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THOR: RAGNAROK | 538.9 M overseas ● 854.0 M worldwide

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4 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Means 100 million in China maybe?

 

Presales are not that good atm. It really needs to pick up some steam

 

Based on presale i have lowered my guesstimate to 85-100 mill but that can change. Hope for 100 mil+l are not dead yet

Edited by fmpro
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3 hours ago, fmpro said:

 

Presales are not that good atm. It really needs to pick up some steam

 

Based on presale i have lowered my guesstimate to 85-100 mill but that can change. Hope for 100 mil+l are not dead yet

Presales are 10% better than DS, right?

 I  think 100M isn't too hard.

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6 minutes ago, Olive said:

Presales are 10% better than DS, right?

 I  think 100M isn't too hard.

 

I seem to recall that DS had “great legs” compared to what we see these days..

But i still belive its possible. It will have Geostorm*2 PS on monday and that will open to 30 mill++..

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@ZeeSoh can you please tell me the estimated o/w of current opened markets?

TDW did $438m OS.

 

Argentina Disney 11/14/13 $1,734,845 30.7% $5,646,086 2/23/14
Australia Disney 10/31/13 $6,804,662 33.2% $20,494,942 12/22/13
Austria Disney 10/31/13 $935,519 36.5% $2,561,728 12/22/13
Belgium Disney 10/30/13 $944,545 42.4% $2,230,285 1/12/14
Bolivia Disney 11/7/13 $228,827 20.6% $1,108,797 1/12/14
Brazil Disney 11/1/13 $6,691,007 24.1% $27,751,884 2/2/14
Bulgaria Disney 11/1/13 $233,383 26.4% $883,334 1/19/14
Chile Disney 11/7/13 $972,471 29.2% $3,330,635 2/9/14
China HuaXia 11/8/13 $20,980,000 37.9% $55,340,000 12/8/13
Colombia Disney 11/1/13 $1,627,176 25.8% $6,297,962 1/19/14
Croatia Disney 11/7/13 $122,662 39.6% $309,572 12/22/13
Czech Republic Falcon 11/7/13 $543,311 38.9% $1,398,191 1/5/14
Denmark Disney 10/31/13 $849,842 39.9% $2,128,547 12/8/13
East Africa Disney 11/8/13 $58,740 28.7% $204,454 3/16/14
Ecuador Disney 11/8/13 $948,093 34% $2,790,162 12/29/13
Egypt Disney 11/6/13 $84,012 15.7% $536,616 1/19/14
Finland Disney 10/30/13 $304,733 27% $1,129,411 12/15/13
France Disney 10/30/13 $9,943,279 44.6% $22,289,092 12/8/13
Germany Disney 10/31/13 $8,308,931 40.8% $20,356,156 12/29/13
Greece Disney 11/21/13 $546,600 43.1% $1,267,903 12/15/13
Hong Kong Disney 10/31/13 $2,055,137 43.4% $4,730,882 12/15/13
Hungary Forum 11/14/13 $464,669 42.1% $1,104,097 12/22/13
Iceland Disney 11/1/13 $95,935 31.3% $306,525 12/22/13
India Disney 11/8/13 $1,676,314 46.6% $3,598,734 12/8/13
Israel Disney 10/31/13 $403,587 35.1% $1,149,742 12/15/13
Italy Disney 11/20/13 $4,964,804 44.4% $11,176,894 12/15/13
Japan Disney 2/1/14 $1,833,451 30.5% $6,017,520 3/2/14
Lebanon Disney 11/7/13 $193,298 36.9% $523,712 12/8/13
Malaysia Disney 10/31/13 $3,634,582 41.2% $8,819,558 1/26/14
Mexico Disney 11/1/13 $8,256,931 34.6% $23,857,540 12/29/13
Netherlands Disney 10/31/13 $1,017,499 31.7% $3,212,754 12/8/13
New Zealand Disney 10/31/13 $934,525 33.5% $2,790,409 12/29/13
Nigeria - 11/8/13 $57,659 35.1% $164,215 11/24/13
Norway Disney 11/1/13 - - $2,546,889 12/8/13
Peru Disney 11/7/13 $1,380,237 34.2% $4,040,720 12/29/13
Philippines Disney 10/30/13 $4,625,040 58.2% $7,950,502 12/22/13
Poland Disney 11/8/13 $1,043,909 33% $3,160,256 1/5/14
Portugal - 10/31/13 $497,854 33.5% $1,485,608 1/5/14
Russia - CIS Disney 10/31/13 $7,591,036 21.2% $35,732,140 12/15/13
Serbia & Montenegro - 11/7/13 $31,674 21.6% $146,913 12/15/13
Singapore Disney 10/31/13 $2,858,414 45.4% $6,300,035 12/29/13
Slovakia Saturn 11/7/13 $192,917 39.1% $493,999 12/8/13
Slovenia Disney 10/31/13 $40,992 27.7% $148,061 12/22/13
South Africa SterKine 11/8/13 $527,618 25.5% $2,068,342 12/29/13
South Korea Disney 10/30/13 $6,114,417 29% $21,114,584 12/1/13
Spain Disney 10/31/13 $3,339,249 37.7% $8,862,218 1/12/14
Sweden Disney 10/30/13 $1,162,406 29.5% $3,944,319 12/22/13
Thailand Disney 11/7/13 $2,354,229 51.7% $4,552,606 12/15/13
Turkey UIP 11/1/13 $1,009,317 27.3% $3,692,896 12/15/13
Ukraine Disney 10/31/13 $898,768 32.2% $2,787,498 12/15/13
United Arab Emirates Disney 11/7/13 $1,567,488 45.4% $3,451,574 2/2/14
United Kingdom Disney 10/30/13 $13,804,931 43.4% $31,811,834 1/5/14
Uruguay Disney 11/7/13 $75,163 36.6% $205,337 12/22/13
Venezuela Disney 11/8/13 $1,397,306 15.3% $9,147,580 3/2/14

 

TDW opened with $13.8m in UK. Ragnarok is estimated to open with $17m. Looks like the trend with almost all the countries. 27% increase in uk.

In brazil $7.7m to $6.7m of TDW. 13% increase.

In australia $7.7m to $6.8m of TDW. 12% increase.

$1.37m to $0.93m in NZ. 31% increase.

Edited by damnitgeorge08
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11 minutes ago, damnitgeorge08 said:

@ZeeSoh can you please tell me the estimated o/w of current opened markets?

TDW did $438m OS.

Spoiler


Argentina Disney 11/14/13 $1,734,845 30.7% $5,646,086 2/23/14
Australia Disney 10/31/13 $6,804,662 33.2% $20,494,942 12/22/13
Austria Disney 10/31/13 $935,519 36.5% $2,561,728 12/22/13
Belgium Disney 10/30/13 $944,545 42.4% $2,230,285 1/12/14
Bolivia Disney 11/7/13 $228,827 20.6% $1,108,797 1/12/14
Brazil Disney 11/1/13 $6,691,007 24.1% $27,751,884 2/2/14
Bulgaria Disney 11/1/13 $233,383 26.4% $883,334 1/19/14
Chile Disney 11/7/13 $972,471 29.2% $3,330,635 2/9/14
China HuaXia 11/8/13 $20,980,000 37.9% $55,340,000 12/8/13
Colombia Disney 11/1/13 $1,627,176 25.8% $6,297,962 1/19/14
Croatia Disney 11/7/13 $122,662 39.6% $309,572 12/22/13
Czech Republic Falcon 11/7/13 $543,311 38.9% $1,398,191 1/5/14
Denmark Disney 10/31/13 $849,842 39.9% $2,128,547 12/8/13
East Africa Disney 11/8/13 $58,740 28.7% $204,454 3/16/14
Ecuador Disney 11/8/13 $948,093 34% $2,790,162 12/29/13
Egypt Disney 11/6/13 $84,012 15.7% $536,616 1/19/14
Finland Disney 10/30/13 $304,733 27% $1,129,411 12/15/13
France Disney 10/30/13 $9,943,279 44.6% $22,289,092 12/8/13
Germany Disney 10/31/13 $8,308,931 40.8% $20,356,156 12/29/13
Greece Disney 11/21/13 $546,600 43.1% $1,267,903 12/15/13
Hong Kong Disney 10/31/13 $2,055,137 43.4% $4,730,882 12/15/13
Hungary Forum 11/14/13 $464,669 42.1% $1,104,097 12/22/13
Iceland Disney 11/1/13 $95,935 31.3% $306,525 12/22/13
India Disney 11/8/13 $1,676,314 46.6% $3,598,734 12/8/13
Israel Disney 10/31/13 $403,587 35.1% $1,149,742 12/15/13
Italy Disney 11/20/13 $4,964,804 44.4% $11,176,894 12/15/13
Japan Disney 2/1/14 $1,833,451 30.5% $6,017,520 3/2/14
Lebanon Disney 11/7/13 $193,298 36.9% $523,712 12/8/13
Malaysia Disney 10/31/13 $3,634,582 41.2% $8,819,558 1/26/14
Mexico Disney 11/1/13 $8,256,931 34.6% $23,857,540 12/29/13
Netherlands Disney 10/31/13 $1,017,499 31.7% $3,212,754 12/8/13
New Zealand Disney 10/31/13 $934,525 33.5% $2,790,409 12/29/13
Nigeria - 11/8/13 $57,659 35.1% $164,215 11/24/13
Norway Disney 11/1/13 - - $2,546,889 12/8/13
Peru Disney 11/7/13 $1,380,237 34.2% $4,040,720 12/29/13
Philippines Disney 10/30/13 $4,625,040 58.2% $7,950,502 12/22/13
Poland Disney 11/8/13 $1,043,909 33% $3,160,256 1/5/14
Portugal - 10/31/13 $497,854 33.5% $1,485,608 1/5/14
