Wednesday #s 5/25/16

[sfran43]

Numbers so far:

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
-	(2)	The Angry Birds Movie	Sony Pictures	$1,954,775	-29%	3,932	$497	$45,675,810	6
-	(3)	Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising	Universal	$1,605,450	-31%	3,384	$474	$27,839,475	6
-	(4)	The Nice Guys	Warner Bros.	$920,867	-29%	2,865	$321	$14,543,308	6
-	(6)	Money Monster	Sony Pictures	$598,226	-26%	3,104	$193	$29,117,477	13
-	(7)	The Darkness	BH Tilt	$193,930	-14%	1,769	$110	$8,971,808	13
-	(8)	Mother’s Day	Open Road	$138,605	-18%	1,719	$81	$31,768,901	27
-	(10)	The Huntsman: Winter’s War	Universal	$112,985	-18%	1,246	$91	$47,061,525	34
-	(11)	Barbershop: The Next Cut	Warner Bros.	$67,505	-13%	744	$91	$52,931,432	41
-	(12)	Keanu	Warner Bros.	$62,286	-10%	707	$88	$20,205,670	27
-	(13)	The Boss	Universal	$49,005	-21%	672	$73	$62,423,080	48
-	(-)	A Bigger Splash	Fox Searchlight	$33,372	-9%	128	$261	$883,921	22
-	(-)	Batman v Superman: Dawn of …	Warner Bros.	$29,515	-3%	321	$92	$328,817,952	62
-	(-)	My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2	Universal	$27,880	-12%	365	$76	$59,662,360	62
-	(-)	Kung Fu Panda 3	20th Century Fox	$17,929	-1%	219	$82	$142,812,262	118
-	(-)	Deadpool	20th Century Fox	$14,635	n/c	192	$76	$362,766,300	104
-	(-)	The Divergent Series: Alleg…	Lionsgate	$12,306	-14%	194	$63	$66,041,351	69
-	(-)	10 Cloverfield Lane	Paramount Pictures	$11,578	-7%	176	$66	$71,933,790	76
-	(-)	Ratchet and Clank	Focus Features	$11,318	+1%	346	$33	$8,586,962	27
-	(-)	London Has Fallen	Focus Features	$9,891	-1%	139	$71	$62,431,099	83
-	(-)	Compadres	Lionsgate	$5,498	-29%	82	$67	$3,124,074	34
-	(-)	Criminal	Lionsgate	$5,398	-1%	142	$38	$14,703,497	41
-	(-)	Papa: Hemingway in Cuba	Yari Film Group Rel…	$3,714	-9%	45	$83	$1,103,056	27
-	(-)	Meet the Blacks	Freestyle Releasing	$2,341	-4%	50	$47	$9,059,600	55
-	(-)	Midnight Special	Warner Bros.	$1,313	+26%	24	$55	$3,710,973	69

[WrathOfHan]

Excluding Monday, the weekdays on Nice Guys have been 150-200k above Hail Caesar's. The 3 day drop should be around 40%

[sfran43]

20th Century Fox will release X-MEN APOCALYPSE in 4,148 NA theaters this Friday #XMen #Apocalypse

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) May 26, 2016

[sfran43]

CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR earned $2.272M on Wednesday lifting its domestic total to $355.399M to date. #CaptainAmerica #CivilWar

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) May 26, 2016

[sfran43]

THE JUNGLE BOOK dropped below $1M for the 1st time on its 25th day of release, swinging to $0.91M on Wednesday.... https://t.co/OuCSVf4CGr

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) May 26, 2016

[department store basement]

I wonder how much the TC for The Darkness will drop.

 

That one's gone from my local theaters along with Mother's Day. Zootopia will be gone within the next week.

[Daxtreme]

18 minutes ago, department store basement said:

I wonder how much the TC for The Darkness will drop.

 

That one's gone from my local theaters along with Mother's Day. Zootopia will be gone within the next week.

 

Random question but are you department4c from reddit? (specifically /r/boxoffice of course)

[department store basement]

26 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

 

Random question but are you department4c from reddit? (specifically /r/boxoffice of course)

 

No. I didn't come here from reddit. I don't know who department4c even is.

