kayumanggi Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 (edited) http://www.deadline....-big-miracle-3/ FRIDAY 10 PM, 2ND UPDATE: It’s another bigger-than-predicted box office this Super Bowl weekend with the movie studios focused on counterprogramming the game. Many of my sources say CBS Films’ The Woman In Black is looking to edge Fox’s Chronicle for No. 1 this weekend with $8.8M vs $8.6M respectively Friday and $20M by Monday. Trust me, no one in Hollywood projected either movie would get near $20M so this gives new meaning to the term ‘overperform’. But the town is thrilled that 2012 keeps logging good grosses. The lead for Woman In Black which audiences gave a ‘B-’ CinemaScore has shifted back and forth numerous times in the past hours. ButChronicle with its ‘B’ CinemaScore will lose guys on Sunday so CBS Films should overtake. Starring Harry Potter himself, Daniel Radcliffe, gal-oriented Woman In Black is a low-cost/high-reward bonanza, especially because the marketing spend was kept to a $14M bare minimum. The weekend’s biggest budget debut is Universal’s Big Miracle which is No. 4 heading for $2.3M Friday and $8M weekend with good word-of-mouth from its ‘A-’ CinemaScore. Last week’s big winner, Open Road’s The Grey is #3 with a solid -52% hold. Full analysis in the morning. 1. The Woman in Black (CBS Films) NEW [2,855 Theaters] Est Friday $8.8M, Est Weekend $20M 2. Chronicle (Fox) NEW [2,907 Theaters] Est Friday $8.6M, Est Weekend $20M 3. The Grey (Open Road) Week 2 [3,207 Theaters] Est Friday $3.1M (-52%), Est Weekend $9M, Est Cume $34.2M 4. Big Miracle (Universal) NEW [2,129 Theaters] Est Friday $2.3M, Est Weekend $8M 5. Underworld Awakening (Sony) Week 3 [2,636 Theaters] Est Friday $1.8M (-46%), Est Weekend $6M, Est Cume $54.7M 6. One For The Money (Lionsgate) Week 2 [2,737 Theaters] Est Friday $1.7M (-58%), Est Weekend $4.7M, Est Cume $19.1M 7.Red Tails (LucasFilm/Fox) Week 3 [2,347 Theaters] Est Friday $1.5M, Est Weekend $4.6M, Est Cume $40.8M 8. Man On A Ledge (Summit) Week 2 [2,998 Theaters] Est Friiday $1.5M (-39%), Est Weekend $4.6M, Est Cume $14.8M 9. The Descendants (Fox Searchlight) Week 12 [2,038 Theaters] Est Friday $1.3M, Est Weekend $4.5M, Est Cume $65.3M) 10. Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close (Warner Bros) Week 7 [2,505 Theaters] Est Friday $112M, Est Weekend $4M, Est Cume $26.9M Edited February 5, 2012 by kayumanggi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 What's the number for Chronicle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warrior21 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Good number for The Women in Black! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kyky Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 That's good, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 (edited) This is already better than last year's Super Bowl weekend. Another win for 2012. Edited February 4, 2012 by lab276 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Not surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Hope Chronicle goes up. Great film! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 No number for CHRONICLE yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonytr87 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 (edited) The box office is weird nowadays. How a generic R-rated crime thriller, the umpteenth exorcism film, and the fourth movie in a tired franchise that is STILL aping The Matrix all open bigger than Chronicle is strange, strange, strange. The Grey too, although that one at least looks pretty decent. Edited February 4, 2012 by tonytr87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 I wanted 9-10m for Chronicle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 (edited) The box office is weird nowadays. How a generic R-rated crime thriller and the umpteenth exorcism film open bigger than Chronicle is strange, strange, strange. The Grey too, although that one at least looks pretty decent.The box office has always been strange. Edited February 4, 2012 by lab276 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rb02 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 (edited) The box office is weird nowadays. How a generic R-rated crime thriller and the umpteenth exorcism film open bigger than Chronicle is strange, strange, strange. The Grey too, although that one at least looks pretty decent.WIB has nothing to do with exorcisms, and it is not a suprise to see an overhyped Internet fanboy movie disappoint. Edited February 4, 2012 by rb02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 (edited) 15M-odd seems about right for Chronicle. My prediction was 16M. I think there was only really any hype for this at all on the internet and therefore the opening is expected. Edited February 4, 2012 by Magic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 It's funny seeing the word "disappoint" connected to the openers despite the fact that all were modestly budgeted. 3 M, 12 M... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonytr87 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 (edited) WIB has nothing to do with exorcims at all, and it is not a suprise at all to see an overhyped Internet fanboy movie disappoint.I was referring to The Devil Inside. Overhyped? Where? Here? LMAO...I don't base my expectations on what people on forums think. I base it on the trailers. They were great, the reviews are great, and the movie is close to great. It'll still be a success, I guess I just don't see how the aforementioned films held more appeal on OW.I imagine Radcliffe is helping Woman in Black, and apparently it's not too bad. Edited February 4, 2012 by tonytr87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 If Chronicle makes 15 m OW how much do you guys think will be the final domestic gross? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 45 M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claire of Themyscira Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Great for the Woman in Black. Hope $16m holds! Right on target for Chronicle. My prediction was about $14.5m! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Chronicle deserves more, it was a great film. People should go out and see it. My 2nd favorite found footage film after Cloverfield. I liked it more so than Paranormal Activity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrWhoopee Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 The Woman in Black was the best horror movie I've seen in years. My theater was full capacity for the 7:00 show. The audiences reaction was very very good, tons of screaming and a standing ovation at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
