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AndyLL

My old nemesis: derby! | Week 39

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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bvHBktkvF7OEsiRKSDracMLinyHO-GbhVBEg2OovNkA/edit?usp=sharing

down to 29 players. we were holding 45+ for months, I thought we would have started increasing at some point

 

The wild life could be a Derby killer for some if it drops 70%+ like Norm did, another poorly received movie that held well its second weekend but got crushed when panda came out.  AB also drop 70% when it went up against FD. Otherwise there shouldn't be any other surprises this weekend should see some scores back in the 90s.

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13 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Where have our players gone?  Pretty soon there will only be 20 of us.

Maybe to see Joe dimaggio

Didn't BOM have 100 players weekly?

 

Deadlines fri multies were off when compared to last year and last week.  I adjusted. They came out early, safe to assume Friday estimates are off as well.  No est for TWL. I put in 1m, 10% lower than Kubo, I think it'll be lower though.

I punched in various numbers as possiblities and @moviecriticguy always stays on top. The rest shifts a bit. Good luck for battle of second.

 

moviecriticguy    92.72
Rolling Thunder    88.84
Matrix4You    87.64
No Prisoners    87
TalismanRing    86.13
Fanboy    85.77
Horror Wizard    85.75
Wildbill    85.55
8wombi7    85.22
darkelf    84.68
Wonka    84.59
Simionski    83.95
Bates    83.6
Lights Camera Action    83.33
Exxdee    83.09
boxofficeth    82.72
JMorphin    82.3
nelmsey    81.48
luxneji    81.26
Tower    81.24
WrathOfHan    80.69
PanaMovie    79.58
Boxx93    78.26
AABATTERY    78.25
Viceversa    78.06
Padre    77.56
ChD    71.38
Blankments    70.87
RandomJC    70.2

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The wild life delivered as the derby killer. Worse than I thought, will only make 500k~ down 80+%

1    Wildbill    84.53
2    moviecriticguy    81.36
3    No Prisoners    81.19
4    Fanboy    80.17
5    Rolling Thunder    79.15
6    Wonka    79.12
7    luxneji    78.94
8    Lights Camera Action    77.99
9    Horror Wizard    77.65
10    TalismanRing    77.48
11    Padre    77.2
12    Matrix4You    77.04
13    8wombi7    75.84
14    Tower    75.59
15    darkelf    75.31
16    Bates    75.25
17    Exxdee    75.19
18    WrathOfHan    74.89
19    AABATTERY    74.71
20    PanaMovie    74.69
21    Simionski    73.99
22    boxofficeth    73.07
23    nelmsey    72.85
24    Blankments    72.14
25    ChD    72.1
26    RandomJC    71.35
27    JMorphin    70.82
28    Viceversa    70.75
29    Boxx93    69.51

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God damn Storks ruined my first week of this game.

 

Any reason why in the weekly standing I don't show up at all for this week?

 

Edit: How in the seven hells did The Wild Life drop 80 god damn percent?
 

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1 hour ago, ChD said:

God damn Storks ruined my first week of this game.

 

Any reason why in the weekly standing I don't show up at all for this week?

 

Edit: How in the seven hells did The Wild Life drop 80 god damn percent?
 

This week hasn't been updated yet

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Another interesting week.


Congrats @Wildbill

 

1 Wildbill 80.487% 68.763% 83.418% 5.518% 29 10
2 luxneji 80.253% 66.099% 83.791% 5.284% 28 10
3 moviecriticguy 79.911% 76.304% 80.813% 4.942% 27 10
4 Rolling Thunder 78.969% 74.735% 80.028% 4.000% 26 10
5 Lights Camera Action 78.935% 67.676% 81.749% 3.966% 25 10
6 Fanboy 78.777% 80.171% 78.428% 3.808% 24 10
7 Wonka 78.656% 97.721% 73.890% 3.687% 23 10
8 Tower 76.855% 55.919% 82.089% 1.887% 22 10
9 No Prisoners 76.550% 57.998% 81.189% 1.582% 21 10
10 TalismanRing 76.522% 66.745% 78.966% 1.553% 20 10
11 AABATTERY 76.134% 56.455% 81.054% 1.165% 19 10
12 8wombi7 75.381% 64.338% 78.142% 0.413% 18 10
13 ChD 75.013% 62.477% 78.147% 0.044% 17 10
14 Exxdee 74.981% 61.589% 78.328% 0.012% 16 10
15 WrathOfHan 74.626% 53.037% 80.023% -0.343% 15 10
16 PanaMovie 74.336% 69.326% 75.588% -0.634% 14 10
17 Matrix4You 74.293% 61.147% 77.580% -0.676% 13 10
18 Horror Wizard 74.016% 69.755% 75.081% -0.953% 12 10
19 darkelf 73.601% 62.588% 76.354% -1.368% 11 10
20 boxofficeth 73.348% 45.401% 80.335% -1.620% 10 10
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On 9/25/2016 at 4:53 AM, JohnnY said:

I keep missing the deadline...

