Jump to content

kayumanggi

Weekend Actuals | 40.4 M THE CONJURING II | 24.2 M WARCRAFT | 22.4 M NOW YOU SEE ME II

By kayumanggi, in Numbers and Data

Recommended Posts











johnboy3434 Sleeper Hit

johnboy3434

Posted
Posted (edited)

Here's my projections for next weekend and total grosses based on this weekend's actuals (returning films only).

 

The Conjuring 2                                                       $17.8M (-56.1%)  $103M (2.54x)

Now You See Me 2                                                   $16.7M (-25.4%)  $86.9M (3.88x)

Warcraft                                                                   $9.2M (-61.9%)    $86.6M (3.58x)

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows  $8.45M (-41.3%)  $101M (2.85x)

Me Before You                                                          $6.58M (-27.2%)  $58.6M (3.13x)

X-Men: Apocalypse                                                   $5.34M (-46.1%)  $157M (1.96x)

The Angry Birds Movie                                              $4.21M (-35.7%)  $113M (2.97x)

Alice Through the Looking Glass                               $3.92M (-30.6%)  $92.8M (2.77x)

Captain America: Civil War                                        $2.27M (-47.4%)  $405M (2.26x)

The Nice Guys                                                           $1.25M (-36.4%)  $39.1M (3.49x)

Love & Friendship                                                     $901k (-35.8%)    $12.6M (5.88x)

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising                                                                   $54.2M (2.49x)

Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping                                                       $9.89M (2.11x)

Edited by johnboy3434
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites


Wrath Box Office Gold

Wrath

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, johnboy3434 said:

Here's my projections for next weekend and total gross based on this weekend's actuals (returning films only).

 

The Conjuring 2 - $17.8M (-56.1%)

Now You See Me 2 - $16.7M (-25.4%)

Warcraft - $9.2M (-61.9%)

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - $8.45M (-41.3%), $101M (2.85x)

Me Before You - $6.58M (-27.2%), $58.6M (3.13x)

X-Men: Apocalypse - $4.98M (-49.7%), $154M (2.33x)

The Angry Birds Movie - $4.33M (-33.8%), $113M (2.96x)

Alice Through the Looking Glass - $3.46M (-38.7%), $84.7M (3.15x)

Captain America: Civil War - $2.28M (-47%), $405M (2.26x)

The Nice Guys - $1.32M (-32.6%), $39.5M (3.53x)

Love & Friendship - $901k (-35.8%), $7.7M (3.6x)

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising - $54.1M (2.49x)

Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping - $9.56M (2.03x)

Predicts are kinda the life blood of this site so I ask that you be sure to post this in the Weekend Predict thread as well. The concern being that it'll get over-looked here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
johnboy3434 Sleeper Hit

johnboy3434

Posted
Posted
22 minutes ago, Wrath said:

Predicts are kinda the life blood of this site so I ask that you be sure to post this in the Weekend Predict thread as well. The concern being that it'll get over-looked here.

 

As soon as I figure my total predicts for the three new films, I'll post it there.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites




narniadis Blockbuster

narniadis

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, johnboy3434 said:

Here's my projections for next weekend and total grosses based on this weekend's actuals (returning films only).

 

The Conjuring 2                                                       $17.8M (-56.1%)  $102M (2.52x)

Now You See Me 2                                                   $16.7M (-25.4%)  $85.9M (3.84x)

Warcraft                                                                   $9.2M (-61.9%)    $83.7M (3.47x)

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows  $8.45M (-41.3%)  $101M (2.85x)

Me Before You                                                          $6.58M (-27.2%)  $58.6M (3.13x)

X-Men: Apocalypse                                                   $4.98M (-49.7%)  $154M (1.92x)

The Angry Birds Movie                                              $4.33M (-33.8%)  $113M (2.96x)

Alice Through the Looking Glass                               $3.46M (-38.7%)  $84.7M (2.53x)

Captain America: Civil War                                        $2.28M (-47%)     $405M (2.26x)

The Nice Guys                                                           $1.32M (-32.6%) $39.5M (3.53x)

Love & Friendship                                                     $901k (-35.8%)    $7.7M (3.6x)

Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising                                                                   $54.1M (2.49x)

Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping                                                       $9.56M (2.03x)

 

 

I am curious as to how you are figuring the numbers for Warcraft and NYSM2? There is nothing in the performance thus far to suggest those multiples and frankly Warcraft has a better chance at doing 6m (-75%) than 9m. Again I know you search for similar films to base future behaviors on but 83m for Warcraft or NYSM2 aint happening.

 

Turtles is also way high based on this weekend's performance and the fact that the Family factor will be gone with Dory - another -50% fall for sure, same with Angry Birds although your total there doesn't look terribly far off.

 

Hoping you are low on CW ;) would like to see it beat IM3

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites




Captain Craig Summer Tentpole

Captain Craig

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, narniadis said:

Hoping you are low on CW ;) would like to see it beat IM3

His predict on CA:CW is going to be low. It's only $3.2m from $400m. Wouldn't be totally shocked if it hits $400m by Thursday. Then there is July 4th weekend coming at which point it'll pass $405m. For it not to make that it would have to basically be pulled from theaters with no discount dollar run, which it'll have through Labor Day, which IM3 got with a 19 week run. Avengers got a 22 week run, AoU got a 23 week run and all open the first of May.

 

Cap is going to at least $410m domestic

Link to comment
Share on other sites








Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.


×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept