Love your perfume. What is that, Stench of Derby? | Week 32

[ShinyDave]

Bourne might have cost me the win

[Rolling Thunder]

Consistently high Derby averages are discouraging.  Much prefer playing where 88% is dominant. 

[ShinyDave]

45 minutes ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Consistently high Derby averages are discouraging.  Much prefer playing where 88% is dominant. 

Do you tend to finish in the upper 80s regardless, then?

 

I suspect this will be a week with an unusual amount of scoring parity between new and holdover releases. All the obvious potential score-killers fell in the latter category - IA5 especially standing out in that regard.

[AndyLL]

1 hour ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Consistently high Derby averages are discouraging.  Much prefer playing where 88% is dominant. 

 

Florence Foster Jenkins next week?  Make people pick a movie they never heard of? 

[Rolling Thunder]

6 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

 

Florence Foster Jenkins next week?  Make people pick a movie they never heard of? 

 

Would be a challenge, for sure.  1,500 theaters for a film I haven't heard a single person mention. 

[ShinyDave]

46 minutes ago, Rolling Thunder said:

 

Would be a challenge, for sure.  1,500 theaters for a film I haven't heard a single person mention. 

I've heard of it, but mostly because I: a) am from the UK, where the film came out months ago; ii) happen to have a ton of opera-singing friends.

 

Do I expect to gain an advantage in predicting the NA box office for this thing? No, no I do not.

Edited August 7, 2016 by ShinyDave

[POTUS 2020]

15 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Consistently high Derby averages are discouraging.  Much prefer playing where 88% is dominant. 

In BOM days that was dominant mostly. 

I think we have more intel now and are collectively scoring better

[cannastop]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count /Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Suicide Squad	WB	$133,682,248	-	4,255	-	$31,418	$133,682,248	$175	1
2	1	Jason Bourne	Uni.	$22,405,125	-62.2%	4,039	+13	$5,547	$103,111,145	$120	2
3	3	Bad Moms	STX	$14,004,006	-41.2%	3,215	-	$4,356	$50,850,836	$20	2
4	4	The Secret Life of Pets	Uni.	$11,500,590	-39.2%	3,417	-260	$3,366	$319,519,370	$75	5
5	2	Star Trek Beyond	Par.	$10,036,030	-59.5%	3,263	-665	$3,076	$127,737,394	$185	3
6	N	Nine Lives (2016)	EC	$6,249,915	-	2,264	-	$2,761	$6,249,915	-	1
7	6	Lights Out	WB (NL)	$6,006,454	-44.4%	2,581	-254	$2,327	$54,715,706	$4.9	3
8	8	Nerve	LGF	$4,861,528	-48.5%	2,538	-	$1,915	$26,850,322	-	2
9	7	Ghostbusters (2016)	Sony	$4,676,192	-53.8%	2,545	-507	$1,837	$116,588,128	$144	4
10	5	Ice Age: Collision Course	Fox	$4,325,094	-60.6%	2,738	-1,259	$1,580	$53,564,891	$105	3

 

@AndyLL

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2016&wknd=32&p=.htm

[ShinyDave]

I can't wait to see how low I'd have needed to go on Bourne to win... But wow, I actually guessed $133.7m for SS as basically a joke, and it turned out to be elite guesswork

[cannastop]

Woah, I just realized that I got a 100% on The Secret Life of Pets and a nearly 100% on Lights Out. Also, I just barely missed the top 10. :/

Edited August 9, 2016 by cannastop

[AndyLL]

Congrats @Horror Wizard

 

	Rank	Player	Total Score	New Release Score	Holdover Score	Difference from Avg. Score	Total Points	Predicted Movies

	1	Horror Wizard	93.384%	90.681%	94.060%	5.682%	44	10
	2	8wombi7	92.441%	87.458%	93.686%	4.738%	43	10
	3	ShinyDave	91.882%	97.673%	90.434%	4.179%	42	10
	4	TalismanRing	91.835%	93.153%	91.505%	4.132%	41	10
	5	Arlborn	91.722%	92.187%	91.606%	4.020%	40	10
	6	PanaMovie	91.197%	94.473%	90.378%	3.495%	39	10
	7	Iraf	90.559%	89.413%	90.846%	2.856%	38	10
	8	Olive	90.418%	96.971%	88.779%	2.715%	37	10
	9	BoxOfficeZ	90.083%	97.869%	88.136%	2.380%	36	10
	10	Exxdee	89.872%	87.834%	90.381%	2.169%	35	10
	11	cannastop	89.692%	94.650%	88.452%	1.989%	34	10
	12	Wrath	89.378%	95.553%	87.834%	1.675%	33	10
	13	JohnnY	89.180%	90.836%	88.766%	1.477%	32	10
	14	Rolling Thunder	89.040%	98.659%	86.635%	1.337%	31	10
	15	Viceversa	88.982%	84.597%	90.079%	1.280%	30	10
	16	darkelf	88.957%	80.624%	91.041%	1.255%	29	10
	17	moviecriticguy	88.907%	86.373%	89.541%	1.205%	28	10
	18	Simionski	88.896%	81.012%	90.867%	1.193%	27	10
	19	No Prisoners	88.731%	91.506%	88.038%	1.029%	26	10
	20	boxofficeth	88.599%	95.084%	86.978%	0.897%	25	10

[ShinyDave]

Revisions killed me, especially Bourne adjusting down... But a podium on only my third attempt! Highest new release score by a distance this week! Blimey (as us British might say).

 

I am now really looking forward to the next tournament. When will that be?

[8wombi7]

IA5 and NL screwed me over but i can't complain about the second top 10 finish in a row.

 

congrats to @Horror Wizard!

[AndyLL]

6 hours ago, ShinyDave said:

Revisions killed me, especially Bourne adjusting down... But a podium on only my third attempt! Highest new release score by a distance this week! Blimey (as us British might say).

 

I am now really looking forward to the next tournament. When will that be?

 

How about this week?