale Normal day wise trend, not great not terrible. Can afford such normal day tommorow as well, it is Wednesday and Thursday, the all important time start. AM&TW comp is for that. Edited June 24, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 Trending towards 50-55m PS. I would say 150-170m OD and 500-550m OW. Probably needs to trend upwards to 200m OD to keep 1.5B in play. Otherwise its looking more in 1-1.2B yuan range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 39 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Trending towards 50-55m PS. I would say 150-170m OD and 500-550m OW. Probably needs to trend upwards to 200m OD to keep 1.5B in play. Otherwise its looking more in 1-1.2B yuan range. we will see, the last 3-2 days will show where it will end up in terms of od Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 On 6/24/2019 at 1:21 AM, ZeeSoh said: Spiderman: Far From Home (4 days out) Midnight - 4.30m OD - 13.64 (+22.66%) (68812 shows) Sat - 5.62m Sun - 3.01m Normal jump today, still keeping pace with Venom's PS. Will start accelerating from tomorrow. Spiderman: Far From Home (3 days out) Midnight - 5.08m OD - 17.97 (+31.74%) (82292 shows) Sat - 7.48m Sun - 3.84m OK jump today, not that great. Still keeping pace with Venom but another day like this and it will fall behind. Spidey's midnight PS however is ahead of nearly all SH movies, even CM so don't be surprised by a big preview but a small preview to OD multi. Sun PS is also higher than all comps (barring IW/Endgame ofcourse). Sat PS is slightly behind Venom and behind CM. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Extremely strong start for FFH today, hope it keeps up 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 13 minutes ago, Menor said: Extremely strong start for FFH today, hope it keeps up Yeah, I was going to comment in about 40 mins. Unfortunate coincidence, today is one day since last Wed that I started at 12 instead of 10 (IRL stuff). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 41 minutes ago, Menor said: Extremely strong start for FFH today, hope it keeps up That's what matter. The final days. A film may be strong or weak initial days; the final days change it all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 (edited) Okay, so, 13:30 update we are at 19.93. % of daily gain by 13:30 and today finish following: CM Tues before release — 32.6%, 24mn FFH yesterday — 25.5%, 25.7mn FFH Sun — 29.4%, 24.7mn FFH Sat — 31%, 24.3mn This also roughly matches with run rate proportion vs yesterday (12-13:30 .62 vs .35 is +77%, would be daily gain of 7.6 for 25.5). To stay on track for that vs yesterday should see about 20.25 by 14:30. I’ll update this at 16:00, then lights out. Edit: I’ve got 20.81 for 16:00. Things seem to be pretty normal now. Run rate has been .375, +56% yesterday. Same for daily would be +6.75 for 24.7. % of daily gain by 16:00 and today finish following: CM Tues before release — 48%, 23.9mn FFH yesterday — 40%, 25.1mn FFH Sun — 41.9%, 24.8mn FFH Sat — 42.4%, 24.7mn Think it will be just short of 25, would not be anything crazy but a pleasant surprise nonetheless. Edited June 25, 2019 by Thanos Legion 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 just under 20m(19.91) at 2PM. Is this a strong start. Looking like finishing around 24m today. Looks normal day around 30-35% increase. Headed towards 55m finish at this rate. 60m would be great and still in play with a strong last day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 (edited) And boom. Edited June 25, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 27 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: And boom. Should retake the lead from Venom by midnight right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 10 minutes ago, Menor said: Should retake the lead from Venom by midnight right. Yes. Expecting ¥25mn by midnight post adjustment. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Yes. Expecting ¥25mn by midnight post adjustment. wow, thats very good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Still on course for 60m PS. Whether or not it does 3.5x for 210m OD remains to be seen. Could be close to $100m OW unless the PSm is shite 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Spider-man: Far From Home 2 days Out Midnight: ¥6.2mn (8.2k shows) (+¥1.13mn) Friday: ¥24.85mn (110k shows) (+¥6.97mn) Saturday: ¥10.7mn (68k shows) (+¥3.25mn) Sunday: ¥5.25mn (57k shows) (+¥1.4mn) Total: ¥47mn or $6.8mn http://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale Speaking optimistically; if we manage a Venom or Homecoming psm; looking at ¥230mn OD. Previews are looking like ¥17-20mn. Weekend could go for ¥775mn. Conservatively; Od of ¥180mn and rather low 10% bump and 35% drop on Sunday; ¥530mn. Mid point ¥600mn. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 On 6/25/2019 at 1:27 AM, ZeeSoh said: Spiderman: Far From Home (3 days out) Midnight - 5.08m OD - 17.97 (+31.74%) (82292 shows) Sat - 7.48m Sun - 3.84m OK jump today, not that great. Still keeping pace with Venom but another day like this and it will fall behind. Spidey's midnight PS however is ahead of nearly all SH movies, even CM so don't be surprised by a big preview but a small preview to OD multi. Sun PS is also higher than all comps (barring IW/Endgame ofcourse). Sat PS is slightly behind Venom and behind CM. Spiderman: Far From Home (2 days out) Midnight - 6.27m OD - 25 (+39.12%) (110305 shows) Sat - 10.8m Sun - 5.25m Good jump today, back again in line with Venom. Midnight and Sun PS still leads all comps, with Sat just a little behind CM. Show count is very strong 2 days out, stronger than any Hollywood movie I have tracked except the Avengers movie. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
