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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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1 hour ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Increases are looking fine so far today....

 

Midnight - 2.21 (+87.2%)

OD - 19.93 (+61%)

Sat - 10.94 (+43.8%)

Sun - 6.13 (+38.4%)

Good good stuff. I'm only worried about China. I'm in the big and bold club if you recall :D

 

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On 7/10/2019 at 11:20 AM, ZeeSoh said:

The Lion King (1 day out) 

 

Midnight - 1.18m

OD - 12.38m (+49.87%) (91185 shows)

Sat - 7.60m

 

MN - 3.74m (+216.9%)

OD - 25.95m (+109.6%)

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On 7/10/2019 at 9:50 PM, ZeeSoh said:

The Lion King (1 day out)

 

Midnight - 1.18m

OD - 12.38m (+49.87%) (91185 shows)

Sat - 7.60m

Sun - 4.43m

The Lion King (Final)

 

OD - 26.84m (+116.8%) (118623 shows)

Sat - 13.19m

Sun - 7.01m

 

Great jump on the last day, 3rd highest after Shazam and Dark Phoenix amongst the movies I have tracked. Show count is on the low side though comparable to Detective Pikachu. Sat and Sun PS is very high as a ratio of OD PS which is good for the OW multiplier. It's Douban rating is also starting at a very decent score of 8.1 which while not very high is still very good. OW seems to be heading to the 60's region, range should be 55-65m

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11 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

The Lion King (Final)

 

OD - 26.84m (+116.8%) (118623 shows)

Sat - 13.19m

Sun - 7.01m

 

Great jump on the last day, 3rd highest after Shazam and Dark Phoenix amongst the movies I have tracked. Show count is on the low side though comparable to Detective Pikachu. Sat and Sun PS is very high as a ratio of OD PS which is good for the OW multiplier. It's Douban rating is also starting at a very decent score of 8.1 which while not very high is still very good. OW seems to be heading to the 60's region, range should be 55-65m

 

Fingers crossed for a 3x multiplier. Lack of competition will help for sure.

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3 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Fingers crossed for a 3x multiplier. Lack of competition will help for sure.

Maoyan thinks it is heading to a 170m total at this point which is definitely optimistic. RT scores seem very discouraging to me at this point about WOM. But who knows maybe this turns out to be like Aladdin and there is a total disconnect between audience and critics. 

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Just now, ZeeSoh said:

Maoyan thinks it is heading to a 170m total at this point which is definitely optimistic. RT scores seem very discouraging to me at this point about WOM. But who knows maybe this turns out to be like Aladdin and there is a total disconnect between audience and critics. 

 

Hopefully that 8.1 on Douban is indicative of just that. 

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Praying for critics just being haters devoid of logic like on Aladdin but I'm worried.

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Isn't 8.1 quite good for Douban? 

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22 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Hopefully that 8.1 on Douban is indicative of just that. 

For comparison, Aladdin currently has 7.8 on Douban. I'm guessing a Maoyan score around 9.0 or higher is attainable for Lion King. China generally enjoys films with stunning VFX, so hopefully that is the case here.

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6 minutes ago, Menor said:

Isn't 8.1 quite good for Douban? 

it is very good

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Presales for Hobbs & Shaw have begun. Currently less than 1k shows and about 10k in OD PS

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2 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Presales for Hobbs & Shaw have begun. Currently less than 1k shows and about 10k in OD PS

Congratulations on your 5,000th post!

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1 hour ago, Avatree said:

Congratulations on your 5,000th post!

Thanks. Hadn't realized already reached 5k posts. Although if u remove Summer Game/Presale posts, that number would be way low. But still nice milestone 

 

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Hobbs & Shaw (14 days out)

 

Midnight - 16k

OD - 73.7k (3110 shows)

Sat - 36.8k

Sun - 25.9k

 

Will be interesting to see how this one does. Expecting big numbers from this one, especially looking at how it has performed in countries like India where F&F is big. Unlike Pikachu and TLK, this one has a real potential for big numbers, especially given the fact that its a big Hollywood movie coming after a relatively long break. 

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Posted (edited)
23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (14 days out)

 

Midnight - 16k

OD - 73.7k (3110 shows)

Sat - 36.8k

Sun - 25.9k

 

Will be interesting to see how this one does. Expecting big numbers from this one, especially looking at how it has performed in countries like India where F&F is big. Unlike Pikachu and TLK, this one has a real potential for big numbers, especially given the fact that its a big Hollywood movie coming after a relatively long break. 

 500k at 1630 w 22k shows. 6 hours into PS. (Not counting last night)

FF8 6 hours into PS. 17k shows 1.58m.

They are not as excited.

On 3/31/2017 at 9:05 AM, POTUS 2020 said:

They just added 2000 show and PS on the move finally.  yesterday was a false start. 

