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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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1 hour ago, bangbingchan said:

February is CNY holiday.Weak competition in February.March is more crowded.March is not holiday at all.btw GotG number is not that bad.

I understand your concern. However, Black Panther is now an event movie. It doesn't need WOM to build an audience, the audience are already there. Based on comments on Korean/Taiwan/HK movie review sites, people might not love the movie, they don't detest it either. Many simply find the movie "boring" and "average".  Even if it's considered an "average" Marvel film, it has good photography and physically attractive actors. It will do well in China.

Edited by thiwa
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On 10/25/2017 at 7:44 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Thor Ragnarok

 

8 days and 2 hours to go

 

Midnight: 140K

OD: 837K (15234 shows)

Sat: 463K

Sun: 401K

 

Shows are up as expected. Still early to extrapolate overall BO from this. 

 

Edit: only comparisons I found

 

GOTG2[8 days+5 hours]
midnights - 272k
OD - 1.39m

 

Guardians started PS earlier though number of shows were very low until similar wednesday. 

 

 

Black Panther (9 days before release)

 

Midnight - 930k

OD - 4.22m (28554 shows)

Sat - 1.96m

Sun - 1.11m

 

Black Panther is pacing far ahead of Thor Ragnarok and Guardians 2 at this point. In fact it is more than 4 times ahead of Thor Ragnarok with a day in hand but BP does have more number of shows listed

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1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:

Black Panther (9 days before release)

 

Midnight - 930k

OD - 4.22m (28554 shows)

Sat - 1.96m

Sun - 1.11m

 

Black Panther is pacing far ahead of Thor Ragnarok and Guardians 2 at this point. In fact it is more than 4 times ahead of Thor Ragnarok with a day in hand but BP does have more number of shows listed

Promising news!

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5 minutes ago, RRA said:

Promising news!

Yes so far so good. However I dont know how long BP tickets have been on sale vs that for Thor or Guardians. But I am sure the hype around the movie and its stellar reviews are driving the pre sales to be higher than any Marvel movie since Civil War

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On 10/25/2017 at 7:44 PM, keysersoze123 said:

8 days and 2 hours to go

 

Midnight: 140K

OD: 837K (15234 shows)

Sat: 463K

Sun: 401K

 

Shows are up as expected. Still early to extrapolate overall BO from this. 

 

Edit: only comparisons I found

 

GOTG2[8 days+5 hours]
midnights - 272k
OD - 1.39m

 

Guardians started PS earlier though number of shows were very low until similar wednesday. 

 

 

 

23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Black Panther (9 days before release)

 

Midnight - 930k

OD - 4.22m (28554 shows)

Sat - 1.96m

Sun - 1.11m

 

Black Panther is pacing far ahead of Thor Ragnarok and Guardians 2 at this point. In fact it is more than 4 times ahead of Thor Ragnarok with a day in hand but BP does have more number of shows listed

 

Black Panther (8 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.07m

OD - 4.93m (30230 shows)

Sat - 2.16m

Sun - 1.17m

 

About 17% rise for today. BP running about 6 times ahead of Thor at same point in time but has twice the shows listed

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On 3/1/2018 at 3:50 AM, ZeeSoh said:

 

 

Black Panther (8 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.07m

OD - 4.93m (30230 shows)

Sat - 2.16m

Sun - 1.17m

 

About 17% rise for today. BP running about 6 times ahead of Thor at same point in time but has twice the shows listed

Black Panther (7 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.23m

OD - 5.77m (31618 shows)

Sat - 2.43m

Sun - 1.25m

 

Again about a 17% rise in OD PS. It is having smaller jumps in PS than Thor did b cause initial PS was far stronger than Thor. Thor at the same point had 1.55m in OD PS so BP is running almost 4 times ahead of Thor at same point. This difference will come down over the next few days. 

 

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17 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Black Panther (7 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.23m

OD - 5.77m (31618 shows)

Sat - 2.43m

Sun - 1.25m

 

Again about a 17% rise in OD PS. It is having smaller jumps in PS than Thor did b cause initial PS was far stronger than Thor. Thor at the same point had 1.55m in OD PS so BP is running almost 4 times ahead of Thor at same point. This difference will come down over the next few days. 

