Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

[Langdangfly]

22 minutes ago, abra said:

 

Cbo Warcraft

 

Warcraft presales
Midnights					OD				Gewara
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	Sold Tickets	Day +
7	23,40				34,80				290 613	39 131

  

 

I don't think we should trust these numbers anymore. The pre sale number jumped to 40M afor couple of hours and dropd down to 19M, clearly there's something going wrong with Maoyan

[keysersoze123]

But there is no doubt its pre-sales are off the charts. Gewara is at 325,290  and there is still another week to go. So its going to take midnight and OD record for sure.

[abra]

 

Warcraft presales
Midnights (Maoyan)					OD (Maoyan)				Gewara
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	Sold Tickets	Day +
14	8,44		1 287 100,0		5,13		782 325,0		69 696
13	11,03	2,59	1 682 075,0	394 975,0	8,75	3,62	1 334 375,0	552 050,0	103 488	33 792
12	13,01	1,98	1 984 025,0	301 950,0	12,01	3,26	1 831 525,0	497 150,0	132 364	28 876
11	14,93	1,92	2 276 825,0	292 800,0	14,88	2,87	2 269 200,0	437 675,0	162 487	30 123
10	16,07	1,14	2 450 675,0	173 850,0	17,02	2,14	2 595 550,0	326 350,0	186 670	24 183
9	18,12	2,05	2 763 300,0	312 625,0	20,06	3,04	3 059 150,0	463 600,0	212 223	25 553
8	22,51	4,39	3 432 775,0	669 475,0	27,79	7,73	4 237 975,0	1 178 825,0	251 482	39 259
7	19,63	-      2,88	2 993 575,0	-       439 200,0	25,17	-      2,62	3 838 425,0	-       399 550,0	290 613	39 131
6	21,87	2,24	3 335 175,0	341 600,0	31,38	6,21	4 785 450,0	947 025,0	327 461	36 848

 

Midnights (Cbooo)					OD (Cbooo)
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]
7	23,40	23,40	3 568 500,0	3 568 500,0	34,80	34,80	5 307 000,0	5 307 000,0
6	24,67	1,27	3 762 175,0	193 675,0	38,74	3,94	5 907 850,0	600 850,0

 

 

 

 

 

[azeraftw]

2 hours ago, abra said:

 

Warcraft presales
Midnights (Maoyan)					OD (Maoyan)				Gewara
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	Sold Tickets	Day +
14	8,44		1 287 100,0		5,13		782 325,0		69 696
13	11,03	2,59	1 682 075,0	394 975,0	8,75	3,62	1 334 375,0	552 050,0	103 488	33 792
12	13,01	1,98	1 984 025,0	301 950,0	12,01	3,26	1 831 525,0	497 150,0	132 364	28 876
11	14,93	1,92	2 276 825,0	292 800,0	14,88	2,87	2 269 200,0	437 675,0	162 487	30 123
10	16,07	1,14	2 450 675,0	173 850,0	17,02	2,14	2 595 550,0	326 350,0	186 670	24 183
9	18,12	2,05	2 763 300,0	312 625,0	20,06	3,04	3 059 150,0	463 600,0	212 223	25 553
8	22,51	4,39	3 432 775,0	669 475,0	27,79	7,73	4 237 975,0	1 178 825,0	251 482	39 259
7	19,63	-      2,88	2 993 575,0	-       439 200,0	25,17	-      2,62	3 838 425,0	-       399 550,0	290 613	39 131
6	21,87	2,24	3 335 175,0	341 600,0	31,38	6,21	4 785 450,0	947 025,0	327 461	36 848

 

Midnights (Cbooo)					OD (Cbooo)
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]
7	23,40	23,40	3 568 500,0	3 568 500,0	34,80	34,80	5 307 000,0	5 307 000,0
6	24,67	1,27	3 762 175,0	193 675,0	38,74	3,94	5 907 850,0	600 850,0

 

 

What does Cbooo mean? Is the midnight presale figure as high as 24.67 now? And the OD is 39m? Is it still on track to beat F7?

 

 

 

[Mrstickball]

I believe Gewara OD ticket sales were at about 500,000 before FF7 opened up. Its currently sitting at ~330,000 with 6 days left.

