Jump to content
Kalo

Black Widow | July 9 2021 | Theaters and Disney+ premium same day

Recommended Posts

It’s happening well before May 1. This has been quite evident for weeks, this is just more of the classic Biden lowball (which is a rhetorical tactic I’m totally fine with to be clear — but best to keep it in mind when predicting how things actually go).

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
On 3/10/2021 at 1:34 PM, SpiderByte said:

I mean people said the same about Mulan when Soul went on there without Premiere Access.

 

 

Feige on theatrical distribution:

It’s widely said you are among the most vigilant in Hollywood about preserving theatrical releases, as opposed to letting Marvel films go to Disney Plus.
It’s impossible [not to be, when you] go to opening night to 23 movies, in packed movie houses, and seeing the moviegoers’ reaction. That’s what drives us creatively as we make all of these, certainly culminating in “Avengers: Endgame” and “Far From Home.” There’s nothing better than that, and we don’t want to lose it. I’m hoping we don’t have to. If there is nowhere else to put those movies, that’s another conversation, but I’m encouraged by the theaters holding on. Also, what’s happening overseas in countries where [the pandemic] is more under control. Guess what? It’s human nature to want to get together an have an experience. That’s continuing in very big ways in countries where they are able.

 

 

https://variety.com/2021/film/news/kevin-feige-anthony-mackie-faclon-winter-solider-cap-shield-1234924410/

 

 

Kevin Feige is probably like “you’ll pull Black Widow from theatrical when you pry it from my cold dead hands”.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
59 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:

So in Covid what OW would constitute a big hit?

100M :sherlock:
 

Anything above Hulk’s OW would be pretty respectable though, if you want to be more conservative about it.

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, SpiderByte said:

So in Covid what OW would constitute a big hit?

I bet Marvel/Disney would be very happy with anything above $40-50 mil. at this point.  

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, SpiderByte said:

So in Covid what OW would constitute a big hit?

 

56 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

100M :sherlock:
 

Anything above Hulk’s OW would be pretty respectable though, if you want to be more conservative about it.

 

50 minutes ago, Macleod said:

I bet Marvel/Disney would be very happy with anything above $40-50 mil. at this point.  

 

Considering Tom & Jerry did $14 million at the end of February, if this can't do at least 5x that amount with it's current release date (assuming no hybrid release), then it's a bit of a miss for me. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Disney marvel really put here saying “LATAM and EMEA who?”

 

Spoiler

It’ll probably be fine in Middle East and UK actually, just not LATAM or mainland Eur. Expecting staggered releases, but won’t be surprised if some harder hit regions get their theatrical later than PA.

 

Edited by WandaLegion
  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Will be interesting to see if Disney still put this on Disney+ here in the UK when cinemas reopen just 10 days later. 
 

Wonder if they’ll push this back a month or so worldwide. 

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

Will be interesting to see if Disney still put this on Disney+ here in the UK when cinemas reopen just 10 days later. 
 

Wonder if they’ll push this back a month or so worldwide. 

They’ll probably just delay the UK release date to May 17th (or later if they want to wait for customer confidence to return). They delayed Ant Man 2 by over a month to avoid the football back in 2018, so I doubt they’d think twice about delaying it in the UK.

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

 

6:12 minute mark: "Situation change, just a few weeks ago there's in New York and Los Angeles were closed and now all of a sudden they're open. so we are waiting to see exactly how guests respond, perspective theatregoers respond to these reopenings and we are going to remain flexible, we'll make the call essentially at the last minute in terms of how these films come to market whether its Black Widow or any other title but we are watching against consumer behaviour and if consumers are happy we love the theatrical window and you know we've had unbelievable success in theatres and we think its important to build our franchises but at the same time we don't think its the only way to do it, so we are going to remain flexible and we will see what happens over the next couple of months because so much is changing, its such a dynamic environment that its really hard to assume what's going to happen with consumer behaviour in the next month and it comes to remembrance back to into the world of normal. so we will be watching carefully and make the call when we have to"

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
27 minutes ago, Jamiem said:

we'll make the call essentially at the last minute in terms of how these films come to market

Disney doing exactly what I’ve been saying for months ;) 

 

Spoiler

Of course, I have also been making specific predictions about what that last minute call is likely to be, still to be seen how those pan out 😛 

 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

Disney doing exactly what I’ve been saying for months ;) 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

They're doing the most logical thing with the wait and see approach.  

 

It does seem like the date is pretty set though just waiting to see if there is enough demand to do a theatrical only. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

GvK’s performance is going to be huge for theatrical considerations for this movie. 
 

D+ is worldwide, so this will be a boon for Disney either way. Will drive up subs like nothing on that platform before it. 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Jamiem said:

They're doing the most logical thing with the wait and see approach.  

 

It does seem like the date is pretty set though just waiting to see if there is enough demand to do a theatrical only. 

Yeah, especially since they’ll probably want to begin a marketing restart before final release plans. Atm I could see:

A)May 7 pure theatrical with normalish windows

B)May 7 pure theatrical with a 21-60 day window to PA, then 90 to free D+

C)May 7 0-day PA 90 day free

D) May 14/21 pure theatrical with normal windows

E) May 14/21 pure theatrical with truncated window to PA   
 

and I don’t expect we’ll know until April. My money is on B though.

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

GvK’s performance is going to be huge for theatrical considerations for this movie. 
 

D+ is worldwide, so this will be a boon for Disney either way. Will drive up subs like nothing on that platform before it. 

 

That's something I'm a bit skeptical about: if you care about Marvel movies, TV shows and characters, won't you have Disney+ in the first place?

I'm not predicting anything here, just trying to make sense of it, I hope you're right about that but I fear people might expect too much from BW in terms of subs for D+. An effect, yes probably but...how big? WandaVision has been the world's most popular show for weeks and Falcon and the Winter Soldier has the signs of a very successful show to come so if fans don't sub now, then why and when?

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.




×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.