Jump to content
Olive

Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

Recommended Posts

Posted (edited)

i am really confused , other than fast and furius and the avengers movies , i dont remember (other than 2 or 3 ,overperformances) hollywood movies making 300 mill in china. KvG  made almost 190million in china , isnt that a good sign already ? and depending on WOM fast 9 could make 250-300  , yes thats lower than fast 7 and 8 but these could be overperformances for all we know. All in all i still dont get how hollywood movies are dead in china , and from what i remember chinese movies even before the pandemic were already  more popular than hw movies either way.Idk if black widow can hit 150 million in china , that would seem very normal to me , anyways.

Edited by john2000
  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Fast 9 T-3 Days

 

Midnight - ¥10.8M on 14.2K shows

Friday - ¥32M (+¥7M) on 137K shows

Saturday - ¥12.1M on 91K shows

Sunday - ¥3.6M on 75K shows

 

Total - ¥58.5M ($9M)

 

Comp

OD

51.5% of The Fate of the Furious -  ¥215M

160% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥398M

 

MN

63% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥40M

196% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥69M

 

Same. Same. Same.

The difference between FF8 & HS comp is ¥183M. Almost double. 

 

Time Fast 9 The Fate of the Furious Hobbs and Shaw
T-13     ¥2.90   ¥2.15  
T-12 ¥1.87   ¥5.04 73.79% ¥3.36 56.28%
T-11 ¥4.31 130.48% ¥6.40 26.98% ¥4.22 25.60%
T-10 ¥6.69 55.22% ¥8.24 28.75% ¥5.21 23.46%
T-9 ¥9.19 37.37% ¥14.20 72.33% ¥6.38 22.46%
T-8 ¥11.60 26.22% ¥19.24 35.49% ¥7.60 19.12%
T-7 ¥14.22 22.59% ¥24.40 26.82% ¥9.30 22.37%
T-6 ¥17.70 24.47% ¥32.87 34.71% ¥11.47 23.33%
T-5 ¥21.00 18.64% ¥39.31 19.59% ¥13.46 17.35%
T-4 ¥25.00 19.05% ¥47.42 20.63% ¥15.85 17.76%
T-3 ¥32.00 28.00% ¥62.15 31.06% ¥20.00 26.18%
T-2 ¥42.37 32.42% ¥81.94 31.84% ¥26.15 30.75%
T-1 ¥57.62 35.99% ¥103.00 25.70% ¥35.19 34.57%
Final ¥106.64 85.07% ¥158.00 53.40% ¥64.25 82.58%
             
OD ¥298.59 ¥417.07 ¥249.10
PSm 2.80 2.64 3.88
  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Fast 9 T-2 Days

 

Midnight - ¥14M on 14.9K shows

Friday - ¥43.2M (+¥11.2M) on 154K shows

Saturday - ¥16.75M on 104K shows

Sunday - ¥4.85M on 86K shows

 

Total - ¥78.8M ($12.2M)

 

Comp

OD

52.7% of The Fate of the Furious -  ¥220M

165% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥410M

 

MN

67% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥42M

197% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥69M

 

Well first day it beat the projection slightly. Though tomorrow will clear a lot of things. H&S and FF8 had mostly similar pace of run, but H&S paced up in last two days while FF8 had normal increases. If it follow FF8, will be around 84M PS and PSm will be low too (I think) for around 220-230M OD. 

 

If it follow H&S, will hit 105-110M, and PSm could be healthier too, for 300-350M OD.

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, abra said:

I see that pre-sale stopped for a few hours Midnight

Must be correcting. Still 26 hours to go

Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

Fast 9 T-1 Days

 

Midnight - ¥20M on 17K shows

Friday - ¥63.1M (+¥19.9M) on 186K shows

Saturday - ¥25M on 129K shows

Sunday - ¥7.2M on 105K shows

 

Total - ¥115.3M ($17.9M)

 

Comp

OD

61% of The Fate of the Furious -  ¥255M

180% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥448M

 

MN

75% of The Fate of the Furious - ¥47M

180% of Hobbs and Shaw - ¥63M

 

Yeah, following H&S run and not FF8. H&S had crazy final day, hopefully that is bit realistic sort of and not blow up all the comps. 

 

For now, thinking 55M Midnights and 325-350M OD. 1000-1050M OW ($155-163M).

Edited by charlie Jatinder
  • Like 5
  • Thanks 1
  • Astonished 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
at 2 p.m.
OD - 75M
increment of 2m / hour

Midnight - 27,5 M

The growth is very jumping, for some time it stands and it is rapid growth

Edited by abra
Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

Going really really fast I must say. 80M at 16:15, Adding 16.9M since last night. 125M should be done. May be even 130M. 

The final day push suggest strong PSm. 350M OD seems almost locked. May be 400M is possible too. 

 

 

My bad.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

Final day of OD may be par Endgame if it reach 130M. Even at 120M will be ahead of FF8.

 

FF8 - 55M final day - Added 259M on OD (4.7x)

Infinity War - 50M - 209M (4.19x)
Endgame - 67M - 283M (4.23x)

Hobbs and Shaw - 29M - 185M (6.37x)

 


 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
  • Astonished 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 4/13/2017 at 2:36 PM, abra said:

[ 0 days+ 7 hours]
The Fate of the Furious

Midnight: 36.41m -Now (+10M)
Fri: 126.54m -  Now (+23.5M)
Sat: 62.45m -  Now 

 

OD Runs 2.45 M/hour

Looking back at FF8, final day trend seems different from CBMs.

 

At 17:00 F9

MN - 32.2M (+5.6M)
OD - 81.6M (+18.5M)

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

 

13 minutes ago, fmpro said:

It really need to pick up some steam to hit @charlie Jatinder s latest projection

My bad. Had some error in FFH T-1 day numbers. Corrected that. 

Back at 16:00, it was looking at 114M. Now thinking 110-115M depending on how it goes.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

My bad. Had some error in FFH T-1 day numbers. Corrected that. 

Back at 16:00, it was looking at 114M. Now thinking 110-115M depending on how it goes.

Sounds more realistic

Link to post
Share on other sites

FFH had a kind of wild final day hourly shape. I think being summer juiced the final few hours — more people awake and buying tickets compared to school night patterns.   
 

F9 looking at a pretty mild final day after D-1 was so good. Thinking 107

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.




×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.