Jump to content
Olive

Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, Menor said:

At 17.82 now

is it good ?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, Menor said:

At 17.82 now

:)    

 

FFH is very consistent now in having its daily PS concentrated a bit more in the later hours than CM. No clue why, but this is why I’ll be happier when I have more than one set of historical data. Solid day.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

:)    

 

FFH is very consistent now in having its daily PS concentrated a bit more in the later hours than CM. No clue why, but this is why I’ll be happier when I have more than one set of historical data. Solid day.

Nvm, misremembered Venom's number. Still, finally beat projections for a day.

Edited by Menor

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

OD comps on Monday

 

Far from Home: ¥17.95mn on 82,250 shows

Venom: ¥18.05mn on 83,033 shows

Captain Marvel: ¥21.12mn on 73,200 shows

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

Spider-man: Far From Home 3 days Out

 

Midnight: ¥5.07mn (7.7k shows) (+¥0.77mn)

Friday: ¥17.95mn (82.25k shows) (+¥4.3mn)

Saturday: ¥7.45mn (52k shows) (+¥1.85mn)

Sunday: ¥3.85mn (44k shows) (+¥0.84mn)

 

Total: ¥35.3mn or $5.12mn

 

http://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale  

 

Normal day wise trend, not great not terrible. Can afford such normal day tommorow as well, it is Wednesday and Thursday, the all important time start. AM&TW comp is for that.

 

Edited by Charlie Jatinder

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Trending towards 50-55m PS. I would say 150-170m OD and 500-550m OW. Probably needs to trend upwards to 200m OD to keep 1.5B in play. Otherwise its looking more in 1-1.2B yuan range.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
39 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Trending towards 50-55m PS. I would say 150-170m OD and 500-550m OW. Probably needs to trend upwards to 200m OD to keep 1.5B in play. Otherwise its looking more in 1-1.2B yuan range.

we will see, the last 3-2 days will show where it will end up in terms of od

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 6/24/2019 at 1:21 AM, ZeeSoh said:

Spiderman: Far From Home (4 days out)

 

Midnight - 4.30m

OD - 13.64 (+22.66%) (68812 shows)

Sat - 5.62m

Sun - 3.01m

 

Normal jump today, still keeping pace with Venom's PS. Will start accelerating from tomorrow. 

Spiderman: Far From Home (3 days out)

 

Midnight - 5.08m

OD - 17.97 (+31.74%) (82292 shows)

Sat - 7.48m

Sun - 3.84m

 

OK jump today, not that great. Still keeping pace with Venom but another day like this and it will fall behind. Spidey's midnight PS however is ahead of nearly all SH movies, even CM so don't be surprised by a big preview but a small preview to OD multi. Sun PS is also higher than all comps (barring IW/Endgame ofcourse). Sat PS is slightly behind Venom and behind CM. 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Extremely strong start for FFH today, hope it keeps up

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Menor said:

Extremely strong start for FFH today, hope it keeps up

Yeah, I was going to comment in about 40 mins. Unfortunate coincidence, today is one day since last Wed that I started at 12 instead of 10 (IRL stuff).        

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
41 minutes ago, Menor said:

Extremely strong start for FFH today, hope it keeps up

That's what matter. The final days. A film may be strong or weak initial days; the final days change it all.

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

Okay, so, 13:30 update we are at 19.93.   

 

% of daily gain by 13:30 and today finish following:  

CM Tues before release —  32.6%, 24mn

FFH yesterday — 25.5%, 25.7mn

FFH Sun — 29.4%, 24.7mn

FFH Sat — 31%, 24.3mn

 

This also roughly matches with run rate proportion vs yesterday (12-13:30 .62 vs .35 is +77%, would be daily gain of 7.6 for 25.5). To stay on track for that vs yesterday should see about 20.25 by 14:30.   

 

I’ll update this at 16:00, then lights out.  

 

Edit: I’ve got 20.81 for 16:00. Things seem to be pretty normal now. Run rate has been .375, +56% yesterday. Same for daily would be +6.75 for 24.7.   

 

% of daily gain by 16:00 and today finish following:  

CM Tues before release —  48%, 23.9mn

FFH yesterday — 40%, 25.1mn

FFH Sun — 41.9%, 24.8mn

FFH Sat — 42.4%, 24.7mn   

 

Think it will be just short of 25, would not be anything crazy but a pleasant surprise nonetheless.

Edited by Thanos Legion
  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

just under 20m(19.91) at 2PM. Is this a strong start. Looking like finishing around 24m today. Looks normal day around 30-35% increase. Headed towards 55m finish at this rate. 60m would be great and still in play with a strong last day.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
27 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

And boom.

 

 

Should retake the lead from Venom by midnight right.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, Menor said:

Should retake the lead from Venom by midnight right.

Yes. Expecting ¥25mn by midnight post adjustment.

  • Astonished 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Yes. Expecting ¥25mn by midnight post adjustment.

wow, thats very good

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Still on course for 60m PS.  Whether or not it does 3.5x for 210m OD remains to be seen.

Could be close to $100m OW unless the PSm is shite

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Spider-man: Far From Home 2 days Out

 

Midnight: ¥6.2mn (8.2k shows) (+¥1.13mn)

Friday: ¥24.85mn (110k shows) (+¥6.97mn)

Saturday: ¥10.7mn (68k shows) (+¥3.25mn)

Sunday: ¥5.25mn (57k shows) (+¥1.4mn)

 

Total: ¥47mn or $6.8mn

 

http://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale  

 

Speaking optimistically; if we manage a Venom or Homecoming psm; looking at ¥230mn OD.

Previews are looking like ¥17-20mn. Weekend could go for ¥775mn.

 

Conservatively; Od of ¥180mn and rather low 10% bump and 35% drop on Sunday; ¥530mn.

 

Mid point ¥600mn.

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 6/25/2019 at 1:27 AM, ZeeSoh said:

Spiderman: Far From Home (3 days out)

 

Midnight - 5.08m

OD - 17.97 (+31.74%) (82292 shows)

Sat - 7.48m

Sun - 3.84m

 

OK jump today, not that great. Still keeping pace with Venom but another day like this and it will fall behind. Spidey's midnight PS however is ahead of nearly all SH movies, even CM so don't be surprised by a big preview but a small preview to OD multi. Sun PS is also higher than all comps (barring IW/Endgame ofcourse). Sat PS is slightly behind Venom and behind CM. 

Spiderman: Far From Home (2 days out)

 

Midnight - 6.27m

OD - 25 (+39.12%) (110305 shows)

Sat - 10.8m

Sun - 5.25m

 

Good jump today, back again in line with Venom. Midnight and Sun PS still leads all comps, with Sat just a little behind CM. Show count is very strong 2 days out, stronger than any Hollywood movie I have tracked except the Avengers movie. 

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.