[POTUS 2020]

17 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

But there is no doubt its pre-sales are off the charts. Gewara is at 325,290  and there is still another week to go. So its going to take midnight and OD record for sure.

It had a fast start. But its daily increase % is now 1/2 the norm.  Maoyan and CBO are steadily increasing at 15-18% per day instead of 30-40%. I assume that'll pick up to 25-30% 2-3 days out(instead of 50-60%). Maybe increase 50% the last day instead of 75-100%

If that holds PS will be at 115-125m and do 225m-300m. I think MN gets beat but not OD

[keysersoze123]

warcraft started so big that if it had increased at normal rate it would crash the BO. I think it will accelerate last day or two and OD record will be in play.

[Mrstickball]

Gewara had a nice increase on ticket sales.. Now up to 372,172 tickets sold. 

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

warcraft started so big that if it had increased at normal rate it would crash the BO. I think it will accelerate last day or two and OD record will be in play.

I say under 300m OD

Smaller demo than FF7

Weekday OD vs sunday

Edited June 2, 2016 by No Prisoners

[Olive]

Final OD presales for X-men

31.62M  (less than 2/3 of BVS)

80-100M OD...

[superweirdo87]

Olive, what was OD for Civil War? Someone else mentioned they saw XMA doing less than half of Civil War OD. And how did midnight presales for XMA compare to midnight presales for BvS?

Edited June 2, 2016 by superweirdo87

[Olive]

1 minute ago, superweirdo87 said:

Olive, what was OD for Civil War? Someone else mentioned they saw XMA doing less than half of Civil War OD. And how did midnight presales for XMA compare to midnight presales for BvS?

17M mid+182M Friday

[superweirdo87]

Thanks!

[POTUS 2020]

On Saturday, May 28, 2016 at 8:08 PM, No Prisoners said:

 

                         CA3.                    XMA                  WC                  

Days out    MN        OD               OD               MN      OD

0000 13                                                                         15m

0000 12                                                                         16

0000  11                                                                        17

0000  10                                                                        18

0000.   9     0.1m   0.3m             0.0m          18         20

0000    8     0.8       2.4                2.3              19         23+15%

0000    7     1.2       3.6 +50%     3.2 +39%    20        27 +18%

0000    6     1.8       6.2 +72%     4.2 +31%    21.9     31.5 +17%

0000    5     2.1       8.1 +31%     4.9 +16%    23.5     35.9 +14%

0000    4     2.8.    11.9 +47%     6.2 +27%

0000    3     3.5     16.3 +37%     9.0 +45%

0000    2     4.8     25.4 +56%   11.1 +23%

0000    1     6.4     37.9 +50%   17.8 +60%

0000  OD  18.1     65.8 +75%   31.6 +78%

                                                    

CA3 OD Fri 5/6

OD Total  181m           PSxMao   2.75        
OW Total 625m           Total

OD  Multi.                      OW Multi

2.75 PS multi is in line with the norm for tentpoles

 

XMA OD Fri 6/3

OD Total                        PSxMao      
OW Total.                      Total

OD  Multi.                      OW Multi

 

WC OD Wed 6/8

OD Total                        PSxMao  
OW Total                       Total

OD  Multi.                      OW Multi

 

XMA should open close to 50% of CA3. 

88m/310m~ but finish with less than 500m(40% of CA3) with competition ahead.

 

WC continues at the same pace heading to 125mPS 225m-300m OD.

Edited June 3, 2016 by No Prisoners

[abra]

