john2000 Posted May 17, 2021 Share Posted May 17, 2021 (edited) i am really confused , other than fast and furius and the avengers movies , i dont remember (other than 2 or 3 ,overperformances) hollywood movies making 300 mill in china. KvG made almost 190million in china , isnt that a good sign already ? and depending on WOM fast 9 could make 250-300 , yes thats lower than fast 7 and 8 but these could be overperformances for all we know. All in all i still dont get how hollywood movies are dead in china , and from what i remember chinese movies even before the pandemic were already more popular than hw movies either way.Idk if black widow can hit 150 million in china , that would seem very normal to me , anyways. Edited May 17, 2021 by john2000 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 17, 2021 Share Posted May 17, 2021 Fast 9 T-3 Days Midnight - ¥10.8M on 14.2K shows Friday - ¥32M (+¥7M) on 137K shows Saturday - ¥12.1M on 91K shows Sunday - ¥3.6M on 75K shows Total - ¥58.5M ($9M) Comp OD 51.5% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥215M 160% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥398M MN 63% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥40M 196% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥69M Same. Same. Same. The difference between FF8 & HS comp is ¥183M. Almost double. Time Fast 9 The Fate of the Furious Hobbs and Shaw T-13 ¥2.90 ¥2.15 T-12 ¥1.87 ¥5.04 73.79% ¥3.36 56.28% T-11 ¥4.31 130.48% ¥6.40 26.98% ¥4.22 25.60% T-10 ¥6.69 55.22% ¥8.24 28.75% ¥5.21 23.46% T-9 ¥9.19 37.37% ¥14.20 72.33% ¥6.38 22.46% T-8 ¥11.60 26.22% ¥19.24 35.49% ¥7.60 19.12% T-7 ¥14.22 22.59% ¥24.40 26.82% ¥9.30 22.37% T-6 ¥17.70 24.47% ¥32.87 34.71% ¥11.47 23.33% T-5 ¥21.00 18.64% ¥39.31 19.59% ¥13.46 17.35% T-4 ¥25.00 19.05% ¥47.42 20.63% ¥15.85 17.76% T-3 ¥32.00 28.00% ¥62.15 31.06% ¥20.00 26.18% T-2 ¥42.37 32.42% ¥81.94 31.84% ¥26.15 30.75% T-1 ¥57.62 35.99% ¥103.00 25.70% ¥35.19 34.57% Final ¥106.64 85.07% ¥158.00 53.40% ¥64.25 82.58% OD ¥298.59 ¥417.07 ¥249.10 PSm 2.80 2.64 3.88 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted May 17, 2021 Share Posted May 17, 2021 What are the chances of Black Widow being released in china before being released on disney plus? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Fast 9 T-2 Days Midnight - ¥14M on 14.9K shows Friday - ¥43.2M (+¥11.2M) on 154K shows Saturday - ¥16.75M on 104K shows Sunday - ¥4.85M on 86K shows Total - ¥78.8M ($12.2M) Comp OD 52.7% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥220M 165% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥410M MN 67% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥42M 197% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥69M Well first day it beat the projection slightly. Though tomorrow will clear a lot of things. H&S and FF8 had mostly similar pace of run, but H&S paced up in last two days while FF8 had normal increases. If it follow FF8, will be around 84M PS and PSm will be low too (I think) for around 220-230M OD. If it follow H&S, will hit 105-110M, and PSm could be healthier too, for 300-350M OD. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 And big upturn in sales today in China. Even bigger than what Hobbs and Shaw got. Should reach 61-63M at end of day. Final sales may be 115-125M. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 (edited) I see that pre-sale stopped for a few hours Midnight Edited May 19, 2021 by abra Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 18 minutes ago, abra said: I see that pre-sale stopped for a few hours Midnight Must be correcting. Still 26 hours to go Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 19, 2021 Share Posted May 19, 2021 (edited) Fast 9 T-1 Days Midnight - ¥20M on 17K shows Friday - ¥63.1M (+¥19.9M) on 186K shows Saturday - ¥25M on 129K shows Sunday - ¥7.2M on 105K shows Total - ¥115.3M ($17.9M) Comp OD 61% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥255M 180% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥448M MN 75% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥47M 180% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥63M Yeah, following H&S run and not FF8. H&S had crazy final day, hopefully that is bit realistic sort of and not blow up all the comps. For now, thinking 55M Midnights and 325-350M OD. 1000-1050M OW ($155-163M). Edited May 19, 2021 by charlie Jatinder 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 (edited) at 2 p.m. OD - 75M increment of 2m / hour Midnight - 27,5 M The growth is very jumping, for some time it stands and it is rapid growth Edited May 20, 2021 by abra Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 79,4 mill OD at 4pm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 (edited) Going really really fast I must say. 80M at 16:15, Adding 16.9M since last night. 125M should be done. May be even 130M. The final day push suggest strong PSm. 350M OD seems almost locked. May be 400M is possible too. My bad. Edited May 20, 2021 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 (edited) Final day of OD may be par Endgame if it reach 130M. Even at 120M will be ahead of FF8. FF8 - 55M final day - Added 259M on OD (4.7x) Infinity War - 50M - 209M (4.19x) Endgame - 67M - 283M (4.23x) Hobbs and Shaw - 29M - 185M (6.37x) Edited May 20, 2021 by charlie Jatinder 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 On 4/13/2017 at 2:36 PM, abra said: [ 0 days+ 7 hours] The Fate of the Furious Midnight: 36.41m -Now (+10M) Fri: 126.54m - Now (+23.5M) Sat: 62.45m - Now OD Runs 2.45 M/hour Looking back at FF8, final day trend seems different from CBMs. At 17:00 F9 MN - 32.2M (+5.6M) OD - 81.6M (+18.5M) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 Let's hope reception is good enough to make good numbers beyond the OW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 (edited) FF9 84,3 mill OD at 6pm 2,5M/h Edited May 20, 2021 by abra Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 (edited) FF9 at 7pm OD - 87,5M ( 3,2M/h) Edited May 20, 2021 by abra Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 It really need to pick up some steam to hit @charlie Jatinder s latest projection Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 (edited) 13 minutes ago, fmpro said: It really need to pick up some steam to hit @charlie Jatinder s latest projection My bad. Had some error in FFH T-1 day numbers. Corrected that. Back at 16:00, it was looking at 114M. Now thinking 110-115M depending on how it goes. Edited May 20, 2021 by charlie Jatinder 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: My bad. Had some error in FFH T-1 day numbers. Corrected that. Back at 16:00, it was looking at 114M. Now thinking 110-115M depending on how it goes. Sounds more realistic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted May 20, 2021 Share Posted May 20, 2021 FFH had a kind of wild final day hourly shape. I think being summer juiced the final few hours — more people awake and buying tickets compared to school night patterns. F9 looking at a pretty mild final day after D-1 was so good. Thinking 107 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
