Weekend Actuals (Page 67): Captain Pirate: Piracy War 72.6M | Jungle Book 17.1M | Money Monster 14.8M | The Darkness 5M | Mother's Day 3.3M

[SteveJaros]

Jungle Book at $18m for the weekend ... simply cannot help but feel that JB has cannibalized CACW to some extent, and vice-versa. 

 

JB is a tremendous film, the best of the year so far, IMO. 

[grim22]

Just now, department store basement said:

 

Why would its performance be similar? I'd expect it to be more frontloaded considering it's a summer release and not a spring one like Home.

 

Summer weekdays > Spring weekdays. Starting Memorial Day weekend most schools are out in the US so weekdays just start getting more strong and will help make up for the larger weekend drops.

[Moviefanatic]

Civil War will pass Deadpool Memorial Day weekend and will probably finish around 410 million. So there's that.

[pensivepenguin]

It's interesting though, at least to me, because CACW had a lot of things for it -- great marketing, great reviews (some glowing), good performances, good press/publicity, coming off a cult-favorite/well-received sequel (TWS) and another sequel that was seen as a disappointment but arguably still did ok (AOU).  From that, one logic sort of dictated that it could do better than AOU, which is why while I thought some of the predictions/expectations went overboard, it's not like some of those other predictions didn't make total sense (e.g. 200M opening, DOM total above AOU).

 

In the end, it's like Marvel can do everything perfectly or near perfectly (and I think they did that with CACW) but ultimately this is the 13th film in this interconnected franchise, this has become an annual event (so some luster is lost) ... there's just a plateau.  That's not even factoring the storyline (not a kids film imo; plus, hard to follow/care if you're not invested in the previous MCU films), the pseudo-politics topic (tbh, I feel like that's a major turnoff internationally).

 

Of course, all this only makes sense if we're looking at this as an Avengers sequel; if this is solely consider as a Cap one, these numbers are fantastic no matter how you slice it.

 

PS. -- same thing will happen with the Star Wars films, especially since there'll be one or film SW-related films a year now.

[baumer]

7 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

Junglpayloads $18m for the weekend ... simply  cannot help but feel that JB has cannibalized CACW to some extent, and vice-versa. 

 

JB is a tremendous film, the best of the year so far, IMO. 

 

Ill give you 10-1 odds. If CW doesnt surpass DEADPOOL ill donate $100 to the site. If it passes Deadpool u donate $10. You game?

[MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie]

1 minute ago, pensivepenguin said:

It's interesting though, at least to me, because CACW had a lot of things for it -- great marketing, great reviews (some glowing), good performances, good press/publicity, coming off a cult-favorite/well-received sequel (TWS) and another sequel that was seen as a disappointment but arguably still did ok (AOU).  From that, one logic sort of dictated that it could do better than AOU, which is why while I thought some of the predictions/expectations went overboard, it's not like some of those other predictions didn't make total sense (e.g. 200M opening, DOM total above AOU).

 

In the end, it's like Marvel can do everything perfectly or near perfectly (and I think they did that with CACW) but ultimately this is the 13th film in this interconnected franchise, this has become an annual event (so some luster is lost) ... there's just a plateau.  That's not even factoring the storyline (not a kids film imo; plus, hard to follow/care if you're not invested in the previous MCU films), the pseudo-politics topic (tbh, I feel like that's a major turnoff internationally).

 

Of course, all this only makes sense if we're looking at this as an Avengers sequel; if this is solely consider as a Cap one, these numbers are fantastic no matter how you slice it.

 

PS. -- same thing will happen with the Star Wars films, especially since there'll be one or film SW-related films a year now.

 

I do wonder if Civil War simply did as well as it possibly could have given the direction Marvel decided to take it.  It has a third act that is unlike any third act I can remember in any previous superhero film.  I think there's no question that this cuts down on repeat viewings.  I loved the film, but I certainly don't have the desire to go see it in theaters as many times as I saw something like Avengers or The Force Awakens.  It's not exactly an uplifting viewing experience (with one notable exception).

 

I just hope that, if this is viewed as an underperformance, it doesn't make Disney execs skittish and "encourage" Kevin Feige to take fewer risks.  I mean, just by its very nature, you would think the first half of Infinity War is going to have to have some sort of downbeat ending, and it won't be until the second half that we get the rousing and triumphant type of Avengers film that audiences are probably expecting.

[a2k]

 BIGGEST 5TH WEEKENDS

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weeknd Gross*	% of Total	Theaters / Avg.		Total Gross^	Date**
1	Avatar	Fox	$42,785,612	5.7%	3,285	$13,025	$749,766,139	12/18/09
2	Titanic	Par.	$30,011,034	5.0%	2,767	$10,846	$600,788,188	12/19/97
3	Frozen	BV	$28,596,319	7.1%	3,335	$8,575	$400,738,009	11/27/13
4	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$26,342,117	2.8%	3,822	$6,892	$936,417,193	12/18/15
5	The Sixth Sense	BV	$22,896,967	7.8%	2,775	$8,251	$293,506,292	8/6/99
6	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$20,486,418	3.3%	3,670	$5,582	$623,357,910	5/4/12
7	Zootopia	BV	$19,325,291	5.8%	3,698	$5,226	$331,831,439	3/4/16
8	Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace	Fox	$18,859,021	4.4%	3,019	$6,246	$431,088,295	5/19/99
9	Jurassic World	Uni.	$18,151,275	2.8%	3,441	$5,275	$652,270,625	6/12/15
10	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$17,764,000	5.7%	3,970	$4,475	$311,760,110	4/15/16

[SteveJaros]

10 minutes ago, pensivepenguin said:

In the end, it's like Marvel can do everything perfectly or near perfectly (and I think they did that with CACW) but ultimately this is the 13th film in this interconnected franchise, this has become an annual event (so some luster is lost) ... there's just a plateau.  That's not even factoring the storyline (not a kids film imo; plus, hard to follow/care if you're not invested in the previous MCU films), the pseudo-politics topic (tbh, I feel like that's a major turnoff internationally).

