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Wed#s SS 9.81 Guru....many soft drops for a Wednesday....Jesus Christ, that's a soft drop for Bourne, Sexy Legs for Moms, Pets -28% from last week and going for IO, FTSBF less than 10% drop....no sign of THE V

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Assuming a 10% drop today that would mean 8.7M. Weekend could (not saying it will, don't attack me :lol: ) go like this:

 

12.6M (+45%)

17.6M (+40%)

13.7M (-22%)

43.9M Weekend, 67% drop

Edited by WrathOfHan
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So before we get walls of text analyzing the minutiae of this number let me save all the trolls a days worth of vitriol.

 

This is neither a good or bad number.

This is normal and everyone had it on this range.

 

That's all....now in the immortal words of Ms Waller.....do your worst bitch.

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Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Assuming a 10% drop today that would mean 8.7M. Weekend could (not saying it will, don't attack me :lol: ) go like this:

 

12.6M (+45%)

17.6M (+40%)

9.8M (-22%)

40M Weekend, 70% drop

No, 10% is a conservative estimate for a Thursday drop, given what nearly all non-family films have done this year.

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Just now, Baumer loves Dory said:

So before we get walls of text analyzing the minutiae of this number let me save all the trolls a days worth of vitriol.

 

This is neither a good or bad number.

This is normal and everyone had it on this range.

 

That's all....now in the immortal words of Ms Waller.....do your worst bitch.

But but but but but but IT CAN'T BE!! 

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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Assuming a 10% drop today that would mean 8.7M. Weekend could (not saying it will, don't attack me :lol: ) go like this:

 

12.6M (+45%)

17.6M (+40%)

9.8M (-22%)

40M Weekend, 70% drop

 

Of course it could go

 

13.4

18.5

13.5

 

45.5 mI'll

 

And you Sunday number is messed up.

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2 minutes ago, Baumer loves Dory said:

 

Of course it could go

 

13.4

18.5

13.5

 

45.5 mI'll

 

And you Sunday number is messed up.

Goddammit :lol: In that case the Sunday should be 13.7M for a 43.9M weekend.

Edited by WrathOfHan
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3 minutes ago, cannastop said:

No, 10% is a conservative estimate for a Thursday drop, given what nearly all non-family films have done this year.

 

There's not going to be a 70 or 80 million-dollar opener that will get a lot of play on Thursday night. So the drop is not going to be 13%. It should drop more around 7 or 8% today.

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And GOTG fell just like this and recovered on the weekend. So will SS.

 

310-335 is happening

 

In the immortal words of mr. Andrews from the Titanic, it's a mathematical certainty.

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I'm thinking

 

Thu: 8.4m (-13%)

Fri: 13.4m (+60%)

Sat: 17.4m (+30%)

Sun: 12.2m (-30%)

Wknd: 42m (-68%)

 

The daily number itself isn't terrible, but it does indicate that a 65%+ drop is looking more likely than not.

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I think a 65% drop is reasonable at this point for the weekend. Of course it could also increase a ton on Friday and its drop will be less than that, but right now I'm expecting a $43M weekend. However a 65% drop isn't bad or anything, imo because its had strong weekdays. 

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Explain why it's dripping 13% today when Petes Dragon has no previews and Sausage Party and Meryl latest oscar bid aren't doin 10 mill in previews.

 

Down 5-8% imo

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5 minutes ago, The Panda said:

I'm thinking

 

Thu: 8.4m (-13%)

Fri: 13.4m (+60%)

Sat: 17.4m (+30%)

Sun: 12.2m (-30%)

Wknd: 42m (-68%)

 

The daily number itself isn't terrible, but it does indicate that a 65%+ drop is looking more likely than not.

Only $42 mil? For me $50/55

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10 minutes ago, Baumer loves Dory said:

 

There's not going to be a 70 or 80 million-dollar opener that will get a lot of play on Thursday night. So the drop is not going to be 13%. It should drop more around 7 or 8% today.

Guardians of the Galaxy fell 13.4% on Thursday and it was #1 for its second weekend. Not really seeing your point.

 

I think that Suicide Squad's 2nd weekend will be above $40m, though.

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1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Only $42 mil? For me $50/55

 

I don't reasonably see how it gets higher than 50m.  It's been slightly trailing GOTG throughout its run, and will likely keep doing so (with the exception of Tuesday, which is explainable).  It'd need to start having much better drops than GOTG going forward to have a shot at that high of a weekend.

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1 minute ago, cannastop said:

Guardians of the Galaxy fell 13.4% on Thursday and it was #1 for its second weekend. Not really seeing your point.

 

I think that Suicide Squad's 2nd weekend will be above $40m, though.

No, no it wasn't. GotG only returned to number 1 on his 4th weekend. 

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