 

I chose my username from random words that had the same initials as "Don't Stop Believin'"

Edited May 26, 2016 by department store basement

[johnboy3434]

I HAVE MADE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS! The algorithm is far from perfect, with a few odd predictions here and there (it seems to think ABM is going to have legs for days), but it's definitely better. Projections based on Wednesday numbers...

 

 

Captain America: Civil War

Thursday: $2.3M (+1.31%)

THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $43.4M (-52.3%)

FOURTH WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $20M (-39.4%)

PROJECTED EIGHT-WEEK TOTAL: $405M (2.26x)

 

The Angry Birds Movie

Thursday: $2M (+2.15%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $47.7M

SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $32.4M (-15%)

PROJECTED 54-DAY TOTAL: $160M (4.2x)

 

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising

Thursday: $1.45M (-9.8%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $29.3M

SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $9.74M (-55.2%)

PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $53.4M (2.46x)

 

The Nice Guys

Thursday: $768k (-16.6%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $15.3M

SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $7.01M (-37.4%)

PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $31.9M (2.85x)

 

Money Monster

Thursday: $565k (-5.54%)

SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $9.66M (-51.8%)

THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $5.2M (-25.9%)

PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $40M (2.71x)

 

The Darkness

Thursday: $144k (-25.7%)

SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $3.02M (-50.5%)

THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $752M (-66.9%)

PROJECTED THREE-WEEK TOTAL: $10.2M (2.05x)

 

Edited May 27, 2016 by johnboy3434

[sfran43]

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$2,272,708	-21%	-42%	4,226	$538	$355,399,099	20
2	2	The Angry Birds Movie	Sony	$1,954,775	-30%	-	3,932	$497	$45,675,810	6
3	3	Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising	Uni.	$1,605,450	-32%	-	3,384	$474	$27,839,475	6
4	4	The Nice Guys	WB	$920,867	-29%	-	2,865	$321	$14,543,308	6
5	5	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$910,484	-18%	-24%	3,460	$263	$330,601,886	41
6	6	Money Monster	TriS	$598,226	-26%	-48%	3,104	$193	$29,117,477	13
7	7	The Darkness	HTR	$193,930	-14%	-25%	1,769	$110	$8,971,808	13
8	9	Zootopia	BV	$151,436	-9%	-25%	1,377	$110	$334,889,751	83
9	8	Mother's Day	ORF	$138,605	-18%	-58%	1,719	$81	$31,768,901	27
10	10	The Huntsman: Winter's War	Uni.	$112,985	-18%	-47%	1,246	$91	$47,061,525	34
11	12	Barbershop: The Next Cut	WB	$67,505	-13%	-45%	744	$91	$52,931,432	41
12	-	Keanu	WB	$62,286	-10%	-70%	707	$88	$20,205,670	27
-	-	The Boss	Uni.	$49,005	-21%	-57%	672	$73	$62,423,080	48
-	-	The Lobster	A24	$46,489	+7%	+107%	24	$1,937	$1,153,923	62
-	-	Sing Street	Wein.	$40,457	-5%	-33%	520	$78	$2,606,444	41
-	-	A Bigger Splash	FoxS	$33,372	-9%	+74%	128	$261	$883,921	22
-	-	Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	WB	$29,515	-3%	-44%	321	$92	$328,817,952	62
-	-	My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2	Uni.	$27,880	-12%	-46%	365	$76	$59,662,360	62
-	-	Kung Fu Panda 3	Fox	$17,929	-1%	+27%	219	$82	$142,812,262	118
-	-	Eye in the Sky	BST	$17,350	-10%	-56%	198	$88	$18,278,718	76
-	-	Deadpool	Fox	$14,635	-0%	-27%	192	$76	$362,766,300	104
-	-	The Divergent Series: Allegiant	LG/S	$12,306	-14%	+61%	194	$63	$66,041,351	69
-	-	10 Cloverfield Lane	Par.	$11,578	-7%	-41%	176	$66	$71,933,789	76
-	-	Ratchet & Clank	Focus	$11,318	+1%	-78%	346	$33	$8,586,962	27
-	-	London Has Fallen	Focus	$9,891	-1%	-26%	139	$71	$62,431,099	83
-	-	God's Not Dead 2	PFR	$6,489	-1%	-59%	102	$64	$20,635,548	55
-	-	Compadres	PNT	$5,498	-29%	-57%	82	$67	$3,124,074	34
-	-	Criminal (2016)	LG/S	$5,398	-1%	-71%	142	$38	$14,703,497	41
-	-	Papa: Hemingway in Cuba	YFG	$3,714	-9%	-66%	45	$83	$1,103,056	27
-	-	Meet the Blacks	Free	$2,341	-4%	-32%	50	$47	$9,059,600	55
-	-	Midnight Special	WB	$1,313	+26%	-38%	24	$55	$3,710,973	69