           Shows    PS     

1500       2k       11k

1600    4.7k     170k

1700    7.5k     300k

1800     11k     550k

1900     14k     873k

2000     15k    1.37m

2100     17k    1.58m

2300     19k    1.84m

Edit   PS jumping now

1800    936k    28k shows

1900  1.35m   34k 

2000  1.57m   36k

2100  1.75m   37k

2300  2.08m   40k

0000  2.15m   40k

 

It passed FF8, but with twice the time(all day vs half day) and twice the shows.

we need to wait til Monday to see if the daily RR is 10% or 20%+

Edited by POTUS 2020
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  JttW2     WC         FF8           IW            
PS 1am OD %gain   MN %gain PS % gain   MN %gain OD gain % gain   MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows  
Sa 12.7     9.2   8.8         2.5       9.0 14.0% 18.5 3.1 26.5% 59.2  
Su 16.9 32.7%   11.0 19.6% 12.0 37.1%       5.4 2.9 116.0%   10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0  
Mo 19.4 14.9%   13.0 18.2% 14.8 23.3%       8.3 2.9 53.7%   11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0  
Tu 22.1 14.2%   14.9 14.6% 17.0 14.9%       11.4 3.1 37.3%   11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7  
We 25.5 15.3%   16.0 7.4% 20.0 17.6%   5.0   14.5 3.1 27.2%   12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8  
Th 29.1 14.1%   18.1 13.1% 23.0 15.0%   6.4 28.0% 19.5 5.0 34.5%   15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7  
Fr 33.3 14.4%   19.6 8.3% 27.0 17.4%   8.0 25.0% 24.6 5.1 26.2%   16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9  
Sa 38.4 15.3%   21.8 11.2% 31.5 16.7%   9.8 22.5% 33.0 8.4 34.1%   17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1  
Su 44.0 14.6%   22.5 3.2% 35.9 14.0%   11.3 15.3% 39.6 6.6 20.0%   19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0  
Mo 51.0 15.9%   23.4 4.0% 40.8 13.6%   13.6 20.4% 48.0 8.4 21.2%   20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5  
Tu 57.0 11.8%   25.7 9.8% 44.8 9.8%   17.4 27.9% 63.0 15.0 31.3%   23.5 12.4% 89.3 14.0 18.6% 110.0 proj
We 72.0 26.3%   27.1 5.4% 50.7 13.2%   22.0 26.4% 84.0 21.0 33.3%   25.4 8.0% 103.4 14.1 15.8% 122.0 proj
Th 88.8 23.3%   30.0 10.7% 64.8 27.8%   27.0 22.7% 106.0 22.0 26.2%   27.9 10.0% 121.0 17.6 17.0% 140.0 proj
Fr(OD) 140.0 57.7%   50.1 67.0% 96.0 48.1%   62.0 129.6% 165.0 59.0 55.7%   64.2 130.0% 188.4 67.4 55.7% 190.0 proj
OD BO 356.0 154.3%       251.5 162.0%   62.0   417.0   152.7%   64.2   471.0   150.0%    
Multi   2.54         2.62           2.52           2.50    
                                           
  OD OW   Total OD $ OW $ Total $                            
JttW2 356 777   1656 52 113 240                            
WC 251 819   1472 36 125 225                            
FF8 417 1352   2671 60 196 387                            
IW 471 1526   2899 75 241 459                            

 

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On 8/8/2019 at 10:14 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (14 days out)

 

Midnight - 16k

OD - 73.7k (3110 shows)

Sat - 36.8k

Sun - 25.9k

 

Will be interesting to see how this one does. Expecting big numbers from this one, especially looking at how it has performed in countries like India where F&F is big. Unlike Pikachu and TLK, this one has a real potential for big numbers, especially given the fact that its a big Hollywood movie coming after a relatively long break. 

Hobbs & Shaw (13 days out)

 

Midnight - 509k

OD - 2.15m (40658 shows)

Sat - 1.3m

Sun - 1.20m

 

Big first day for H&S, same first day as Captain Marvel but with far more show times allotted. Bigger first day than FF8 also I think as that one was at 1.5m. Too early to project anything so will wait for a few days and see where it goes

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20 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (13 days out)

 

Midnight - 509k

OD - 2.15m (40658 shows)

Sat - 1.3m

Sun - 1.20m

 

Big first day for H&S, same first day as Captain Marvel but with far more show times allotted. Bigger first day than FF8 also I think as that one was at 1.5m. Too early to project anything so will wait for a few days and see where it goes

Hobbs & Shaw (12 days out)

 

Midnight - 818k

OD - 3.36m (56.28%) (50383 shows)

Sat - 2.02m

Sun - 1.65m

 

Another good jump today, Sat and Sun PS looking especially strong however Midnights are slightly weaker. It has fallen behind Captain Marvel's 2nd day OD PS however it has far more days than Captain Marvel left in its PS run so no worries so far. It's more closer to the 2nd day of Far From Home which was at 3.49m. H&S's Sat and Sun are stronger than Spidey too but again the Midnights are weaker. Show count is strong too at this point.

 

Current trajectory would indicate a 60's PS but its still very early to tell. 

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