sfran43 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Numbers so far: Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days - (2) The Angry Birds Movie Sony Pictures $1,954,775 -29% 3,932 $497 $45,675,810 6 - (3) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising Universal $1,605,450 -31% 3,384 $474 $27,839,475 6 - (4) The Nice Guys Warner Bros. $920,867 -29% 2,865 $321 $14,543,308 6 - (6) Money Monster Sony Pictures $598,226 -26% 3,104 $193 $29,117,477 13 - (7) The Darkness BH Tilt $193,930 -14% 1,769 $110 $8,971,808 13 - (8) Mother’s Day Open Road $138,605 -18% 1,719 $81 $31,768,901 27 - (10) The Huntsman: Winter’s War Universal $112,985 -18% 1,246 $91 $47,061,525 34 - (11) Barbershop: The Next Cut Warner Bros. $67,505 -13% 744 $91 $52,931,432 41 - (12) Keanu Warner Bros. $62,286 -10% 707 $88 $20,205,670 27 - (13) The Boss Universal $49,005 -21% 672 $73 $62,423,080 48 - (-) A Bigger Splash Fox Searchlight $33,372 -9% 128 $261 $883,921 22 - (-) Batman v Superman: Dawn of … Warner Bros. $29,515 -3% 321 $92 $328,817,952 62 - (-) My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 Universal $27,880 -12% 365 $76 $59,662,360 62 - (-) Kung Fu Panda 3 20th Century Fox $17,929 -1% 219 $82 $142,812,262 118 - (-) Deadpool 20th Century Fox $14,635 n/c 192 $76 $362,766,300 104 - (-) The Divergent Series: Alleg… Lionsgate $12,306 -14% 194 $63 $66,041,351 69 - (-) 10 Cloverfield Lane Paramount Pictures $11,578 -7% 176 $66 $71,933,790 76 - (-) Ratchet and Clank Focus Features $11,318 +1% 346 $33 $8,586,962 27 - (-) London Has Fallen Focus Features $9,891 -1% 139 $71 $62,431,099 83 - (-) Compadres Lionsgate $5,498 -29% 82 $67 $3,124,074 34 - (-) Criminal Lionsgate $5,398 -1% 142 $38 $14,703,497 41 - (-) Papa: Hemingway in Cuba Yari Film Group Rel… $3,714 -9% 45 $83 $1,103,056 27 - (-) Meet the Blacks Freestyle Releasing $2,341 -4% 50 $47 $9,059,600 55 - (-) Midnight Special Warner Bros. $1,313 +26% 24 $55 $3,710,973 69 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Excluding Monday, the weekdays on Nice Guys have been 150-200k above Hail Caesar's. The 3 day drop should be around 40% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted May 26, 2016 Author Share Posted May 26, 2016 20th Century Fox will release X-MEN APOCALYPSE in 4,148 NA theaters this Friday #XMen #Apocalypse— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) May 26, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted May 26, 2016 Author Share Posted May 26, 2016 CAPTAIN AMERICA: CIVIL WAR earned $2.272M on Wednesday lifting its domestic total to $355.399M to date. #CaptainAmerica #CivilWar— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) May 26, 2016 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted May 26, 2016 Author Share Posted May 26, 2016 THE JUNGLE BOOK dropped below $1M for the 1st time on its 25th day of release, swinging to $0.91M on Wednesday.... https://t.co/OuCSVf4CGr— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) May 26, 2016 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
department store basement Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 I wonder how much the TC for The Darkness will drop. That one's gone from my local theaters along with Mother's Day. Zootopia will be gone within the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 18 minutes ago, department store basement said: I wonder how much the TC for The Darkness will drop. That one's gone from my local theaters along with Mother's Day. Zootopia will be gone within the next week. Random question but are you department4c from reddit? (specifically /r/boxoffice of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
