cannastop Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Take a look at the movies announced beyond 2018: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/schedule/?view=bydate&release=theatrical&yr=2018&p=.htm As you can see, the only thing scheduled for 2021 is Fast & Furious 10, and who knows if people are even going to watch that. In fact, it seems that no studios has long term plans beyond 2020. WB mostly has vague "Event Films" scheduled then. Somehow I doubt that the Fantastic Beasts series is going to last for more than 3 entries. Their DCEU movies will hinge on the success of Justice League in 2017, so they better hope that Zack Synder doesn't alienate the audience again. Maybe Battfleck can be interesting, though. King Disney might have some issues as well. Their new Star Wars trilogy will end in 2019, leaving them with spinoffs for a few more years. Would they be so bold as to announce Star Wars X, XI and XII? Also, the current crop of Avengers will end their Infinity War in 2019 in some untitled sequel. What will they do after that? Will recasting be in order? I predict that 2020 will see a sharp revenue drop from 2019, and 2021 will drop from 2020. Who knows what comes after that. I think right now is the golden age of blockbusters. Then again, maybe James Cameron's 4 Avatar movies will swoop in and save the day. You never know. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franfar Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 That's five years from now. A bunch of movies could switch their release dates 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 I don't think you can make any such broad predictions five years out. Consider what we knew about movies coming out right now back in 2011. That was before the Lucasfilm deal, so any Star Wars movies were only in the vaguest sense. The Clone Wars was midway through its run, but that was basically it in terms of additional media. Also, the MCU was in a good setup phase, but it was hardly the dominant franchise that it would become. Neither Thor or CA1 crested 200m, after all. Man of Steel was in production, but there wasn't anything about how the DCEU would develop from it. (WB'd made noise for years about a desire to do Justice League and all, but it stood then that the initial film would have to succeed for it to continue.) Harry Potter had just finished, and even if the popularity was strong, nobody had a clue about any future films in the series. Could anyone have predicted animation to turn into the genre juggernaut it's become? Pixar had just released its worst received film by far. WDAS had a bright spot the previous year in Tangled, but that was a modest success all things considered. Nobody had a clue about what Frozen, much less Zootopia, would do, either commercially or critically. And while Despicable Me was a great success, Illumination had yet to prove it could follow it up with an equally big success. We didn't know that the F&F franchise would become one of the biggest on the planet. Fast 5 was a stunning success, yes, but for the next two films to grow on it and capture and amazing international audience? Not something that anyone predicted. Disney had only done one of the fairy tale updates, and while Alice had done very well, I believe even in 2011 people realized that the 3D aspect was a big reason it did, and there wasn't a lot of indication that the success could be matched. Plus, Jon Favreau's first post-Iron Man gig (after he'd lost out on the Avengers director's chair) was the less than well received, critically and commercially. Would anyone have pegged The Jungle Book to be one of the year's biggest films after seeing what his efforts were like outside of the Marvel banner. "From the director of Cowboys and Aliens" doesn't really inspire confidence. The thing is, while the industry is focused on franchises, possibly to the detriment of many things, franchises do shift around. It takes about, what, three years or so for a film to come together from rough concept to release, so the 2021 films are probably only going to start becoming a reality in the next couple of years. It's too early right now to say. 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Do studios usually announce their films more than a few years in advance? I don't think we had release dates for many of the movies we've had this year back in 2011 and 2012. My guess would be that there will be plenty of good movies in 2020 and beyond, and it's just too early to announce them yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted November 6, 2016 Author Share Posted November 6, 2016 17 minutes ago, fracfar said: That's five years from now. A bunch of movies could switch their release dates Sure, but I think there's a cycle that's ending in 2020, and I think movie studios are apprehensive about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted November 6, 2016 Author Share Posted November 6, 2016 Only quoting a few parts. 9 minutes ago, DamienRoc said: Could anyone have predicted animation to turn into the genre juggernaut it's become? Pixar had just released its worst received film by far. WDAS had a bright spot the previous year in Tangled, but that was a modest success all things considered. Nobody had a clue about what Frozen, much less Zootopia, would do, either commercially or critically. And while Despicable Me was a great success, Illumination had yet to prove it could follow it up with an equally big success. Everyone knew animated features were big. Just look back on Dreamwork's successes back then. In fact, 2010 was huge for animation from multiple studios. 11 minutes ago, DamienRoc said: The thing is, while the industry is focused on franchises, possibly to the detriment of many things, franchises do shift around. It takes about, what, three years or so for a film to come together from rough concept to release, so the 2021 films are probably only going to start becoming a reality in the next couple of years. It's too early right now to say. The problem is that franchises are decades in the making. Marvel, DC and Lucasfilm are productive wells now, but they can run dry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 (edited) 2021 is five years from now! it wasn't until recently that people (the AG anyways) had any idea of films releasing that far out, with the extent of one or two tentative titles maybe. I do feel like we are in a franchise oversaturation right now and by 2020, a shift in how many of those kinds of movies we make could take place and give way for more mid-budget films and original content to be released. that is my hope anyway. and Yeah after Avengers 4, the MCU will probably be past its golden age, but they could still be very successful with whatever they do, hell maybe WB will have finally figured out how to make good DC films by then, and be the leading force in Superhero films. and as far as Star Wars goes I'm almost positive either an Ep X-XII will be released sometime in the 2020s or some other trilogy, KOTOR maybe. Anyways who knows, it may shift maybe film revenue will decrease, maybe it won't. it's all mostly speculation at this point. Edited November 7, 2016 by Kalo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 2021 will definately be a key point for the 2 biggest brands right now, Star Wars and Marvel. Both of them will have a finale of sorts in 2019 and we have to see how strong they will be in the years after. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 19, 2016 Share Posted December 19, 2016 All I know the DCU will not make a positive reviewed film still Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Safeno Rdz Posted December 29, 2018 Share Posted December 29, 2018 On 12/18/2016 at 6:51 PM, Lordmandeep said: All I know the DCU will not make a positive reviewed film still 2 years later, and actually it did score a well reviewd film with Wonder woman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 22 hours ago, Safeno Rdz said: 2 years later, and actually it did score a well reviewd film with Wonder woman And Aquaman. it's should be even higher though... I think DC will finally start getting a good rep in the 2020s and maybe even over take Marvel in popularity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 OP didn't consider that blockbuster films released between 2017-2019 would get sequels to feed that 2021 pipeline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Community Manager Water Bottle Posted October 11, 2023 Community Manager Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 11/5/2016 at 5:41 PM, BadAtGender said: I don't think you can make any such broad predictions five years out. Yes 2020 crashed but 2021 did better than 2020 so yes cannastop was wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...