You can fire your arrows from the Tower of Babel, but you can never strike Derby! | Week 25

[AndyLL]

Things should get back to normal since I fly home tomorrow. 

 

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

 

[Rolling Thunder]

Back on my home field now.  Game on.

[dxmatrixdt]

Prediction average adjustment.

The average reflects 50 people but one of them did not complete in time.  That means they will get all zeros.  

I am adjusting it for the average for 49.

 

Central Intelligence = 32.85 x 50 = 1642.5.    (1642.5)/49 = 33.52

Finding Dory = 124.35(50) = 6217.5.   (6217.5)/49 = 126.89

The Conjuring 2 = 19.54(50) = 977.   (977)/49 = 19.94

Warcraft = 8.60(50) = 430.   (430)/49 = 8.78

Now You See Me 2 = 12.01(50) = 600.5.   (600.5)/49 = 12.26

TMNT2 = 6.97(50) = 348.5.    (348.5)/49 = 7.11

X-Men: A = 5.03(50) = 251.5.   (251.5)/49 = 5.13

Me Before You = 4.89(50) = 244.5.   (244.5)/49 = 4.99

Angry Birds = 3.08(50) = 154.0.   (154.0)/49 = 3.14

Alice 2 = 2.71(50) = 135.5.   (135.5)/49 = 2.77

 

Edited June 17, 2016 by Matrix4You

[AndyLL]

5 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

Prediction average adjustment.

The average reflects 50 people but one of them did not complete in time.  That means they will get all zeros.  

I am adjusting it for the average for 49.

 

 

 

The prediction average should be removing those that did not pick all 10 movies now.

[aabattery]

I lowballed Dory at first and forgot to change it before the deadline 

[POTUS 2020]

Deadline is low on the holdovers this week. Last week they were high 10% or more on most, now I think it will be 10% low on most due fathers day multi. Alice isn't on the list, I doubt it can be much worse than AB. I put 2.2m

I went with FD 134, CI 32, C2 16.5, NYSM2 10.5, WC 7.4,  TMNT2 6.5,   XMA 5.6, MBY 4.5, AB 2.3, A2 2.2

 

Al time leaders and a few wannabes....

@JMorphin         93.2  Whats gotten into you? A goingtobe! Back to back? Nice

No Prisoners        88.6

@Rolling Thunder 87.7

@8wombi7          86.6

@Matrix4You       85.5

@WrathOfHan     84.2  AB and A2 gave you the one two punch screw otherwise you were looking good

@TalismanRing    93.5

@JohnnY            81.7

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19tCezlrhK5YNUNBdt8IDC8vy3Bsp4HXaRFxqJSNtfNw/edit?usp=sharing

Google sheet to check your score against the leaderboard

Matrix will do a full chart Sat am EST

Edited June 18, 2016 by No Prisoners

[dxmatrixdt]

I am going to wait for Alice updates and another complete update.  Conjuring should go higher than 15???

[POTUS 2020]

Just now, Matrix4You said:

I am going to wait for Alice updates and another complete update.  Conjuring should go higher than 15???

I think so. you have the OD impact of FD and fathers day screwing with the Fri multi. others higher too except MBY and NYSM2

[dxmatrixdt]

I put the top 10 like this:  Central-32, Dory-132.5, Conjuring-15.5, Warcraft-7.2, NYSM2-10.45, TMNT2-6.4, X-Men:A-5.45, Meb4U-4.25, AB-2.2, A2-2.2

49 members participated, 81.328 avg

ERROR ALERT

Jmorphin	91.732
No Prisoners	88.600
Dipper	87.752
Rolling Thunder	87.748
Iraf	86.735
Matrix4You	86.070
nelmsey	85.850
8wombi7	85.822
bapi	85.753
boxofficeth	85.713
Horror Wizard	85.404
moviecriticguy	85.390
AndyLL	85.279
RandomJC	85.247
WrathofHan	84.746
Exxdee	84.742
Simionski	84.706
TalismanRing	84.655
e1828	83.886
Viceversa	83.544
Johnny	82.692
Wildbill	82.516
Spaghetti	82.249
Bates	81.234
Wonka	81.197

[JMorphin]

I'm just trying to be a wannabe

[POTUS 2020]

16 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

I am going to wait for Alice updates and another complete update.  Conjuring should go higher than 15???

do you pull all the picks into a spreadsheet? I tried importing a few weeks ago, it didn't work

[dxmatrixdt]

i handpick them and enter them into excel.  It takes alot of time.  i wish there was an easier way

[POTUS 2020]

Just now, JMorphin said:

I'm just trying to be a wannabe

Nah, you're already there. You're in top ten for accuracy on the year at 83.5% and soon to be 84%. Be sure not to miss more than 3 games to qualify for Annual accuracy champ/ Must play 40 of 52 derbies

 

I mite be second for a fourth time. Im like the 90s Bills and the 70s Vikings

[POTUS 2020]

34 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

i handpick them and enter them into excel.  It takes alot of time.  i wish there was an easier way

yup, that's why I just do the leaderboard early and wait for your full chart. I am not that tenacious

@AndyLL can you make it so that the import includes the picks instead of just the top line?

[AndyLL]

13 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

yup, that's why I just do the leaderboard early and wait for your full chart. I am not that tenacious

@AndyLL can you make it so that the import includes the picks instead of just the top line?

 

Import?  Or do you mean export?

 

Might be easier if I just create a specific export file for those of you that want to estimate the scores

[POTUS 2020]

14 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

 

Import?  Or do you mean export?

 

Might be easier if I just create a specific export file for those of you that want to estimate the scores

yes I guess I want to export so that I can import(download?)

ill take it as well as @Matrix4You

[JohnnY]

hm, I export the files every week without a problem, I just need to add actual numbers and ta-da, i get the scores for everyone

 

btw kinda shit score for me, i hope those numbers change, i overestimated everything

[Rolling Thunder]

JMorphin with the hot bat lately! Too bad we can't pitch around him. 

[POTUS 2020]

4 hours ago, JohnnY said:

hm, I export the files every week without a problem, I just need to add actual numbers and ta-da, i get the scores for everyone

 

btw kinda shit score for me, i hope those numbers change, i overestimated everything

really, which format?

scores got a lot worse for everyone. 5points or more

[JohnnY]

1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:

really, which format?

scores got a lot worse for everyone. 5points or more

 

I go to weekly scores, then I select "all weekly scores", I order by movie title and I export to excel. 

 

This is from last week 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KWljiU9OosDRVc45FBhDdrewxyWWMbgZMtPgUpkWSNU/edit?usp=sharing

 

You just need to copy and paste the actuals for each movie once, since entries are ordered by title. 

And then you calculate the accuracy for one of the players (usually AndyLL because he's always the first player for every movie) and you replicate the formula to the rest, which i did in the last column.

 

Edited June 18, 2016 by JohnnY