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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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On 8/10/2019 at 9:53 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (12 days out)

 

Midnight - 818k

OD - 3.36m (56.28%) (50383 shows)

Sat - 2.02m

Sun - 1.65m

 

Another good jump today, Sat and Sun PS looking especially strong however Midnights are slightly weaker. It has fallen behind Captain Marvel's 2nd day OD PS however it has far more days than Captain Marvel left in its PS run so no worries so far. It's more closer to the 2nd day of Far From Home which was at 3.49m. H&S's Sat and Sun are stronger than Spidey too but again the Midnights are weaker. Show count is strong too at this point.

 

Current trajectory would indicate a 60's PS but its still very early to tell. 

80m+ opening possible ?

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2 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said:

If it holds at 25% daily gains now as it appears I get 75m PS.

That'll get it close to 705m/$100m

thanku !great news! hope the wom will be good with 9+ scores in maoyan and other sites!

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On 8/10/2019 at 6:23 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (12 days out)

 

Midnight - 818k

OD - 3.36m (56.28%) (50383 shows)

Sat - 2.02m

Sun - 1.65m

 

Another good jump today, Sat and Sun PS looking especially strong however Midnights are slightly weaker. It has fallen behind Captain Marvel's 2nd day OD PS however it has far more days than Captain Marvel left in its PS run so no worries so far. It's more closer to the 2nd day of Far From Home which was at 3.49m. H&S's Sat and Sun are stronger than Spidey too but again the Midnights are weaker. Show count is strong too at this point.

 

Current trajectory would indicate a 60's PS but its still very early to tell. 

Hobbs & Shaw (10 days out)

 

Midnight - 1.50m

OD - 5.19m  (61800 shows)

Sat - 2.53m

Sun - 1.99m

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On 8/10/2019 at 9:53 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (12 days out)

 

Midnight - 818k

OD - 3.36m (56.28%) (50383 shows)

Sat - 2.02m

Sun - 1.65m

Hobbs & Shaw (10 days out)

 

Midnight - 1.52m

OD - 5.21m (23.45%) (61138 shows)

Sat - 2.53m

Sun - 1.99m

 

H&S has slowed down after its good start. It has fallen behind the 5th day PS of SpideyFFH as well as CM. Good part is that its PS started more days before these movies hence it has more time to cover any distance it might fall behind. 

On 8/12/2019 at 12:43 AM, Jaybee said:

80m+ opening possible ?

Yes it is possible, I would say even likely given current PS.

Edited by ZeeSoh
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36 minutes ago, a2k said:

What multi can be expected with good but not great wom for HS, say 8.8 Maoyan score...2x possible?

2-2.2x due to summer weekday help

 

16 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (10 days out)

 

Midnight - 1.52m

OD - 5.21m (56.28% 25%) (61138 shows)

Sat - 2.53m

Sun - 1.99m

 

H&S has slowed down after its good start. It has fallen behind the 5th day PS of SpideyFFH as well as CM. Good part is that its PS started more days before these movies hence it has more time to cover any distance it might fall behind. 

Yes it is possible, I would say even likely given current PS.

FTFY.  You skipped a day

Its pacing for 6.5m, another 25% gain

FF8 was 14.5m at the end of Tuesday with the same amount of PS days. FFHS is 55% behind in PS but will have larger increases next week and a larger PSm.

Safe to say $90-110M OW as long as the rating doesn't bomb.  $180-240m total

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On 8/12/2019 at 10:45 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (10 days out)

 

Midnight - 1.52m

OD - 5.21m (23.45%) (61138 shows)

Sat - 2.53m

Sun - 1.99m

 

H&S has slowed down after its good start. It has fallen behind the 5th day PS of SpideyFFH as well as CM. Good part is that its PS started more days before these movies hence it has more time to cover any distance it might fall behind. 

Yes it is possible, I would say even likely given current PS.

Hobbs & Shaw (9 days out)

 

Midnight - 1.90m

OD - 6.38m (22.45%) (64966 shows)

Sat - 2.80m

Sun - 2.10m

 

Decent jump again today, still heading to 60's PS I think. 

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14 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Hobbs & Shaw (10 days out)

OD - 6.35m (22%) (65000 shows)

 

Keeping a steady pace at 20%+, Stlll on same target

 

What would be the final if it opens as per prediction with "decent/good" wom like rampage or skyscraper! 250m possible ?

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2 hours ago, Jaybee said:

What would be the final if it opens as per prediction with "decent/good" wom like rampage or skyscraper! 250m possible ?

$250m is possible with good WoM but @firedeep said it may be boring for the Chinese fans

2 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

What are we thinking for Angry Birds 2?

AB1 did OD 53m  OW 197m Tot 512m/$78m with an 8.7 but PS suggest just a 20-25m OD.  May cut in half

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23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (9 days out)

 

Midnight - 1.90m

OD - 6.38m (22.45%) (64966 shows)

Sat - 2.80m

Sun - 2.10m

 

Decent jump again today, still heading to 60's PS I think. 

Hobbs & Shaw (8 days out)

 

Midnight - 2.2m

OD - 7.60m (19.12%) (68232 shows)

Sat - 3.05m

Sun - 2.21m

 

Slowing down but very slightly, showing some signs of slight frontloadedness which it hadnt for the first day or two. Still heading for a 60's PS I think and an OW in the 80-90's region.

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20 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Hobbs & Shaw (8 days out)

 

Midnight - 2.2m

OD - 7.60m (19.12%) (68232 shows)

Sat - 3.05m

Sun - 2.21m

 

Slowing down but very slightly, showing some signs of slight frontloadedness which it hadnt for the first day or two. Still heading for a 60's PS I think and an OW in the 80-90's region.

Hobbs & Shaw (7 days out)

 

Midnight - 2.73m

OD - 9.29m (22.24%) (71304 shows)

Sat - 3.56m

Sun - 2.44m

Edited by abra
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Hobbs & Shaw (6 days out)

 

Midnight - 3.36m

OD - 11.4m (22.5%) (75800 shows)

Sat - 4.16m

Sun - 2.70m

Holding a tight line in 20s for % gain

I still think over 70m for PS.  The PSm will be the tricky part. 2.75-3.75

Edited by POTUS 2020
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On 8/15/2019 at 6:00 PM, abra said:

Hobbs & Shaw (7 days out)

 

Midnight - 2.73m

OD - 9.29m (22.24%) (71304 shows)

Sat - 3.56m

Sun - 2.44m

Hobbs & Shaw (6 days out)

 

Midnight - 3.36m

OD - 11.40m (22.71%) (75816 shows)

 

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23 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Hobbs & Shaw (6 days out)

 

Midnight - 3.36m

OD - 11.4m (22.5%) (75800 shows)

Sat - 4.16m

Sun - 2.70m

Holding a tight line in 20s for % gain

I still think over 70m for PS.  The PSm will be the tricky part. 2.75-3.75

Hobbs & Shaw (5 days out)

 

Midnight - 3.89m

OD - 13.40m (17.5%) (79550 shows)

Sat - 4.74m

Sun - 2.98m

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23 hours ago, abra said:

Hobbs & Shaw (5 days out)

 

Midnight - 3.89m

OD - 13.40m (17.5%) (79550 shows)

Sat - 4.74m

Sun - 2.98m

Hobbs & Shaw (4 days out)

 

Midnight - 4.57m

OD - 15.86m (18.4%) (~84000 shows)

Sat - 5.48m

Sun - 3.38m

 

In the evening hours slightly accelerated presale

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