Weekend Thread | est. DS 43 | Trolls 35 | Arrival 24 | Alm.X-Mas 15.56 | Hacksaw 10.77 | Account. 4.57 |

[baumer]

2 hours ago, Doctor Rth said:

ok

DS 17.7,Tr 14.2,Ar 9,AXmas 6, HR 4.2,TAc 1.9 

 

So Hacksaw had a small bump.  That's good news.  I was worried that it might stay flat after such a huge Friday.  That puts in line for about an 11 million weekend.

[miketheavenger]

Great holds, but I have a feeling next weekend is gonna be ugly for holdovers. Hope I'm wrong.

[cookie]

3 hours ago, Doctor Rth said:

ok

DS 17.7,Tr 14.2,Ar 9,AXmas 6, HR 4.2,TAc 1.9 

 

Thor 2 Sunday would give DS $43m 2nd weekend. Could push to $45m.

Edited November 13, 2016 by cookie

[zackzack]

2 hours ago, wildphantom said:

So we're looking at roughly: 

$45 million Strange is headed. 

Trolls looking at $35 million

Arrival $23 million

Christmas $16 million 

 

Spectacular weekend. Arguably more impressive than last weekend with those holds. 

 

Brace yourself: next weekend is gonna:

 

[Blaze Heatnix]

Great holds and intense and sexy numbers, but get ready to watch the drops for the next weekend!

[fabiopazzo2]

21 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Great holds and intense and sexy numbers, but get ready to watch the drops for the next weekend!

Fb is coming

[mahnamahna]

Doctor Strange

$14.9 million

$17.7 million 

$10.4 million ($43 million)

 

Trolls

$12.2 million 

$14.2 million

$9.4 million ($35.8 million)

 

Arrival

$9.4 million

$9 million

$5.5 million ($23.5 million) 

 

[Arlborn]

Don't be so pessimistic guys, just enjoy the awesome numbers for this weekend! Who knows, maybe Fantastic Beasts does fantastic numbers and it ends up being a fantastic weekend for us no matter how the others hold! Let's wait and see.

[WrathOfHan]

Strange is going to have a sub-50 drop  

[terrestrial]

16 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

Don't be so pessimistic guys, just enjoy the awesome numbers for this weekend! Who knows, maybe Fantastic Beasts does fantastic numbers and it ends up being a fantastic weekend for us no matter how the others hold! Let's wait and see.

Agree to: wait and see = always

I could imagine some boost via sold out changes that might counteract a little bit the drop-after-a-holiday-weekend

[fabiopazzo2]

24 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Strange is going to have a sub-50 drop  

[Blaze Heatnix]

53 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Fb is coming

 

 

Exactly, that's why I said to wait for the next weekend, lol.

[narniadis]

57 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Strange is going to have a sub-50 drop  

 

Strange with the best 2nd weekend hold of the MCU possible? Course it could have a terrible third weekend in comparison lol.

[mahnamahna]

1 hour ago, Arlborn said:

Don't be so pessimistic guys, just enjoy the awesome numbers for this weekend! Who knows, maybe Fantastic Beasts does fantastic numbers and it ends up being a fantastic weekend for us no matter how the others hold! Let's wait and see.

 

With a $100-105 million OW for Fantastic Beasts, I'm thinking: 

 

Trolls - $18.5 million (45% drop from $35.5 million) - $118 million 17-day total 

Doctor Strange - $18 million (62.5% drop from $43 million) - $181 million 17-day total 

Arrival - $15 million (35% drop from $23.5 million) - $47 million 10-day total 

Almost Christmas - $8 million (50% drop from $16 million) - $28 million 10-day total 

Hacksaw Ridge - $6.5 million (42.5% drop from $11 million) - $42 million 17-day total 

 

Everything will drop, but based on past 3rd weekends of November, we won't see widespread 55%+ drops for everything. Other than Doctor Strange, most should drop 40-50%. 

Edited November 13, 2016 by mahnamahna

[eXtacy]

21 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

 

Exactly, that's why I said to wait for the next weekend, lol.

 

Last tracking for Fantastic Beasts had it at 75m which won't eat too much into other films. 

[CJohn]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Strange is going to have a sub-50 drop  

Because it is awesome.

 

Also because hail Veteran's day.

[Blaze Heatnix]

9 minutes ago, eXtacy said:

 

Last tracking for Fantastic Beasts had it at 75m which won't eat too much into other films. 

 

 

I personally think it'll make more than 75 million for its first opening, but we never know.

[FilmBuff]

35 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

 

Exactly, that's why I said to wait for the next weekend, lol.

 

FB is going to make everything drop.

[CJohn]

3 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

 

FB is going to make everything drop.

I disagree. It won't be that big. Drops will be harsher than usual because it is a post-holiday weekend, not because of FB.

[Ent]

I don't think FB will hit hard a movie like DS in its third weekend.

 

However i expect it to open huge because it may follow HP franchise frontloadness nature with a huge opening followed by a huge second weekend drop, especially while facing Moana.

 

Luckily though, I hope it won't behave like the Twilight or HP franchise on the domestic front and stabilise on the low end as soon as it hit the second weekend, as those franchises remain the biggest 100+ openers with the highest second weekend drop (not taking into account the DCEU) followed by subsequents big drops.