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BOT User Tracking 5/6-8 Civil War

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Wow. 46 predicts, which was the second most for any movie, trailing only Minions (47), which was the very first movie we've done this way. Also, the 5.62% ratio (for anyone new, that's the ratio of the standard deviation of our predicts divided by our mean predict. In a nutshell, its a measure of how confident we are in our pick. The lower the ratio, the more tightly clustered our picks our, and thus the more confident, collectively, we are in our predictions. Ratio tends to drop as OW BO goes up, up to about 140M at which point it kinda spazzes out because there's so little data that high up) is our lowest ratio ever. Amusingly, it comes one week after Ratchet and Clank which was our highest ever ratio.


Our predict is right about in the middle of other site's predicts, with BO.com highest at 214M, and Variety lowest at 178M.


So, as usual, I totaled all predicts (46, of course) and here are the results:


Civil War

Mean: 204.8M

Median: 204.5M

StnDev: 11.51M

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 5.62%

High: 229M

Low: 180M


BO.com 214M 

Deadline 195M

MovieWeb 210.5M

ShowBuzzDaily 206.5M

Variety 178M

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