Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Moana - 55.5/81.1M; Fantastic Beasts - 45.1M; Doctor Strange - 13.4M; Allied - 13/18M; Arrival - 11.3M; Trolls - 10.3M; Bad Santa 2 - 6.1/9M

[YM!]

6 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Saw Moana yesterday and liked it a LOT, very entertaining. But it's not reaching $300m DOM, it will stop at around $220m, well behind Fantastic Beasts. 

You jinxed Moana over performing and Beasts under performing.

[Ethan Hunt]

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

[MCKillswitch123]

15 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Saw Moana yesterday and liked it a LOT, very entertaining. But it's not reaching $300m DOM, it will stop at around $220m, well behind Fantastic Beasts. 

 

Dude, even if it misses Frozen's 5-day by a small margin, it'll still outopen Fantastic Beasts. Hell, it could come close to matching Beasts' OW in its FSS span. And WOM is absurd good, and it's an animation, an original one. Your ridiculous anti-Disney predictions never go right. Beasts is the one that will be lucky to stop at 220M DOM.

[filmlover]

17 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Saw Moana yesterday and liked it a LOT, very entertaining. But it's not reaching $300m DOM, it will stop at around $220m, well behind Fantastic Beasts. 

You are not a real person.

[La Binoche]

I don't care about Moana's success but I hope it kills Trolls and I never again have to hear that awful Justin Timberlake song that been spammed everywhere all year. 

[SteveJaros]

14 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Dude, stop. Have you not seen the numbers? It's on par with Frozen's opening.

 

Frozen had UNREAL legs. IMO it's not reasonable to expect any film to have those kinds of legs. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

 

[kayumanggi]

37 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

2010 is also the last year an animation won the year with TS3. At this point, I can definitely see Dory taking home at least the domestic crown (unless R1 overperforms).

 

ROGUE ONE will take the domestic crown, imo.

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Frozen had UNREAL legs. IMO it's not reasonable to expect any film to have those kinds of legs. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A 2.75x from the 5-day?  After its fantastic reviews?  And it's an animated movie?  What the fuck are you smoking?

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Frozen had UNREAL legs. IMO it's not reasonable to expect any film to have those kinds of legs. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

It's not going to have Frozen legs but it's not stopping at 220.

[filmlover]

Just now, SteveJaros said:

 

Frozen had UNREAL legs. IMO it's not reasonable to expect any film to have those kinds of legs. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Your post said that it will top out at $220M and not even gross as much as Fantastic Beasts. You are aware that Fantastic Beasts is not even guaranteed to reach that number, right? Otherwise, you're just continuing to troll everyone with your bizarre anti-Disney sentiment.

[SteveJaros]

4 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

Dude, even if it misses Frozen's 5-day by a small margin, it'll still outopen Fantastic Beasts. Hell, it could come close to matching Beasts' OW in its FSS span. And WOM is absurd good, and it's an animation, an original one. Your ridiculous anti-Disney predictions never go right. Beasts is the one that will be lucky to stop at 220M DOM.

 

Beasts is quietly having a VERY strong second week. It's been powerful Monday-Tuesday, and will surge this weekend to over $60m for the five Thanksgiving days. 

 

It's going to be WAY ahead of Moana as of this Monday, too far ahead for Moana to realistically approach. Just watch. Beast will beat Moana handily (DOM). 

[Ethan Hunt]

Oh boy

[filmlover]

Yeah, this person really is just fucking with us. If you ignore it, it'll go away.

[La Binoche]

"...well behind Fantastic Beats"? 

 

How much are you expecting FB to do? :laugh: 

[kayumanggi]

2 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Beasts is quietly having a VERY strong second week. It's been powerful Monday-Tuesday, and will surge this weekend to over $60m for the five Thanksgiving days. 

 

It's going to be WAY ahead of Moana as of this Monday, too far ahead for Moana to realistically approach. Just watch. Beast will beat Moana handily (DOM). 

 

Weren't you the one who said Fox would beat Disney this year?

Edited November 24, 2016 by kayumanggi

[filmlover]

I next expect him to predict that Collateral Beauty will make more than Rogue One.

[mahnamahna]

22 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Saw Moana yesterday and liked it a LOT, very entertaining. But it's not reaching $300m DOM, it will stop at around $220m, well behind Fantastic Beasts. 

 

$62.5 million ($89 million) 

$30 million ($131 million)

$23 million ($162 million)

$13 million ($179 million)

$11.5 million ($201 million)

$14.5 million ($232 million)

$7.5 million ($245 million)

$4 million/$6 million ($252 million)

$2.5 million ($255 million) 

$260-263 million DOM

 

I agree it will most likely miss $300 million DOM unless it gets a sub-50% drop next weekend and has a great hold against Rogue One, but $250-260 million DOM should still happen. $220 million DOM would mean some bad legs from a $85-90 million 5-day. 

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Beasts is quietly having a VERY strong second week. It's been powerful Monday-Tuesday, and will surge this weekend to over $60m for the five Thanksgiving days. 

 

It's going to be WAY ahead of Moana as of this Monday, too far ahead for Moana to realistically approach. Just watch. Beast will beat Moana handily (DOM). 

 

Can I have what you're smoking?  Moana is an animated movie, so it'll have a better post-Thanksgiving drop, but Beasts will drop a lot harder than Moana next weekend.  Moana has until Sing, but Beasts has until Rogue One, 5 days for Moana to catch up a bit.  Even then, Moana should still have some decent late legs.

[Jack]

Jump from early estimate of 13.5m to 15.4 actual. 90+m for the 5-day weekends? If it exceeds that estimate again around 10%, 100m is in play. So excited to see how far it can go from now. 

Will see it on Sat with my 2.5 yrs old nephew.

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

I next expect him to predict that Collateral Beauty will make more than Rogue One.

 

Nah, that's too soft.

 

Collateral Beauty opening day > Rogue One WW?