MinaTakla Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days - (1) Jason Bourne Universal $6,201,325 -61% 4,026 $1,540 $65,416,690 4 - (4) The Secret Life of Pets Universal $2,803,515 -54% 3,673 $763 $299,686,400 25 - (-) The Purge: Election Year Universal $79,875 -59% 510 $157 $78,472,320 32 - (-) Gleason Open Road $9,931 -46% 9 $1,103 $101,514 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted August 2, 2016 Author Share Posted August 2, 2016 -33% WoW drop for Pets 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 So this would indicate that Trek did about 6M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 250k behind Star Trek's Monday with a similar 61% drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Pets will pass 300 today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay Beezy Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 @nilephelan Care to explain this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 I don't get the harsher Monday drops for adult skewing films didn't use to be this way.... will be curious about Bournes increase today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Jay Beezy said: @nilephelan Care to explain this? My math sucks sometimes. Edited August 2, 2016 by nilephelan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 @MinaTakla Can't see PETS below 350m at this stage. If it's Tue+Wed+Thu ratio from Monday this week is just like last week, it will do 8.6M on Tue+Wed+Thu, taking it to 299.7 + 8.6 = 308.3M 10.7M(-43.4% from 18.9M last weekend) more over the weekend will give it 308.3 +10.7 = 318M. The weekdays after SS OW, using a 42% drop from this Mon-Thu would be 6.6M (down from 11.4M). The weekend after SS OW will recover somewhat, but even if its down 40%, will do 6.4M. That will give it a cume of 318 + 6.6 + 6.4 = 331M. Should then add 10M more in all the other weekends combined and 10M more in all the weekdays combined (including dollar bump). 331 + 10 + 10 = 351M I think I have been conservative with post-SS drops. It could certainly do better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 BOURNE Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days 2016/07/29 1 $22,611,225 4,026 $5,616 $22,611,225 1 2016/07/30 1 $20,796,380 -8% 4,026 $5,166 $43,407,605 2 2016/07/31 1 $15,807,760 -24% 4,026 $3,926 $59,215,365 3 2016/08/01 - $6,201,325 -61% 4,026 $1,540 $65,416,690 4 TREK Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days 2016/07/22 1 $22,254,377 3,928 $5,666 $22,254,377 1 2016/07/23 1 $20,661,714 -7% 3,928 $5,260 $42,916,091 2 2016/07/24 1 $16,337,120 -21% 3,928 $4,159 $59,253,211 3 2016/07/25 1 $6,252,063 -62% 3,928 $1,592 $65,505,274 4 This is gonna be fun all week 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted August 2, 2016 Author Share Posted August 2, 2016 1 minute ago, a2knet said: @MinaTakla Can't see PETS below 350m at this stage. If it's Tue+Wed+Thu ratio from Monday this week is just like last week, it will do 8.6M on Tue+Wed+Thu, taking it to 299.7 + 8.6 = 308.3M 10.7M(-43.4% from 18.9M last weekend) more over the weekend will give it 308.3 +10.7 = 318M. The weekdays after SS OW, using a 42% drop from this Mon-Thu would be 6.6M (down from 11.4M). The weekend after SS OW will recover somewhat, but even if its down 40%, will do 6.4M. That will give it a cume of 318 + 6.6 + 6.4 = 331M. Should then add 10M more in all the other weekends combined and 10M more in all the weekdays combined (including dollar bump). 331 + 10 + 10 = 351M I think I have been conservative with post-SS drops. It could certainly do better. Thanks a2knet for taking the time to explain in detail My hope in a 350m finish increased after I saw last weekend's hold and I hope it doesn't collapse against SS. A -44% drop against SS would be very good I think. Your predictions certainly made me more confident in the mathematical chance of a 350m. Keep it up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Jason Bourne Universal $6,201,325 -61% 4,026 $1,540 $65,416,690 4 - (2) Star Trek Beyond Paramount Pictures $3,117,870 -62% 3,928 $794 $109,592,587 11 - (4) The Secret Life of Pets Universal $2,803,515 -54% 3,673 $763 $299,686,400 25 - (7) Lights Out Warner Bros. $1,672,433 -47% 2,835 $590 $44,542,796 11 - (5) Ice Age: Collision Course 20th Century