Chasmmi's Winter Game 2016 - Current Standings

[chasmmi]

I had a dream that I went gold for every one of my OW predictions. 

[Plain Old Tele]

Fortunately for us, it was just a dream. 

[chasmmi]

On 2016. 11. 28. at 1:36 PM, Grand Moff Tele said:

Fortunately for us, it was just a dream. 

 

Yeah, sadly the run has ended as my prediction for Moana was too accurate to register as Gold.  

[That One Girl]

On ‎11‎/‎7‎/‎2016 at 5:50 PM, Spaghetti said:

MONSTER TRUCKS (1/23)

JJ-8: $122.1m

 

AHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHA

[chasmmi]

13 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

AHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHA

 

I know, It makes the $85M Rings prediction someone made look sane  

[grey ghost]

So, about those standings updates. 

[JJ-8]

9 hours ago, That One Guy said:

 

AHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHA

 

8 hours ago, chasmmi said:

 

I know, It makes the $85M Rings prediction someone made look sane  

I have no words that adequately explain my top 15 this winter game.  I'm actually embarrassed i posted this. 

 

Ill either be a god and nail some very out there predictions or as I expect end dead last . Lol

[That One Girl]

6 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:

 

I have no words that adequately explain my top 15 this winter game.  I'm actually embarrassed i posted this. 

 

Ill either be a god and nail some very out there predictions or as I expect end dead last . Lol

 

Sing below 100M.  Billy Lynn at 126M.  Monster Trucks at 122M.  The Founder at nearly 120M.  Inferno at 124M.  Resident Evil 7 at almost 100M.

 

 

[chasmmi]

8 hours ago, grey ghost said:

So, about those standings updates. 

 

He has been editing the opening post.

 

I'm sure WW is coming soon too:)

[grey ghost]

1 hour ago, chasmmi said:

 

He has been editing the opening post.

 

I'm sure WW is coming soon too:)

 

[JJ-8]

2 hours ago, That One Guy said:

 

Sing below 100M.  Billy Lynn at 126M.  Monster Trucks at 122M.  The Founder at nearly 120M.  Inferno at 124M.  Resident Evil 7 at almost 100M.

 

 

 

There is a special place for me in the hall of shame..... what on earth was I taking that week.  Also add to that only player who doesn't have Trolls or La La Land in my top 15.  

 

[Ezen Baklattan]

Updated with full opening weekend predictions. 

 

Doctor Strange, Fantastic Beasts, Moana, Rogue One, and LEGO Batman were unanimously predicted to be in the top 7. Sing and Fifty Shades Darker had the next most predictions.

 

Two people predicted Office Christmas Party or Monster Trucks to be in their lists respectively. 

[That One Girl]

On ‎11‎/‎7‎/‎2016 at 5:50 PM, Spaghetti by the Sea said:

That One Guy: $228m

 

 

LOOK, PASSENGERS SEEMED LIKE IT'D BE A HIT, ALRIGHT?

[chasmmi]

On 2016. 12. 13. at 6:56 AM, Spaghetti by the Sea said:

Updated with full opening weekend predictions. 

 

Doctor Strange, Fantastic Beasts, Moana, Rogue One, and LEGO Batman were unanimously predicted to be in the top 7. Sing and Fifty Shades Darker had the next most predictions.

 

Two people predicted Office Christmas Party or Monster Trucks to be in their lists respectively. 

 

My glorious $142M Passengers prediction seems to have deleted itself from your post.  

[Plain Old Tele]

We need an update, Señor @Spaghetti by the Sea.  

[Wrath]

Current Domestic top 15 for the game (based on estimates, which is fine since this isn't final or anything):

 

1. Rogue One - 440M

2. Dr Strange - 230M

3. Fantastic Beasts - 225M

4. Moana - 213M

5. Sing - 180M

6. Trolls - 151M

7. Arrival - 93M

8. Medea - 73M

9. Passengers - 66M

10. Hacksaw Ridge - 65M

11. Jack Reacher - 59M

12. Office Christmas Party - 52M

13. Almost Christmas - 42M

14. Assassin's Creed - 42M

15. Allied - 40M

 

Now, lets look at what's still coming, broken into a few groups:

 

Released, making good money, at a minimum will blow past 40M:

- La La Land

- Why Him

- Fences

 

Released, too soon to tell:

- Hidden Figures

- Live by Night

- Silence

 

Not released yet:

- Monster Trucks

- Founder

- xXx

- Dog's Purpose

- Resident Evil

- Rings

- 50 Shades Darker

- John Wick

- Lego Batman

- Patriots Day (which no one picked)

 

I see 3 that are locks (or close) to make, at a minimum, 70M: La La Land, Lego Batman and 50 Shades which will definitely push out Allied and Almost Christmas, and probably Assassin's Creed. xXx, Patriots Day, Resident Evil and Hidden Figures are all pretty good bets to make around 60M (or a little better). That'll get rid of of Office Christmas Party and Jack Reacher. I see Hacksaw Ridge (which is still clinging to a few hundred screens and making a little money) as being the cut-off line for the top 15. It'll probably finish the game around 66-67M and while it won't necessarily be #15 (who knows? Maybe Resident Evil will overperform a bit and push it to 16th), #15's total will be pretty close to that.

 

If I had to guess (and why not?), I'd say the final 15 will look something like:

 

1. Rogue One

2. Sing

3. Moana

4. Fantastic Beasts

5. Dr Strange

6. Trolls

7. Lego Batman

8. Passengers

9. Arrival

10. La La Land

11. 50 Shades

12. Madea

13. Patriots Day

14. Hidden Figures

15. xXx or Hacksaw Ridge

Edited January 3, 2017 by Wrath

[Plain Old Tele]

I'm not sure it was a good choice or not, but I picked PATRIOTS DAY in my top 15, @Wrath. Surely I'm not the only one, right?

[Wrath]

Ah, my bad, I missed you. And DAJK and Chewy, it seems.

[WrathOfHan]

My guess for the Top 15:

 

1. Rogue One

2. Sing

3. Moana

4. Doctor Strange

5. Lego Batman

6. Fantastic Beasts

7. Trolls

8. La La Land

9. Passengers

10. Arrival

11. Split

12. Fifty Shades

13. Madea

14. Fences

15. Patriots Day

 

Live By Night is going to fuck me  

[That One Girl]

I put Live by Night over 100M I think.  .