Edited May 26, 2016 by sfran43

[mahnamahna]

1 hour ago, department store basement said:

I wonder how much the TC for The Darkness will drop.

 

That one's gone from my local theaters along with Mother's Day. Zootopia will be gone within the next week.

Well 3 months in wide release for a non-Oscar frontrunner is pretty excellent! 

[WrathOfHan]

26 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said:

I HAVE MADE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS! The algorithm is far from perfect, with a few odd predictions here and there (it seems to think ABM is going to have legs for days), but it's definitely better. Projections based on Wednesday numbers...

 

 

Captain America: Civil War

Thursday: $2.3M (+1.31%)

THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $43.4M (-52.3%)

FOURTH WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $20M (-39.4%)

PROJECTED EIGHT-WEEK TOTAL: $405M (2.26x)

 

The Angry Birds Movie

Thursday: $2M (+2.15%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $47.7M

SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $32.4M (-15%)

PROJECTED 54-DAY TOTAL: $160M (4.2x)

 

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising

Thursday: $1.45M (-9.8%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $29.3M

SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $9.74M (-55.2%)

PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $53.4M (2.46x)

 

The Nice Guys

Thursday: $768k (-16.6%)

OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $15.3M

SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $7.01M (-37.4%)

PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $31.9M (2.85x)

 

Money Monster

Thursday: $361k (-39.7%)

SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $9.45M (-52.8%)

THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $2.74M (-60.9%)

PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $34.7M (2.35x)

 

The Darkness

Thursday: $156k (-19.7%)

SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $3.03M (-50.3%)

THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $868M (-61.8%)

PROJECTED THREE-WEEK TOTAL: $10.3M (2.09x)

 

Your drop for Money Monster still makes no sense but you're improving.

[SWXII]

Good to see Jungle get to the 330 Club.

 

So you know those nightmares where you are being chased and you can't run?

 

That is how Zootopian animals feel right now. 

 

Run rabbit run. 

[johnboy3434]

34 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Your drop for Money Monster still makes no sense but you're improving.

 

Are you referring to the four-day weekend? If so, here's the day-to-day drops as I have them.

 

Friday: +96.4%

Saturday: +36.4%

Sunday: -27.8%

Monday: -46.9%

 

Is the Monday drop too large considering that it's a holiday?

[WrathOfHan]

4 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said:

 

Are you referring to the four-day weekend? If so, here's the day-to-day drops as I have them.

 

Friday: +96.4%

Saturday: +36.4%

Sunday: -27.8%

Monday: -46.9%

 

Is the Monday drop too large considering that it's a holiday?

It's the fact you're expecting a 60%+ drop when nothing has indicated it'll do that.

Edited May 26, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[johnboy3434]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

It's the fact you're expecting a 60%+ drop when nothing has indicated it'll do that.

 

Well, what is there an indication that it will do? Are we just assuming it'll drop 52.6% like last weekend? Less than that due to the four-day?

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, johnboy3434 said:

 

Well, what is there an indication that it will do? Are we just assuming it'll drop 52.6% like last weekend? Less than that due to the four-day?

No more than low-50's, probably somewhere in the 40's

[TalismanRing]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

It's the fact you're expecting a 60%+ drop when nothing has indicated it'll do that.

 

At a glance all the 4 day drops look high except AB which looks low.

[johnboy3434]

Well, it turns out I fucked up the data entry for Money Monster and The Darkness. I updated the post with the results of a correct process run. The drop in the former has been fixed, but the drop in the latter got steeper. *shrugs*

 

Edited May 27, 2016 by johnboy3434

[johnboy3434]

On further inspection, I fucked up a bunch of stuff. I'm just going to try and fix and give it another go tomorrow.