Fox $1,592,287 -54% 3,997 $398 $44,190,749 11 - (6) Ghostbusters Sony Pictures $1,384,547 -56% 3,052 $454 $107,881,753 18 - (9) Finding Dory Walt Disney $731,726 -51% 1,733 $422 $469,847,403 46 - (10) The Legend of Tarzan Warner Bros. $360,989 -54% 1,503 $240 $122,279,217 32 - (13) Mike and Dave Need Wedding … 20th Century Fox $222,303 -49% 1,070 $208 $44,212,372 25 - (-) Central Intelligence Warner Bros. $120,360 -56% 652 $185 $125,420,588 46 - (-) Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie Fox Searchlight $103,442 -62% 355 $291 $3,500,264 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Star Trek down 51% from last week. Lights Out is still having great drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
babz06 Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 Everything will drop hard this weekend,except Bad Moms. Suicide Squad hasn't gotten older females on board. But the weekends after that should see some pretty good holds. Suicide Squad will have worse legs than GoTG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 (edited) 8 minutes ago, MinaTakla said: Thanks a2knet for taking the time to explain in detail My hope in a 350m finish increased after I saw last weekend's hold and I hope it doesn't collapse against SS. A -44% drop against SS would be very good I think. Your predictions certainly made me more confident in the mathematical chance of a 350m. Keep it up! Yes 350m looks good. Wonder how SS previews will affect Thu for everything. As to the weekend drop, if IO could hold well (-41%) against direct competition of MINIONS 116m OW, PETS could well manage sub-45% against SS OW even if it's much bigger than 116m. Edited August 2, 2016 by a2knet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 3 minutes ago, babz06 said: Everything will drop hard this weekend,except Bad Moms. Suicide Squad hasn't gotten older females on board. But the weekends after that should see some pretty good holds. Suicide Squad will have worse legs than GoTG. It'll have worse legs than CW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: It'll have worse legs than CW CW could not do 2.3, BVS ended at 1.9900x (seriously, 330360194/166007347). They were sequels though. SS will have front-loading being part of DCU but not being a sequel gives some hope at a dignified multiplier. I will gladly take 2.3-2.4x. (2.3x will give it 300M dom with a 130M ow) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 24 minutes ago, MinaTakla said: Thanks a2knet for taking the time to explain in detail My hope in a 350m finish increased after I saw last weekend's hold and I hope it doesn't collapse against SS. A -44% drop against SS would be very good I think. Your predictions certainly made me more confident in the mathematical chance of a 350m. Keep it up! Sequel announced 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 22 minutes ago, a2knet said: Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Jason Bourne Universal $6,201,325 -61% 4,026 $1,540 $65,416,690 4 - (2) Star Trek Beyond Paramount Pictures $3,117,870 -62% 3,928 $794 $109,592,587 11 - (4) The Secret Life of Pets Universal $2,803,515 -54% 3,673 $763 $299,686,400 25 - (7) Lights Out Warner Bros. $1,672,433 -47% 2,835 $590 $44,542,796 11 - (5) Ice Age: Collision Course 20th Century Fox $1,592,287 -54% 3,997 $398 $44,190,749 11 - (6) Ghostbusters Sony Pictures $1,384,547 -56% 3,052 $454 $107,881,753 18 - (9) Finding Dory Walt Disney $731,726 -51% 1,733 $422 $469,847,403 46 - (10) The Legend of Tarzan Warner Bros. $360,989 -54% 1,503 $240 $122,279,217 32 - (13) Mike and Dave Need Wedding … 20th Century Fox $222,303 -49% 1,070 $208 $44,212,372 25 - (-) Central Intelligence Warner Bros. $120,360 -56% 652 $185 $125,420,588 46 - (-) Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie Fox Searchlight $103,442 -62% 355 $291 $3,500,264 11 Trek fell more than Bourne. It is having a strange run so far with regards to holds for such a well reviewed movie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 2, 2016 Share Posted August 2, 2016 13 minutes ago, grim22 said: Trek fell more than Bourne. It is having a strange run so far with regards to holds for such a well reviewed movie. SS ow won't help either. Another 50%+ drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
