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YourMother

Hooked On A Feeling: GOTGV2 OW over $150M

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8 hours ago, YourMother said:

Marvel is paying the critics again. GV2 at 92% at 36 reviews. Anymore takers/betrayals/defectors?

Paying critics? :rolleyes: please, tell me why Iron Fist got shit reviews if Marvel pays critics.  If people like the movie, they like the movie. Like who really gives a shit?

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5 minutes ago, cheesypoofs said:

Paying critics? :rolleyes: please, tell me why Iron Fist got shit reviews if Marvel pays critics.  If people like the movie, they like the movie. Like who really gives a shit?

It's a popular joke that Marvel pays critics.

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8 hours ago, Hatebox said:

Easy in, even with the good but not outstanding reviews. Surprised people are doubting it.

I would love for it to do more, but the first did open with what about 98m? I think a 45-50m jump is fair. I over-predicted AoU and CW. My gut is telling me 145m for this which would be outstanding for it honestly because I'm sure legs will be good enough since it doesn't require you to see as many films as AoU and CW had.

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1 minute ago, YourMother said:

It's a popular joke that Marvel pays critics.

I know, I just think it's ridiculous/

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1 minute ago, cheesypoofs said:

I know, I just think it's ridiculous/

If it were even true, DC fanboys don't realize it damages the genre as a whole.

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6 hours ago, DeeCee said:

The release pattern is so different both in Australia from the first one to this one and comparing Australia to Domestic that's it very hard to compare.

 

All things being equal the increase in Australia suggests a Domestic OW increase of around 150%.  I'm thinking $140-160m.

 

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Lol at the previous page. When you get successfully trolled by Napoleon, of all posters, you know your forum game is bad.

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My range is $140-160m. I suspect it's more likely to surprise on the upside so I'm in. 

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8 hours ago, JJ-8 said:

 

My thoughts for the weekend

 

thurs 1.2m

fri 2.4m

sat 3.3m

sun 3.2m

 

10.1m weekend. 

 

I suspect if if we had a normal 4 day we would gotten something close to this

thurs 3.5m

fri 3m

sat 3.5m

sun 3.4m

13.4m ow. 

 

For comparison opening weekends

Civil war AU = 14m

civil war us = 179m

GOTG 2 projected us = 171m

 

using GOTG

GOTG Au = 6.6m / 8.9m. I'm using 8m ow in this case to compare. 

Gotg us = 94m

project us opening = 157m

 

i think above 150m us opening looks very likely based on this. I think around 165m seems right at this point but I should note the range here is still 150m to 170m. 

 

 

 

 

 

Can someone help me with the AUD to USD OW conversion?

Edited by YourMother

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oh yep i'm in ... 165m is my prediction (based upon what yourmother quoted above.... )  still an extrapolation... but we will know more by monday once we have the final AUD numbers in.

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2 hours ago, YourMother said:

Can someone help me with the AUD to USD OW conversion?

 

see my post in the AU thread ... hopefully explains it better!

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Since I've only seen the one BOGO deal (from weeks ago), I'm gonna be OUT.  I think this will land somewhere in the $130s OW and the low $300s for total BO...

 

I know that's pessimistic, but when people say there is no plot, that's not a selling point.  Even Deadpool, which went the total humor route, had a surprisingly tight plot to hang its humor on.

 

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50 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Since I've only seen the one BOGO deal (from weeks ago), I'm gonna be OUT.  I think this will land somewhere in the $130s OW and the low $300s for total BO...

 

I know that's pessimistic, but when people say there is no plot, that's not a selling point.  Even Deadpool, which went the total humor route, had a surprisingly tight plot to hang its humor on.

 

The plot is really simple, but the film has a plot and it's really funny, emotional and exciting... i really don't think the simple plot will affect this, it has a lot of qualities.

 

Also the wom seems really good in a lot of markets the film is already released [including here in Brazil]

Edited by ThomasNicole
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$101.2M international opening weekend, minus China, South Korea and Russia.

 

What can we deduce from that?

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1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

The plot is really simple, but the film has a plot and it's really funny, emotional and exciting... i really don't think the simple plot will affect this, it has a lot of qualities.

 

Also the wom seems really good in a lot of markets the film is already released [including here in Brazil]

 

I'm going for the characters, not a plot.  I don't even remember the last one, just that Groot saved the day, but I loved it.

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