Warcraft presales
Midnights (Maoyan)					OD (Maoyan)				Gewara
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	Sold Tickets	Day +
14	8,44		1 287 100,0		5,13		782 325,0		69 696
13	11,03	2,59	1 682 075,0	394 975,0	8,75	3,62	1 334 375,0	552 050,0	103 488	33 792
12	13,01	1,98	1 984 025,0	301 950,0	12,01	3,26	1 831 525,0	497 150,0	132 364	28 876
11	14,93	1,92	2 276 825,0	292 800,0	14,88	2,87	2 269 200,0	437 675,0	162 487	30 123
10	16,07	1,14	2 450 675,0	173 850,0	17,02	2,14	2 595 550,0	326 350,0	186 670	24 183
9	18,12	2,05	2 763 300,0	312 625,0	20,06	3,04	3 059 150,0	463 600,0	212 223	25 553
8	22,51	4,39	3 432 775,0	669 475,0	27,79	7,73	4 237 975,0	1 178 825,0	251 482	39 259
7	19,63	-      2,88	2 993 575,0	-       439 200,0	25,17	-      2,62	3 838 425,0	-       399 550,0	290 613	39 131
6	21,87	2,24	3 335 175,0	341 600,0	31,38	6,21	4 785 450,0	947 025,0	327 461	36 848
5	23,41	1,54	3 570 025,0	234 850,0	35,80	4,42	5 459 500,0	674 050,0	376 411	48 950

 

Midnights (Cbooo)					OD (Cbooo)
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]
7	23,40	23,40	3 568 500,0	3 568 500,0	34,80	34,80	5 307 000,0	5 307 000,0
6	24,67	1,27	3 762 175,0	193 675,0	38,74	3,94	5 907 850,0	600 850,0
5	25,74	1,07	3 925 350,0	163 175,0	43,41	4,67	6 620 025,0	712 175,0

 

 

 

[abra]

Warcraft presales
Midnights (Maoyan)					OD (Maoyan)				Gewara
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	Sold Tickets	Day +
14	8,44		1 287 100,0		5,13		782 325,0		69 696
13	11,03	2,59	1 682 075,0	394 975,0	8,75	3,62	1 334 375,0	552 050,0	103 488	33 792
12	13,01	1,98	1 984 025,0	301 950,0	12,01	3,26	1 831 525,0	497 150,0	132 364	28 876
11	14,93	1,92	2 276 825,0	292 800,0	14,88	2,87	2 269 200,0	437 675,0	162 487	30 123
10	16,07	1,14	2 450 675,0	173 850,0	17,02	2,14	2 595 550,0	326 350,0	186 670	24 183
9	18,12	2,05	2 763 300,0	312 625,0	20,06	3,04	3 059 150,0	463 600,0	212 223	25 553
8	22,51	4,39	3 432 775,0	669 475,0	27,79	7,73	4 237 975,0	1 178 825,0	251 482	39 259
7	19,63	-      2,88	2 993 575,0	-       439 200,0	25,17	-      2,62	3 838 425,0	-       399 550,0	290 613	39 131
6	21,87	2,24	3 335 175,0	341 600,0	31,38	6,21	4 785 450,0	947 025,0	327 461	36 848
5	23,41	1,54	3 570 025,0	234 850,0	35,80	4,42	5 459 500,0	674 050,0	376 411	48 950
4	24,84	1,43	3 788 100,0	218 075,0	40,32	4,52	6 148 800,0	689 300,0	439 691	63 280

 

Midnights (Cbooo)					OD (Cbooo)
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]
7	23,40	23,40	3 568 500,0	3 568 500,0	34,80	34,80	5 307 000,0	5 307 000,0
6	24,67	1,27	3 762 175,0	193 675,0	38,74	3,94	5 907 850,0	600 850,0
5	25,74	1,07	3 925 350,0	163 175,0	43,41	4,67	6 620 025,0	712 175,0
4	26,81	1,07	4 088 525,0	163 175,0	47,84	4,43	7 295 600,0	675 575,0

[Bonenash]

How much do you think Warcraft will make OW in Dollars abra?

[Agafin]

I think the goal for Warcraft is  ‎¥ 200m/$30m OD (incl. midnights) and ‎¥ 800m/$120m over the first five days. It's midnights are currently increasing at an abysmal 5% daily while the OD proper is increasing at around 10% per day. If this was a week ago, I would've assumed that it would pick up closer to release but we're now only 4 days away from it's opening. Even with an explosion at the last minute (say 100% increase), it's going to be really tough to reach  ‎¥ 250m/$38m or more. Walk ups will be decisive here I guess.

