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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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1 minute ago, POTUS 2020 said:

J2 PS at 9m for tues mite.  Not bumping 40% daily.  PS may finish low 20s.

On track for $35-40m OW unless the PSm is higher than recent releases(3.5+) or a high rating

I actually expected this to be the only market where the film does better than its predecessor. I guess not.

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14 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Looks like PS may end at just 17 for Jumanji. Maybe 19 if the D-0 night is unusually good. If so might be just 28-33 without notable reception.

That's much lower than I expected. I thought it would open to at least 50 mil. Deadline said the movie will 60 mil international OW but I'm wondering if it will be more like 45 mil.

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20 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

That's much lower than I expected. I thought it would open to at least 50 mil. Deadline said the movie will 60 mil international OW but I'm wondering if it will be more like 45 mil.

I mean, maybe the PSm will be great 🤷‍♂️ 
 

But yeah, iirc Deadline’s 60 included an estimated 40 in China. So if the actual is like 32, then maybe missing 50 WW if the other markets come in a similar % below their projection. Or maybe the other markets will overperform Deadline’s 20 — I’m not paying that much attention to Jumanji PS around the world, and over/underperformance in China isn’t that strongly correlated with ROW.

Edited by Arendelle Legion
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SW9 PS have begun!!

Just 1000 shows listed with Y13,000 PS.  Give it a few days

Its up against Ip Man 4 which already has 2.42m PS with 35k shows

Ip 3 made 700m/$110m+ in  2016

 

SW9 Finishes 1st day of PS at 52k with 2200 shows

IP4  2.53m

Edited by POTUS 2020
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           PS       Shows

IP4

Fri      2.87m   39k   Dec 20th

SW9

Wed  830k     4.4k    Dec 18

Thu    460k     4.7k

Fri      450k     7.7k

Sat     370k       3k 

 

There are a few SW fan boys in China. 830k PS with just 4.4k shows on a Wed on short notice is impressive.

Too early to tell where it will land and we may not know until OW but it continues to have a good start.  Hopefully they list 20k shows tomorrow 

 

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Very good Thu for Jumanji considering it lost screens.

 

Conservatively 32.5 2nd weekend (-81%) will leave it on track for 285 ($40.5).

 

Weekday Date Gross % Hold Cume Milestone
Fri 6 Dec 19 61.1   61.1  
Sat 7 Dec 19 65.3 6.9 126.4  
Sun 8 Dec 19 46.5 -28.8 172.9 weekend1
Mon 9 Dec 19 17.0 -63.4 189.9  
Tue 10 Dec 19 14.5 -14.6 204.4  
Wed 11 Dec 19 13.0 -10.5 217.4  
Thu 12 Dec 19 10.6 -18.5 228.0 week1
Fri 13 Dec 19 8.5 -19.8 236.5  
Sat 14 Dec 19 13.5 58.8 250.0  
Sun 15 Dec 19 10.5 -22.2 260.5 weekend2
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23 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said:

           PS       Shows

IP4

Fri      2.87m   39k   Dec 20th

SW9

Wed  830k     4.4k    Dec 18

Thu    460k     4.7k

Fri      450k     7.7k

Sat     370k       3k 

 

There are a few SW fan boys in China. 830k PS with just 4.4k shows on a Wed on short notice is impressive.

Too early to tell where it will land and we may not know until OW but it continues to have a good start.  Hopefully they list 20k shows tomorrow 

 

IP4

Fri:     3.10m                     41.7k shows

 

SW9   (T-5/ 5 more days of presales before OD).

Wed:   1.22m (+390k)       9.0k (+4.6k)

Thu:     565k  (+105k)       9.1k (+4.4k)

Fri:       580k  (+130k)       12.1k (+4.4k)

Sat:      430k  (+60k)         4.2k (+1.2k)

 

TLJ:

 

T-9  844k OD 15k shows
T-7 1.72M
T-6 2.25M
T-5 2.53M
T-4 3.09M
T-3 4.07M
T-2 5.60M

 

Still not a lot of screens, they should be allocated in the next 2 days

Edited by pepsa
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48 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

why is it releasing on wednesday.  I dont think China has any holiday next week? @Olive

I think it's because it will have 2 days with out the competition of IP4. Maybe disney thought it would be dead on arrival if it opened next to it.

Edited by pepsa
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13 hours ago, pepsa said:

I think it's because it will have 2 days with out the competition of IP4. Maybe disney thought it would be dead on arrival if it opened next to it.

That could backfire. They always give OD extra shows. They will have less shows on Friday now which could then hurt Saturday shows. 

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