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Ezen Baklattan

Weekend Actuals: Don't breathe 26.4M, Squad 12.25M, Kubo 7.85M., Sausage 7.5M, Mechanic 7.5M, Dragon 7.4M, War Dogs 7M

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1 minute ago, CJohn said:

Explain this to me since it is going to get expanded to 2000 theaters this Wednesday. And it can't be cancelled, when they bought the rights it was in the deal the movie would be in 2000 theaters.

 

Oh shit I forgot about that :lol:

 

Still, even with the expansion, with poor reviews, I doubt it'll have a good run.  Maybe a 5-6M finish instead?

 

I don't know...it's kind of weird to track the run of a movie like this that opens in a wide release then the distributor expands it into an even wider release just a week after.  It's different if a movie that started out in like 4 locations moves to 800 locations before expanding into 2000, but starting wide from the get go and just adding even more theaters instead of releasing it wide immediately?  Seems weird.  Then again, this is Weinstein.

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32 minutes ago, AHepBurn said:

The numbers are good overall. I think with analyzing legs with a movie like this is that, like with anything, we can't really put everything out there in the same box because variables are different from film to film. The DC films are going to continue to have a huge opening week then steep dropoff the next week every time because the characters in their portfolio have been much more exposed to the public for decades compared to any Marvel franchise that isn't Spider-Man, Fantastic Four or X-Men. The initial rush to see the movie the first couple of weeks is going to be huge because of the size and rabidness of the fanbase. This happened with Civil War, which had monstrous first weeks because everyone knew everyone on the movie then tapered off once the fanbase rush abated. Compare that to, for example Ant Man, which had a decent opening and really good legs because the demand for the movie was much more spread out instead of being focused on one end of the spectrum than the other because the character just wasn't really well known. It's really going to take until the 3rd/4th weeks and where we really see what reception is like for most DC films and then looking at the final tally to see how successful it really is.

 

I really don't know if it will. The numbers for all three DC movies are really consistent - ~+$120mil opening, ~+$300mil domestic ~$750mil worldwide. I've said it before, but that's a built in fanbase and one that will seemingly go to a movie because it's a "DC movie". Compare to the Marvel movies which have a lot of variance depending on if RDJ is in the movie or not. It's looking like those are pretty much the minimum numbers for any DC movie and I'm thinking those will likely be the baseline expectations for Wonder Woman and Justice League. I don't think continued poor critical reception will hurt them either, since the last two movies have had really wide scathing criticism but they're still pulling in really good numbers without a downtrend. I've said before that the current DC franchise and the Fast and Furious franchise seem to have a lot in common where they have a really solid core who will turn out for the movie because it's simply their thing. I actually think the worst thing for people who don't like the DC movies is to have Wonder Woman and Justice League be poorly reviewed as well. Because with the legs Suicide Squad is showing, it seems like things are turning and much like with the Fast and Furious films which were hammered for so long people are starting to think that critics just don't matter when it comes to this franchise. A critic-proof franchise that already does ~+$120mil opening, ~+$300mil domestic ~$750mil worldwide is really scary and, like with Fast 5/6/7, makes me wonder what an eventual breakout film in the franchise will do.

Great analysis, I completely agree. The potential for this franchise is truly scary.

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Outstanding opening for Don't Breathe, ending the summer with a bang and caps the year of horror. I think Blair Witch is probably going to be the last good one. I don't have hope for Ouija 2, Rings or Don't Watch. 

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    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 new Don’t Breathe Sony Pictures $26,110,000   3,501 $7,458   $26,110,000 3
2 (1) Suicide Squad Warner Bros. $12,110,000 -42% 3,582 $3,381   $282,882,627 24
3 (4) Kubo and the Two Strings Focus Features $7,900,000 -37% 3,279 $2,409   $24,911,378 10
4 (2) Sausage Party Sony Pictures $7,670,000 -50% 3,135 $2,447   $80,013,510 17
5 new Mechanic: Resurrection Summit Premiere $7,500,000   2,258 $3,322   $7,500,000 3
6 (5) Pete’s Dragon Walt Disney $7,282,000 -36% 3,244 $2,245   $54,715,378 17
7 (3) War Dogs Warner Bros. $7,250,000 -51% 3,258 $2,225   $27,752,687 10
8 (8) Bad Moms STX Entertainment $5,760,000 -28% 2,565 $2,246   $95,453,235 31
9 (7) Jason Bourne Universal $5,229,490 -35% 2,445 $2,139   $149,356,725 31
10 (6) Ben-Hur Paramount Pictures $4,530,000 -60% 3,084 $1,469   $19,552,877 10
11 (9) The Secret Life of Pets Universal $3,759,810 -36% 2,091 $1,798   $353,220,815 52
12 (12) Hell or High Water Lionsgate $3,725,000 +38% 909 $4,098   $8,564,099 17
14 (10) Florence Foster Jenkins Paramount Pictures $3,000,000 -32% 1,324 $2,266   $19,853,295 17
13 new Southside with You Roadside Attractions $3,000,000   813 $3,690   $3,000,000 3
15 (11) Star Trek Beyond Paramount Pictures $2,240,000 -43% 1,277 $1,754   $150,870,049 38
- new Hands of Stone Weinstein Co. $1,734,000   810 $2,141   $1,734,000 3
- (17) Finding Dory Walt Disney $634,000 -30% 345 $1,838   $479,602,645 73
- (18) Ice Age: Collision Course 20th Century Fox $480,000 -47% 455 $1,055   $61,686,729 38
- (24) The BFG Walt Disney $291,000 -19% 235 $1,238   $54,296,619 59
- (35) The Jungle Book Walt Disney $271,000 +110% 352 $770   $363,545,049 136
- new Tunnel Well Go USA $180,465   36 $5,013   $180,465 3
- (28) Hunt for the Wilderpeople The Orchard $117,000 -29% 100 $1,170   $4,387,303 66
- (40) Captain America: Civil War Walt Disney $79,000 -16% 93 $849   $407,826,164 115
- (33) Independence Day: Resurgence 20th Century Fox $64,000 -52% 112 $571   $102,871,487 66
- new Mia madre Music Box Films $35,000   6 $5,833   $35,000 3
- (66) Ixcanul Kino Lorber $19,000 +218% 6 $3,167   $45,419 10
- (53) Alice Through the Looking G… Walt Disney $13,000 -37% 25 $520   $77,038,690 94
- (73) Miss Sharon Jones Starz Media $12,232 +331% 10 $1,223   $73,745 31
- (57) The Music of Strangers: Yo … The Orchard $11,248 -1% 18 $625   $1,121,202 80
- (48) Gleason Open Road $9,682 -73% 35 $277   $575,713 31
- new Fatima Kino Lorber $6,400   1 $6,400   $6,400 3
- (68) Life, Animated The Orchard $3,781 -20% 60 $63   $224,320 5
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