 

Marvel fatigue ... Piracy (bet all future Avengers films are WW same-day release) ... cannibalization from TJB. All may have played a role in this film "failing" (LOL) to make $500m DOM. 

Edited May 15, 2016 by SteveJaros

[redfirebird2008]

51 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

Some comps.

Cinderella : 7.1m 5th weekend, added 20.5m more - 2.89x

OZ : 8.0m 5th weekend, added 22.3m more - 2.79x

AIW: 8.2m 5th weekend,  added 24.4m more - 2.98x

 

2.79-2.89x more off a 17.7m weekend gives 49.4-52.7 more for a 361.1-364.4m total.

 

Also look at Maleficent. That one grossed $8.4m for the weekend and added $39.4m more. Jungle Book would end up around $395m with similar performance. I don't think it will go that high but I think it will have better late legs than Alice or Oz.

[SteveJaros]

5 minutes ago, Baumer said:

 

Ill give you 10-1 odds. If CW doesnt surpass DEADPOOL ill donate $100 to the site. If it passes Deadpool u donate $10. You game?

 

I'll decline, because I do think it will pass Deadpool DOM. I'm not 100% sure, maybe 70% sure, but that's enough to make that a bad bet.

 

[a2k]

1 minute ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Also look at Maleficent. That one grossed $8.4m for the weekend and added $39.4m more. Jungle Book would end up around $395m with similar performance. I don't think it will go that high but I think it will have better late legs than Alice or Oz.

 

 Malef released in middle of summer so had stronger weekdays. That's why it skews the comparison and I left it out.

[Moviefanatic]

2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Also look at Maleficent. That one grossed $8.4m for the weekend and added $39.4m more. Jungle Book would end up around $395m with similar performance. I don't think it will go that high but I think it will have better late legs than Alice or Oz.

Forgot Maleficent had some loooooooong legs. Great run.

[EmpireCity]

5 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

I'll decline, because I do think it will pass Deadpool DOM. I'm not 100% sure, maybe 70% sure, but that's enough to make that a bad bet.

 

 

Lol.  I'm 1 billion percent sure it will pass Deadpool and anyone who isn't as sure can't do simple math.  

[redfirebird2008]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

 Malef released in middle of summer so had stronger weekdays. That's why it skews the comparison and I left it out.

 

Still though, I don't think you can directly compare Jungle Book to the others because it has had stronger legs than any of them so far. If that continues, then 375 is very much in play. In any event it seems 360 is pretty much locked.

[a2k]

8 minutes ago, Moviefanatic said:

Forgot Maleficent had some loooooooong legs. Great run.

 

 

[Thrylos 7]

The os bo take of CW is even more disappointing . It will certainly be seen as a disappointment by Disney and I hope it doesn't lead to Im3-like movies  with silly comedy and annoying kid  subplots . 

[efialtes76]

6 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

 

Those legs!

[Agafin]

Just now, a2knet said:

 BIGGEST 5TH WEEKENDS

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weeknd Gross*	% of Total	Theaters / Avg.		Total Gross^	Date**
1	Avatar	Fox	$42,785,612	5.7%	3,285	$13,025	$749,766,139	12/18/09
2	Titanic	Par.	$30,011,034	5.0%	2,767	$10,846	$600,788,188	12/19/97
3	Frozen	BV	$28,596,319	7.1%	3,335	$8,575	$400,738,009	11/27/13
4	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$26,342,117	2.8%	3,822	$6,892	$936,417,193	12/18/15
5	The Sixth Sense	BV	$22,896,967	7.8%	2,775	$8,251	$293,506,292	8/6/99
6	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$20,486,418	3.3%	3,670	$5,582	$623,357,910	5/4/12
7	Zootopia	BV	$19,325,291	5.8%	3,698	$5,226	$331,831,439	3/4/16
8	Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace	Fox	$18,859,021	4.4%	3,019	$6,246	$431,088,295	5/19/99
9	Jurassic World	Uni.	$18,151,275	2.8%	3,441	$5,275	$652,270,625	6/12/15
10	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$17,764,000	5.7%	3,970	$4,475	$311,760,110	4/15/16

 

Wow, Disney has like what? Six movies in there? With three of them being just from these past six months, pretty crazy!

Edited May 15, 2016 by Agafin

[baumer]

12 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

Thedisappointmente of CW is even more disappointi ng . It will certainly be seen as a disappointment by Disney and I hope it doesn't lead to Im3-like movies  with silly comedy and annoying kid  subplots . 

 

Your post is 100% silly. Its not a disappoint in any way. 800 million or thereabouts is anything but disappointing. 

[DAJK]

2 minutes ago, Baumer said:

 

Your post is 100% silly. Its not a disappoint in any way. 800 million or thereabouts is anything but disappointing. 

I just don't get it, since when has 1.1+B WW ever become a disappointment? The only people it's disappointing are the fanboys who all believe that their movies DESERVE to break records.