 

Black Panther (6 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.40m

OD - 6.82m (33509 shows)

Sat - 2.87m

Sun - 1.41m

 

18% rise today which is about the same as yesterday and the day before. Thor Ragnarok had a 39% jump on the same day and was at 2.15m OD PS 6 days out so BP is running a little more than 3 times ahead of Thor at same point

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22 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Black Panther (6 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.40m

OD - 6.82m (33509 shows)

Sat - 2.87m

Sun - 1.41m

 

18% rise today which is about the same as yesterday and the day before. Thor Ragnarok had a 39% jump on the same day and was at 2.15m OD PS 6 days out so BP is running a little more than 3 times ahead of Thor at same point

Black Panther (5 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.60m

OD - 8.19m (35379 shows)

Sat - 3.48m

Sun - 1.59m

 

20% jump on Saturday. There will be another small bump on Sunday and then the PS should start increasing faster from Monday onwards

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38 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Black Panther (5 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.60m

OD - 8.19m (35379 shows)

Sat - 3.48m

Sun - 1.59m

 

20% jump on Saturday. There will be another small bump on Sunday and then the PS should start increasing faster from Monday onwards

Is it safe to say this is atleast doing Thor numbers overall maybe a bit more? 150m usd possible?

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11 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Is it safe to say this is atleast doing Thor numbers overall maybe a bit more? 150m usd possible?

While its PS is significantly higher than Thor I doubt it will make more than it. It’s early rating is relatively low so I dont think it will do 150. Also Pacific Rim opens a week after which will take a lot of screens away from BP as PR is likely to make a good amount of money as well

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3 hours ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Is it safe to say this is atleast doing Thor numbers overall maybe a bit more? 150m usd possible?

According to Maoyan, none of the other major movies has many showtimes listed yet for next weekend. Outside Black Panther people have few options to buy tickets in advance. For example, Operation Red Sea has only 510 shows listed for 3/9. It is currently making 130-150million yuan daily this weekend. I am surprised how well this film is doing 3 weeks after release and it remains to be seen how many screens it will lose next weekend. It may be a real competition for Black Panther in its fourth week.  In comparison Black Panther has 35462 shows listed for 3/9.


Due to unexpected strong holds from several local films,  Black Panther might not be breaking out as much in its opening weekend.  Now good WOM is NEEDED for its legs.

Edited by thiwa
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11 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

While its PS is significantly higher than Thor I doubt it will make more than it. It’s early rating is relatively low so I dont think it will do 150. Also Pacific Rim opens a week after which will take a lot of screens away from BP as PR is likely to make a good amount of money as well

Pacific rim open two weeks after bp.Tomb Raider open one week after bp.Ready Player one March 30.it's a bit crowded March.My target for bp is still GotG number.Black Panther only competition opening week is Operation Red Sea.ORS is release 22th Day by Then.very excellent run for ORS

Edited by bangbingchan
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On 3/2/2018 at 8:56 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Black Panther (6 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.40m

OD - 6.82m (33509 shows)

Sat - 2.87m

Sun - 1.41m

 

18% rise today which is about the same as yesterday and the day before. Thor Ragnarok had a 39% jump on the same day and was at 2.15m OD PS 6 days out so BP is running a little more than 3 times ahead of Thor at same point

Thor started late.  It had 50-60% bumps on M T W and 100% on Th

it looks like itll do 20% again today.  Probably pick up the pace tomorrow thru wed to 25-30% and increase 75% on Th

im thinking 30-32m in PS

110-125m OD

330-375m OW  $52-59m

of course lower or higher with a <8 or >9 rating

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China Box Office Mar.4
Operation Red Sea - $17.66M / $471.60M
Detective Chinatown 2 - $9.17M / $494.41M
Peter Rabbit - $4.59M / $12.63M
Amazing China - $3.94M / $14.52M
Bajrangi Bhaijaan - $3.17M / $8.54M
Monster Hunt 2 - $2.50M / $345.26M

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2 minutes ago, Proxima Olive said:

China Box Office Mar.4
Operation Red Sea - $17.66M / $471.60M
Detective Chinatown 2 - $9.17M / $494.41M
Peter Rabbit - $4.59M / $12.63M
Amazing China - $3.94M / $14.52M
Bajrangi Bhaijaan - $3.17M / $8.54M
Monster Hunt 2 - $2.50M / $345.26M

MH2 = BVS

Operation Red Sea = Zootopia. 

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On 10/29/2017 at 10:07 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Its really a dull day for Thor 3. PS increased just 10%. 

4 days to go

midnights - 735K

OD: 2.94m

Sat: 1.55m

Sun: 1.02m

 

23 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Black Panther (5 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.60m

OD - 8.19m (35379 shows)

Sat - 3.48m

Sun - 1.59m

 

20% jump on Saturday. There will be another small bump on Sunday and then the PS should start increasing faster from Monday onwards

Black Panther (4 days before release)

 

Midnight - 1.87m

OD - 10.19m (37941 shows)

Sat - 4.25m

Sun - 1.79m

 

Close to 25% bump today. Lets see if it accelerates tomorrow or not 

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