[abra]

Warcraft presales
Midnights (Maoyan)					OD (Maoyan)				Gewara
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	Sold Tickets	Day +
14	8,44		1 287 100,0		5,13		782 325,0		69 696
13	11,03	2,59	1 682 075,0	394 975,0	8,75	3,62	1 334 375,0	552 050,0	103 488	33 792
12	13,01	1,98	1 984 025,0	301 950,0	12,01	3,26	1 831 525,0	497 150,0	132 364	28 876
11	14,93	1,92	2 276 825,0	292 800,0	14,88	2,87	2 269 200,0	437 675,0	162 487	30 123
10	16,07	1,14	2 450 675,0	173 850,0	17,02	2,14	2 595 550,0	326 350,0	186 670	24 183
9	18,12	2,05	2 763 300,0	312 625,0	20,06	3,04	3 059 150,0	463 600,0	212 223	25 553
8	22,51	4,39	3 432 775,0	669 475,0	27,79	7,73	4 237 975,0	1 178 825,0	251 482	39 259
7	19,63	-      2,88	2 993 575,0	-       439 200,0	25,17	-      2,62	3 838 425,0	-       399 550,0	290 613	39 131
6	21,87	2,24	3 335 175,0	341 600,0	31,38	6,21	4 785 450,0	947 025,0	327 461	36 848
5	23,41	1,54	3 570 025,0	234 850,0	35,80	4,42	5 459 500,0	674 050,0	376 411	48 950
4	24,84	1,43	3 788 100,0	218 075,0	40,32	4,52	6 148 800,0	689 300,0	439 691	63 280
3	25,75	0,91	3 926 875,0	138 775,0	44,76	4,44	6 825 900,0	677 100,0	501 800	62 109

 

Midnights (Cbooo)					OD (Cbooo)
Days to issue	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]	M Yuan	Day + [M Yuan]	~ $	Day + [$]
7	23,40	23,40	3 568 500,0	3 568 500,0	34,80	34,80	5 307 000,0	5 307 000,0
6	24,67	1,27	3 762 175,0	193 675,0	38,74	3,94	5 907 850,0	600 850,0
5	25,74	1,07	3 925 350,0	163 175,0	43,41	4,67	6 620 025,0	712 175,0
4	26,81	1,07	4 088 525,0	163 175,0	47,84	4,43	7 295 600,0	675 575,0
3	27,96	1,15	4 263 900,0	175 375,0	52,83	4,99	8 056 575,0	760 975,0

Edited June 4, 2016 by abra

[POTUS 2020]

On Saturday, May 28, 2016 at 8:08 PM, No Prisoners said:

 

                         CA3.                    XMA                  WC                  

Days out    MN        OD               OD               MN      OD

0000 13                                                                         15m

0000 12                                                                         16

0000  11                                                                        17

0000  10                                                                        18

0000.   9     0.1m   0.3m              0.0m          18         20

0000    8     0.8       2.4                 2.3              19         23+15%

0000    7     1.2       3.6 +50%      3.2 +39%    20        27 +18%

0000    6     1.8       6.2 +72%      4.2 +31%    21.9     31.5 +17%

0000    5     2.1       8.1 +31%      4.9 +16%    23.5     35.9 +14%

0000    4     2.8.    11.9 +47%      6.2 +27%    24.8    40.8 +14%

0000    3     3.5     16.3 +37%      9.0 +45%    25.8     44.8 +10%

0000    2     4.8     25.4 +56%    11.1 +23%

0000    1     6.4     37.9 +50%    17.8 +60%

0000  OD  18.1     65.8 +75%    31.6 +78%

                                                    

CA3 OD Fri 5/6

OD Total  181m           PSxMao   2.75        
OW Total 625m           Total

OD  Multi.                      OW Multi

2.75 PS multi is in line with the norm for tentpoles

 

XMA OD Fri 6/3

OD Total   110m           PSxMao   3.48
OW Total.                      Total

OD  Multi.                      OW Multi

 

WC OD Wed 6/8

OD Total                        PSxMao  
OW Total                       Total

OD  Multi.                      OW Multi

 

Presales added just another 4m. The lowest increase in a few days. It's steady but not accelerating like a normal trend