Russia - CIS Disney 10/31/13 $7,591,036 21.2% $35,732,140 12/15/13
Serbia & Montenegro - 11/7/13 $31,674 21.6% $146,913 12/15/13
Singapore Disney 10/31/13 $2,858,414 45.4% $6,300,035 12/29/13
Slovakia Saturn 11/7/13 $192,917 39.1% $493,999 12/8/13
Slovenia Disney 10/31/13 $40,992 27.7% $148,061 12/22/13
South Africa SterKine 11/8/13 $527,618 25.5% $2,068,342 12/29/13
South Korea Disney 10/30/13 $6,114,417 29% $21,114,584 12/1/13
Spain Disney 10/31/13 $3,339,249 37.7% $8,862,218 1/12/14
Sweden Disney 10/30/13 $1,162,406 29.5% $3,944,319 12/22/13
Thailand Disney 11/7/13 $2,354,229 51.7% $4,552,606 12/15/13
Turkey UIP 11/1/13 $1,009,317 27.3% $3,692,896 12/15/13
Ukraine Disney 10/31/13 $898,768 32.2% $2,787,498 12/15/13
United Arab Emirates Disney 11/7/13 $1,567,488 45.4% $3,451,574 2/2/14
United Kingdom Disney 10/30/13 $13,804,931 43.4% $31,811,834 1/5/14
Uruguay Disney 11/7/13 $75,163 36.6% $205,337 12/22/13
Venezuela Disney 11/8/13 $1,397,306 15.3% $9,147,580 3/2/14

 

 

 

TDW opened with $13.8m in UK. Ragnarok is estimated to open with $17m. Looks like the trend with almost all the countries.

1

An 20% increase overseas means around 520 m OS which gives Ragnarok a solid chance at 800-850 m WW.

 

Marvel Studios has a shot a 5 movies in a row over 800 m, assuming OS audiences don't bail on Black Panther.

Edited by grey ghost
  • Astonished 1
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From what I know and whats been posted in their respective threads. 

 

Brazil - 25m OW (same as Logan)

UK - Around 17m OW (Guardians 2 did 17.84 in 4 days)

Aus - 10m for 4 days (I think)

NZ - around 2 million

HK - 30% better than Thor 2

Taipei - 53m+

 

All numbers in local currency. We should get numbers from Deadline soon

 

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6 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

From what I know and whats been posted in their respective threads. 

 

Brazil - 25m OW (same as Logan)

UK - Around 17m OW (Guardians 2 did 17.84 in 4 days)

Aus - 10m for 4 days (I think)

NZ - around 2 million

HK - 30% better than Thor 2

Taipei - 53m+

 

All numbers in local currency. We should get numbers from Deadline soon

 

TDW opened with $13.8m in UK. Ragnarok is estimated to open with $17m. Looks like the trend with almost all the countries. 27% increase in uk.
In brazil $7.7m to $6.7m of TDW. 13% increase.
In australia $7.7m to $6.8m of TDW. 12% increase.
$1.37m to $0.93m in NZ. 31% increase.

Around 10-30% increase despite terrible ER. TDW only did $55m in china. So, around $50m increase there. $500m seems very possible.

Edited by damnitgeorge08
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