Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:

 

Animated is key. TEAM AMERICA got a sub-3x, and that was years ago. 

Sausage Party made as much in one weekend as Team America did in its entire run so that argument is null and void.

[Water Bottle]

5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Sausage Party made as much in one weekend as Team America did in its entire run so that argument is null and void.

 

When talking about legs, why does a larger OW matter? If anything, it opens up the possibility that Sausage Party was more frontloaded?

[RichWS]

9 minutes ago, Water Bottle said:

 

TEAM AMERICA was also a fantastic movie.

 

AMERICA FUCK YEAH!

 

 

[filmlover]

Just now, Water Bottle said:

 

When talking about legs, why does a larger OW matter? If anything, it opens up the possibility that Sausage Party was more frontloaded?

You could make frontloaded arguments if Sausage Party had seen a Suicide Squad-esque fall and not increased on Saturday minus the Thursday pre-showings.

[That One Girl]

Sausage Party will hit a 3x easy.  Sony will get it over 100M either way, even if it means a late-run re-release à la This is the End.

[RichWS]

Just now, ThatOneSausage said:

Sony will get it over 100M either way

 

I'm getting slightly tired of "the studio will get over that number" assumption. For every Spectre, there are plenty of films that have fallen between 90-100 or 190-200. 

[a2k]

BAD MOMS and SP will make it 20 films above 100M and counting.

Both will overtake IDR  and CONJ2, pushing them to #19 and #20 respectively.

[BenedictL11]

22 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

I mess up with projections. But $100 million should happen to both Bad Moms and Sausage Party. Moms should do it by Labor Day. Sausage Party should do it in midSeptember. 

Sorry about that. Thanks for your clarification. Hope the rest of your weekend and week is awesome.

[Dementeleus]

SP isn't gonna get anywhere near 100m. You guys are crazy. 

[MovieMan89]

I'd say 90m for SP. That's also what it would need to beat South Park adjusted.

Edited August 14, 2016 by MovieMan89

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

1 minute ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:

SP isn't gonna get anywhere near 100m. You guys are crazy. 

Just like it wasn't gonna get 40m total? 

[Maxmoser3]

1 minute ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:

SP isn't gonna get anywhere near 100m. You guys are crazy. 

It's gonna happen. 

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:

SP isn't gonna get anywhere near 100m. You guys are crazy. 

Somebody still pressed over audiences rejecting The BFG?

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, RichWS said:

 

I'm getting slightly tired of "the studio will get over that number" assumption. For every Spectre, there are plenty of films that have fallen between 90-100 or 190-200. 

 

There are 4 movies that landed exactly at the 200M mark (Godzilla, Superman Returns, Tangled, Spectre).  There are 0 that landed at the 199M mark.

 

There are 22 movies that landed exactly at the 100M mark (Contact, Charlie's Angels 2, Pelican Brief, Vanilla Sky, Due Date, Rugrats Movie, Million Dollar Baby, Airport, Jumanji, Step Brothers, Evan Almighty, Casper, Shakespeare in Love, Bad Teacher, Yogi Bear, Cowboys and Aliens, Edge of Tomorrow, Hunchback of Notre Dame, Seven, Parenthood, Zohan, and Die Hard 3).  Notice how 5 of those are Sony products, with all of those 5 being comedies.  Only 2 landed at exactly the 99M mark (Hercules and Gnomeo and Juliet).

 

I explicitly stated the film would easily get a 3x.  That would lead it to 99M, which is so close to 100M, I just can't see a situation in which Sony doesn't fudge it over.

[MovieMan89]

Though SP's holds this weekend are similar to BM's OW, which is on its way to a whopping 4x+ multi, so who knows about the multi right now. 

[RichWS]

1 minute ago, ThatOneSausage said:

I explicitly stated the film would easily get a 3x.  That would lead it to 99M, which is so close to 100M, I just can't see a situation in which Sony doesn't fudge it over.

 

 

And it might not get a 3x.

[That One Girl]

6 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Somebody still pressed over audiences rejecting The BFG?

 

No...NEVER MENTION THE FLOPPING OF THAT AGAIN.

 

I still cry myself to sleep knowing that my over 200M club failed  

 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

I could see SP go either way. A 2.5x or a 4x could happen IMO. It's such a rare type of movie that people shouldn't ne so assured on what it's multiplier will be.

[a2k]

After BAD MOMS and SP, 7 films (or more)

1. DS

2. FB

3. MOANA

4. SING

5. ROGUE ONE

6. MAG 7

7+. ACCOUNTANT?, PASSENGERS?, maybe a couple surprise leggy 100m movies like STORKS?

 

will push IDR (currently #17) out of top 25 yearly dom. That is unreal. One of the major disappointments.

Can't believe I had it at everywhere from above 200 to above BVS (330) at various periods. 

 

[Water Bottle]

18 minutes ago, ThatOneSausage said:

Sausage Party will hit a 3x easy.  Sony will get it over 100M either way, even if it means a late-run re-release à la This is the End.

 

Easy? It's WOM hasn't exactly been stellar.