Btw, the lack of players is making the game less appealing.

I don't get it, we are in a box office forum, why aren't users interested in predicting box office?

 

Maybe they're interested but just keep missing the deadline.  :lol:

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19 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Maybe they're interested but just keep missing the deadline.  :lol:

 

I've missed it the last 2 weeks and I run the game.

 

However I have tried to think of ways to get more people involved.

 

One of the problems is that you guys are too damn good and it's hard to win a week/month/season/year.

 

I'm open to ideas on how to make the game more enjoyable week to week for the casual players.

 

I was hoping the tournaments would bring in people but I'm not sure that's worked out.

 

  

 

 

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22 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

 

I've missed it the last 2 weeks and I run the game.

 

However I have tried to think of ways to get more people involved.

 

One of the problems is that you guys are too damn good and it's hard to win a week/month/season/year.

 

I'm open to ideas on how to make the game more enjoyable week to week for the casual players.

 

I was hoping the tournaments would bring in people but I'm not sure that's worked out.

 

 

I could see where it would be daunting just to jump in though this last month has shown how unpredictable it can be (and awful some of the top players can be. ahem.).

 

Maybe a prize (a week free membership) for newbie players - the best results for first time players or those who've played less than say 5 or 10 times?

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From a general observation, it seems BOT has a large number (many hundreds?) of users that have never played the Derby.  I'd have to figure a percentage of them would be up for giving it a shot, so is it a question of visibility/awareness?  Discussing box office and predicting it goes hand-in-hand for many; I think we could expand the pool of players to a solid number if we can get the word out here on BOT.  Not sure what would be too intrusive - a banner at the top of the home page, a pop-up for any user signing in, etc.  I know the Derby started off very promising and, unless countless dozens became immediately discouraged, there has to be a reason for the steady decline.

 

How did BOM maintain consistent participation?  If memory serves, they always had 100-200 players during non-peak months and 400-500 during the summer/holidays (or when a major event film was opening). 

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7 minutes ago, Rolling Thunder said:

From a general observation, it seems BOT has a large number (many hundreds?) of users that have never played the Derby.  I'd have to figure a percentage of them would be up for giving it a shot, so is it a question of visibility/awareness?  Discussing box office and predicting it goes hand-in-hand for many; I think we could expand the pool of players to a solid number if we can get the word out here on BOT.  Not sure what would be too intrusive - a banner at the top of the home page, a pop-up for any user signing in, etc.  I know the Derby started off very promising and, unless countless dozens became immediately discouraged, there has to be a reason for the steady decline.

 

How did BOM maintain consistent participation?  If memory serves, they always had 100-200 players during non-peak months and 400-500 during the summer/holidays (or when a major event film was opening). 

 

 

I never played them but didn't BOM have a link to the Derby on their main site page so anyone checking for numbers would have seen it? 

 

This doesn't have the same kind of front page so a banner could help as well as reminders/prompts in the Daily or W/E Number threads.

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7 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

 

I never played them but didn't BOM have a link to the Derby on their main site page so anyone checking for numbers would have seen it? 

 

This doesn't have the same kind of front page so a banner could help as well as reminders/prompts in the Daily or W/E Number threads.

 

Yes, BOM had a visible "Derby" link on the left side of the homepage - hard to miss.  I was sad when BOM threw in the towel, thrilled to see it resurrected here, and believe we'll see participation grow.  Perhaps we'lost some players when school started again though it doesn't take but a few minutes to at least toss up some predictions.

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another ugly week. for Wild Life i was thinking 'ah, it loses a bunch of theaters but there is no direct competition...'. it was until saturday when i realized 'dammit, Storks IS direct competition!' but i wouldn't have predicted a 85% drop, so it doesn't matter much :)

 

congrats @Wildbill!

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