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POTUS 2020

Captain America CW contest. Gold and Premium Account Awarded

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On Wednesday, May 04, 2016 at 2:05 PM, No Prisoners said:
    OW Total     OW Total
1 druv10 850.0 2300.0   druv10 850.0 2300.0
2 bluebomb 825.0 2030.0   leatherjacket 780.0 2250.0
3 jiangsen 815.0 2050.0   TigerPaw 750.0 2150.0
4 Jack 798.0 1985.0   jiangsen 815.0 2050.0
5 leatherjacket 780.0 2250.0   bluebomb 825.0 2030.0
6 Pypa94 770.0 1870.0   Jack 798.0 1985.0
7 TallismanRing 765.0 1900.0   Asyulus 684.0 1920.0
8 No Prisoners 760.4 1815.5   TallismanRing 765.0 1900.0
9 Cynosure 755.0 1780.0   Pypa94 770.0 1870.0
10 TigerPaw 750.0 2150.0   Ent 695.0 1850.0
11 Olive 745.0 1740.0   No Prisoners 760.4 1815.5
12 Infernus 740.0 1800.0   Infernus 740.0 1800.0
13 Wrathof Han 720.0 1745.4   Cynosure 755.0 1780.0
14 pepsa 700.0 1600.0   Wrathof Han 720.0 1745.4
15 Ent 695.0 1850.0   Olive 745.0 1740.0
16 eXtacy 690.0 1730.0   eXtacy 690.0 1730.0
17 fmpro 690.0 1650.0   fastclock 671.0 1679.0
18 Asyulus 684.0 1920.0   Imojammaer 675.0 1650.0
19 abra 680.0 1350.0   fmpro 690.0 1650.0
20 Imojammaer 675.0 1650.0   pepsa 700.0 1600.0
21 fastclock 671.0 1679.0   peludo 640.0 1550.0
22 peludo 640.0 1550.0   cannastop 625.0 1450.0
23 cannastop 625.0 1450.0   Omni 550.0 1400.0
24 Omni 550.0 1400.0   abra 680.0 1350.0
               
  Average 723.9 1801.9   Average 723.9 1801.9

Congratulations @cannastop for hitting the opening weekend dead on at ¥625m!

For now I think between 1400 to 1600m will be the total.

Good luck @Omni @cannastop @peludo @pepsa

 

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In looking at Cap's weekend, it could get to the mid to high 40s today. Even if it bumps 100% tomorrow and drops 30% Sunday, the weekend will be 200m max, likely to be 10% lower, plus 60m midweek.  a total of 1070m on Thursday. With 50% holds for the last 2 weeks, which is unlikely given its performance, it would make 200m more. 1270m is being extremely optimistic and it will most likely be under 1200m

I declare @abra winner of final total.

Congratulations 

PM me your email to receive your gift card. 

 

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3 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

In looking at Cap's weekend, it could get to the mid to high 40s today. Even if it bumps 100% tomorrow and drops 30% Sunday, the weekend will be 200m max, likely to be 10% lower, plus 60m midweek.  a total of 1070m on Thursday. With 50% holds for the last 2 weeks, which is unlikely given its performance, it would make 200m more. 1270m is being extremely optimistic and it will most likely be under 1200m

I declare @abra winner of final total.

Congratulations 

PM me your email to receive your gift card. 

 

Oh, wow. I'm not going to object, because I'm a noob.

 

Does this result shock anyone? It literally did worse than everyone expected?

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7 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Oh, wow. I'm not going to object, because I'm a noob.

 

Does this result shock anyone? It literally did worse than everyone expected?

Piracy is the obvious cause. As bad as WoM was with SW7, BvS and others, we've never see three 20%~ DoD drops like this. 

As explained there is no way it can can cross 1300m, let alone get to 1376m for abra not to win. I like to keep my to do list short. :)

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Just now, No Prisoners said:

Piracy is the obvious cause. As bad as WoM was with SW7, BvS and others, we've never see three 20%~ DoD drops like this. 

As explained there is no way it can can cross 1300m, let alone get to 1376m for abra not to win. I like to keep my to do list short. :)

Ah, k.


Why weren't other movies pirated?

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2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Ah, k.


Why weren't other movies pirated?

Someone has to get hold of a DVD or file and release it. I assume they keep security tight when it comes to $1b of intellectual property but shit happens. Most people don't like cams so they don't have as much of an impact. 

How are your picks coming along in the derby. It's another tough week. Deadline is in 3 hours.

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8 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Someone has to get hold of a DVD or file and release it. I assume they keep security tight when it comes to $1b of intellectual property but shit happens. Most people don't like cams so they don't have as much of an impact. 

How are your picks coming along in the derby. It's another tough week. Deadline is in 3 hours.

Oh, I've decided. I think I might do well this week.

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58 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Oh, wow. I'm not going to object, because I'm a noob.

 

Does this result shock anyone? It literally did worse than everyone expected?

It should have had no worse than 12% drops, maybe 10%, BvS averaged 14% it's first M-th with bad WOM. 

At 12% it would have made 17m more Tues-Thur with a total of 41m on Thursday instead of 32m. That affects the weekend by 54m and next midweek by 40m. Plus another 90m for the rest of the run. At least 200m.  It would be over 300m more if it held 10% DoD like AM had and a -50%~ hold this weekend which was very possible. A few percent a day causes a ripple effect down the line. As it approaches zero, each percent grows the increase exponentially.

 

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22 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Oh, I've decided. I think I might do well this week.

I'm having a tough time deciding how well the great holdovers will do. The  poor holdovers can go either way. New releases are always tough to gauge.  Don't want to be too high in case they bomb.  

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Just now, No Prisoners said:

I'm having a tough time deciding how well the great holdovers will do. The  poor holdovers can go either way. New releases are always tough to gauge.  Don't want to be too high in case they bomb.  

I don't put much effort in it. In fact, I always make my main decisions on Tuesday evening.

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On 13/5/2016 at 4:22 AM, cannastop said:

Oh, wow. I'm not going to object, because I'm a noob.

 

Does this result shock anyone? It literally did worse than everyone expected?

 

Why would that be shocking? TFA, KFP3, BvS and now CW. It doesn't matter if the cause was bad release dates, crap WOM, piracy or whatever, all those movie literally did worse than anyone was expecting. If anything, CW is following that general trend so far.

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2 minutes ago, Agafin said:

 

Why would that be shocking? TFA, KFP3, BvS and now CW. It doesn't matter if the cause was bad release dates, crap WOM, piracy or whatever, all those movie literally did worse than anyone was expecting. If anything, CW is following that general trend so far.

Not every movie does worse than expected.

 

If you what I'm talking about.

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