department store basement Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 (edited) 26 minutes ago, Daxtreme said: Random question but are you department4c from reddit? (specifically /r/boxoffice of course) No. I didn't come here from reddit. I don't know who department4c even is. I chose my username from random words that had the same initials as "Don't Stop Believin'" Edited May 26, 2016 by department store basement 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 (edited) I HAVE MADE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS! The algorithm is far from perfect, with a few odd predictions here and there (it seems to think ABM is going to have legs for days), but it's definitely better. Projections based on Wednesday numbers... Captain America: Civil War Thursday: $2.3M (+1.31%) THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $43.4M (-52.3%) FOURTH WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $20M (-39.4%) PROJECTED EIGHT-WEEK TOTAL: $405M (2.26x) The Angry Birds Movie Thursday: $2M (+2.15%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $47.7M SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $32.4M (-15%) PROJECTED 54-DAY TOTAL: $160M (4.2x) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising Thursday: $1.45M (-9.8%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $29.3M SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $9.74M (-55.2%) PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $53.4M (2.46x) The Nice Guys Thursday: $768k (-16.6%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $15.3M SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $7.01M (-37.4%) PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $31.9M (2.85x) Money Monster Thursday: $565k (-5.54%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $9.66M (-51.8%) THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $5.2M (-25.9%) PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $40M (2.71x) The Darkness Thursday: $144k (-25.7%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $3.02M (-50.5%) THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $752M (-66.9%) PROJECTED THREE-WEEK TOTAL: $10.2M (2.05x) Edited May 27, 2016 by johnboy3434 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted May 26, 2016 Author Share Posted May 26, 2016 (edited) TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 Captain America: Civil War BV $2,272,708 -21% -42% 4,226 $538 $355,399,099 20 2 2 The Angry Birds Movie Sony $1,954,775 -30% - 3,932 $497 $45,675,810 6 3 3 Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising Uni. $1,605,450 -32% - 3,384 $474 $27,839,475 6 4 4 The Nice Guys WB $920,867 -29% - 2,865 $321 $14,543,308 6 5 5 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $910,484 -18% -24% 3,460 $263 $330,601,886 41 6 6 Money Monster TriS $598,226 -26% -48% 3,104 $193 $29,117,477 13 7 7 The Darkness HTR $193,930 -14% -25% 1,769 $110 $8,971,808 13 8 9 Zootopia BV $151,436 -9% -25% 1,377 $110 $334,889,751 83 9 8 Mother's Day ORF $138,605 -18% -58% 1,719 $81 $31,768,901 27 10 10 The Huntsman: Winter's War Uni. $112,985 -18% -47% 1,246 $91 $47,061,525 34 11 12 Barbershop: The Next Cut WB $67,505 -13% -45% 744 $91 $52,931,432 41 12 - Keanu WB $62,286 -10% -70% 707 $88 $20,205,670 27 - - The Boss Uni. $49,005 -21% -57% 672 $73 $62,423,080 48 - - The Lobster A24 $46,489 +7% +107% 24 $1,937 $1,153,923 62 - - Sing Street Wein. $40,457 -5% -33% 520 $78 $2,606,444 41 - - A Bigger Splash FoxS $33,372 -9% +74% 128 $261 $883,921 22 - - Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $29,515 -3% -44% 321 $92 $328,817,952 62 - - My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 Uni. $27,880 -12% -46% 365 $76 $59,662,360 62 - - Kung Fu Panda 3 Fox $17,929 -1% +27% 219 $82 $142,812,262 118 - - Eye in the Sky BST $17,350 -10% -56% 198 $88 $18,278,718 76 - - Deadpool Fox $14,635 -0% -27% 192 $76 $362,766,300 104 - - The Divergent Series: Allegiant LG/S $12,306 -14% +61% 194 $63 $66,041,351 69 - - 10 Cloverfield Lane Par. $11,578 -7% -41% 176 $66 $71,933,789 76 - - Ratchet & Clank Focus $11,318 +1% -78% 346 $33 $8,586,962 27 - - London Has Fallen Focus $9,891 -1% -26% 139 $71 $62,431,099 83 - - God's Not Dead 2 PFR $6,489 -1% -59% 102 $64 $20,635,548 55 - - Compadres PNT $5,498 -29% -57% 82 $67 $3,124,074 34 - - Criminal (2016) LG/S $5,398 -1% -71% 142 $38 $14,703,497 41 - - Papa: Hemingway in Cuba YFG $3,714 -9% -66% 45 $83 $1,103,056 27 - - Meet the Blacks Free $2,341 -4% -32% 50 $47 $9,059,600 55 - - Midnight Special WB $1,313 +26% -38% 24 $55 $3,710,973 69 Edited May 26, 2016 by sfran43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 1 hour ago, department store basement said: I wonder how much the TC for The Darkness will drop. That one's gone from my local theaters along with Mother's Day. Zootopia will be gone within the next week. Well 3 months in wide release for a non-Oscar frontrunner is pretty excellent! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 26 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said: I HAVE MADE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS! The algorithm is far from perfect, with a few odd predictions here and there (it seems to think ABM is going to have legs for days), but it's definitely better. Projections based on Wednesday numbers... Captain America: Civil War Thursday: $2.3M (+1.31%) THIRD WEEK TOTAL: $43.4M (-52.3%) FOURTH WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $20M (-39.4%) PROJECTED EIGHT-WEEK TOTAL: $405M (2.26x) The Angry Birds Movie Thursday: $2M (+2.15%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $47.7M SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $32.4M (-15%) PROJECTED 54-DAY TOTAL: $160M (4.2x) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising Thursday: $1.45M (-9.8%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $29.3M SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $9.74M (-55.2%) PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $53.4M (2.46x) The Nice Guys Thursday: $768k (-16.6%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $15.3M SECOND WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $7.01M (-37.4%) PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $31.9M (2.85x) Money Monster Thursday: $361k (-39.7%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $9.45M (-52.8%) THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $2.74M (-60.9%) PROJECTED FOUR-WEEK TOTAL: $34.7M (2.35x) The Darkness Thursday: $156k (-19.7%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $3.03M (-50.3%) THIRD WEEKEND FOUR-DAY TOTAL: $868M (-61.8%) PROJECTED THREE-WEEK TOTAL: $10.3M (2.09x) Your drop for Money Monster still makes no sense but you're improving. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWXII Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 Good to see Jungle get to the 330 Club. So you know those nightmares where you are being chased and you can't run? That is how Zootopian animals feel right now. Run rabbit run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 34 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Your drop for Money Monster still makes no sense but you're improving. Are you referring to the four-day weekend? If so, here's the day-to-day drops as I have them. Friday: +96.4% Saturday: +36.4% Sunday: -27.8% Monday: -46.9% Is the Monday drop too large considering that it's a holiday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 (edited) 4 minutes ago, johnboy3434 said: Are you referring to the four-day weekend? If so, here's the day-to-day drops as I have them. Friday: +96.4% Saturday: +36.4% Sunday: -27.8% Monday: -46.9% Is the Monday drop too large considering that it's a holiday? It's the fact you're expecting a 60%+ drop when nothing has indicated it'll do that. Edited May 26, 2016 by WrathOfHan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said: It's the fact you're expecting a 60%+ drop when nothing has indicated it'll do that. Well, what is there an indication that it will do? Are we just assuming it'll drop 52.6% like last weekend? Less than that due to the four-day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 26, 2016 Share Posted May 26, 2016 1 minute ago, johnboy3434 said: Well, what is there an indication that it will do? Are we just assuming it'll drop 52.6% like last weekend? Less than that due to the four-day? No more than low-50's, probably somewhere in the 40's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said: It's the fact you're expecting a 60%+ drop when nothing has indicated it'll do that. At a glance all the 4 day drops look high except AB which looks low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 (edited) Well, it turns out I fucked up the data entry for Money Monster and The Darkness. I updated the post with the results of a correct process run. The drop in the former has been fixed, but the drop in the latter got steeper. *shrugs* Edited May 27, 2016 by johnboy3434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 On further inspection, I fucked up a bunch of stuff. I'm just going to try and fix and give it another go tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...